What are the Over/Under 2.5 probabilities for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?

Over 2.5: 34%</br>Under 2.5: 66%

What are the top 3 most likely exact scores for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?

1) 1-0 (14.95%)</br>2) 1-1 (13.55%)</br>3) 0-0 (13.11%)

What is the BetMines prediction for Vélez Sarsfield – Independiente?

According to BetMines, the most likely outcome for the Number of goals market is -3.5, with a probability of 84%

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: match statistics and data

°C

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - 2nd Phase

Vélez Sarsfield

2 - 1

Independiente

Estadio José Amalfitani

L. Rey Hilfer

Match Stats

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

57 %

Ball Possession

43 %

Total Shots

Ongoal Shots

Dangerous Attacks

Fouls

276

Accurate Passes

209

Big Chances Created

Big Chances Missed

Match Data

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

2nd half 2-1

90'+5'

S. Montiel

A. Lagos

90'+1'

L. Roldán

F. Pizzini

89'

M. Pellegrini

I. Machuca

89'

88'

Walter Mazzantti

86'

S. Montiel

L. Millán

B. Romero
2-1

84'

82'

J. De Irastorza

77'

F. Loyola

76'

F. Loyola
1-1

A. Quirós

74'

72'

P. Galdames

B. Romero

T. Galván

68'

M. Carrizo

D. Godoy

68'

62'

Walter Mazzantti

Matias Abaldo

62'

G. Ávalos

Ignacio Pussetto

62'

F. Loyola

I. Marcone

60'

Ignacio Pussetto

C. Baeza

T. Andrada

55'

54'

I. Marcone

T. Galván

52'

T. Andrada

49'

1st half 1-0

36'

F. Paredes

D. Tarzia

D. Godoy
1-0

35'

32'

K. Lomónaco

Who will win ?

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1st Phase - Group B - Ranking

Team
1 Independiente Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	34	2.13	W W D W D
2 River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	29	1.81	W W L W L
3 Argentinos Juniors	16	8	5	3	17:13	29	1.81	W L W W L
4 Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	28	1.75	W L W W D
5 Belgrano	16	7	5	4	17:13	26	1.63	L W D L W
6 Gimnasia La Plata	16	8	2	6	19:19	26	1.63	L W W W W
7 Huracán	16	5	7	4	17:13	22	1.38	W W D L D
8 Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	21	1.31	L L D D D
9 Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	21	1.31	L W D D L
10 Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	20	1.25	L D D L D
11 Sarmiento	16	6	1	9	13:20	19	1.19	W L L W L
12 Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	18	1.13	L L D D W
13 Atlético Tucumán	16	3	5	8	15:20	14	0.88	L D L D W
14 Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	8	0.5	D L D L D
15 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	5	0.31	D L L L L

8th Finals

1st Phase - Group A - Ranking

Team
1 Estudiantes	16	9	4	3	19:7	31	1.94	L W W D W
2 Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	30	1.88	W D W W W
3 Vélez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	28	1.75	L W D D D
4 Talleres Córdoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	26	1.63	L W W D D
5 Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	24	1.5	L D W L W
6 Lanús	16	6	6	4	18:15	24	1.5	W D L D D
7 San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	22	1.38	W D D W L
8 Unión Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	21	1.31	W L L D D
9 Instituto	16	6	3	7	17:17	21	1.31	W W L D W
10 Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	19	1.19	L L L L L
11 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza	16	5	4	7	14:22	19	1.19	W D W L W
12 Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	16	1	D D L L L
13 Central Cordoba SdE	16	4	4	8	11:21	16	1	L L W D L
14 Newell's Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	15	0.94	W D W D D
15 Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	11	0.69	L L L W D

8th Finals

2nd Phase - Group B - Ranking

Team
1 Aldosivi	0:0	-	-
2 Argentinos Juniors	0:0	-	-
3 Atlético Tucumán	0:0	-	-
4 Banfield	0:0	-	-
5 Barracas Central	0:0	-	-
6 Belgrano	0:0	-	-
7 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:0	-	-
8 Gimnasia La Plata	0:0	-	-
9 Huracán	0:0	-	-
10 Independiente Rivadavia	0:0	-	-
11 Racing Club	0:0	-	-
12 River Plate	0:0	-	-
13 Rosario Central	0:0	-	-
14 Sarmiento	0:0	-	-
15 Tigre	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

2nd Phase - Group A - Ranking

Team
1 Boca Juniors	0:0	-	-
2 Central Cordoba SdE	0:0	-	-
3 Defensa y Justicia	0:0	-	-
4 Deportivo Riestra	0:0	-	-
5 Estudiantes	0:0	-	-
6 Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza	0:0	-	-
7 Independiente	0:0	-	-
8 Instituto	0:0	-	-
9 Lanús	0:0	-	-
10 Newell's Old Boys	0:0	-	-
11 Platense	0:0	-	-
12 San Lorenzo	0:0	-	-
13 Talleres Córdoba	0:0	-	-
14 Unión Santa Fe	0:0	-	-
15 Vélez Sarsfield	0:0	-	-

8th Finals

Last Matches

Vélez Sarsfield

First half results

3 Win

2 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

04/05/2026 22:15

Vélez Sarsfield

0-0

Newell's Old Boys

Copa Argentina

01/05/2026 00:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

27/04/2026 21:45

Vélez Sarsfield

2-1

Unión Santa Fe

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

20/04/2026 22:30

San Lorenzo

0-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

14/04/2026 00:30

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Central Cordoba SdE

Scored 4

Avg 0.8

Conceded 1

Avg 0.2

Vélez Sarsfield

Final results

2 Win

3 Draw

0 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

04/05/2026 22:15

Vélez Sarsfield

1-1

Newell's Old Boys

Copa Argentina

01/05/2026 00:15

Vélez Sarsfield

2-0

Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

27/04/2026 21:45

Vélez Sarsfield

2-2

Unión Santa Fe

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

20/04/2026 22:30

San Lorenzo

0-0

Vélez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

14/04/2026 00:30

Vélez Sarsfield

1-0

Central Cordoba SdE

Scored 6

Avg 1.2

Conceded 3

Avg 0.6

Independiente

First half results

2 Win

2 Draw

1 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

10/05/2026 18:00

Rosario Central

1-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

02/05/2026 21:45

San Lorenzo

0-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

24/04/2026 20:00

Deportivo Riestra

1-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

18/04/2026 22:30

Independiente

2-1

Defensa y Justicia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

11/04/2026 22:30

Boca Juniors

1-1

Independiente

Scored 5

Avg 1.0

Conceded 4

Avg 0.8

Independiente

Final results

2 Win

1 Draw

2 Loss

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

10/05/2026 18:00

Rosario Central

3-1

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

02/05/2026 21:45

San Lorenzo

1-2

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

24/04/2026 20:00

Deportivo Riestra

2-0

Independiente

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

18/04/2026 22:30

Independiente

3-1

Defensa y Justicia

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

11/04/2026 22:30

Boca Juniors

1-1

Independiente

Scored 7

Avg 1.4

Conceded 8

Avg 1.6

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Last 10 matches

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Vélez Sarsfield

Independiente

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

10%

90%

100%

1.5

30%

70%

10%

90%

2.5

70%

30%

70%

3.5

70%

30%

60%

40%

4.5

80%

20%

80%

20%

Trends

Events

Team

No trends...

In the free version you have access to a limited number of events. To see all available trends without limits, upgrade to the Premium version.

Match preview

Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente will face each other on 16/08/2025 at 23:30 at Estadio José Amalfitani stadium (Buenos Aires). The match is part of Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The referee for the match is L. Rey Hilfer.

The probability of winning for Vélez Sarsfield is 42%. The probability of a draw between Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente is 31%. The probability of winning for Independiente is 27%

The probability of both teams scoring is 42%, while the probability of at least one team not scoring is 58%

The probability of there being over 2.5 total goals is 34%, while the probability of there being under 2.5 goals is 66%

In the last match on 04/05/2026, Vélez Sarsfield drew with Newell's Old Boys with a score of 1-1

In the last match on 10/05/2026, Independiente lost to Rosario Central with a score of 3-1

In the last head-to-head on 12/02/2025, Independiente defeated Vélez Sarsfield at home with a score of 3-0

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez Sarsfield has won 1 times, Independiente has won 3 times, and they have drawn 1 times. Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match, while Independiente has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Vélez Sarsfield is currently in the 9th position in the Liga Profesional de Fútbol league, while Independiente is in the 15th position.

In this season of Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Vélez Sarsfield has won 11 times, lost 15 times, and drawn 7 times. Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 0.79 goals per match and conceded 1.09 goals.

In this season of Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Independiente has won 14 times, lost 9 times, and drawn 12 times. Independiente has scored an average of 1.11 goals per match and conceded 0.71 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Vélez Sarsfield has won 2 times, lost 0 times and drawn 3 times. Vélez Sarsfield has scored an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceded 0.6 goals.

In the last 5 matches, Independiente has won 2 times, lost 2 times and drawn 1 times. Independiente has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.6 goals.

Vélez Sarsfield - Independiente: stats and betting predictions

Match Stats

Match Data

Who will win ?

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente - Predictions

Odds

Standings of Vélez Sarsfield and Independiente in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Last Matches

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Pre-match Stats Comparison

Trends

Match preview

Vélez Sarsfield vs Independiente: Frequently asked questions