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Prediction published on Nov 30, 2025 8:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Nov 30, 2025 8:03 PM
The first Premier League clash of December brings an intriguing mid-table battle as Bournemouth host Everton at the Vitality Stadium on Tuesday night. Both sides are looking to bounce back from disappointing weekend defeats, with the Cherries sitting 11th and the Toffees 14th in the standings. This encounter promises intensity and goals, as both teams aim to regain momentum before the busy festive period.
After a bright start to the campaign, Andoni Iraola’s Bournemouth have hit a rough patch, collecting just one point from their last four league matches. Their latest setback came in a dramatic 3-2 defeat away to Sunderland, where they squandered a two-goal lead. This poor run has seen them slip into the lower half of the table for the first time this season.
Despite their recent struggles, the Cherries remain formidable at home. They are one of only four Premier League teams still unbeaten on their own turf this season, having earned 14 points from six home fixtures (4 wins and 2 draws). Their defensive record at the Vitality is also impressive, with only four goals conceded — the third-best home defensive tally in the league.
However, Bournemouth’s defensive solidity has wavered in recent weeks. They have conceded 12 goals in their last four matches, one more than they allowed across the first nine rounds of the season. The absence of key players will not help: Lewis Cook is suspended following a red card, while Marcos Senesi and David Brooks are also banned after accumulating five yellow cards each. On the positive side, Antoine Semenyo and Justin Kluivert have returned from injury, leaving only Ben Gannon-Doak and Ryan Christie unavailable.
Offensively, Marcus Tavernier has been a bright spot, scoring in each of his last two home appearances. Bournemouth’s attacking play remains dynamic, averaging 1.6 goals per game this season, but defensive lapses have cost them valuable points.
David Moyes’ Everton also come into this fixture seeking redemption after a heavy 4-1 home defeat to Newcastle United. That result ended their three-match unbeaten streak (2 wins, 1 draw) and marked the first time they had conceded four goals in a league game since December of the previous year. The Toffees’ inconsistency on the road continues to be a concern, with only two wins from six away matches this season (2 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats).
Everton’s attack has been underwhelming, averaging just 1.1 goals per game. The lack of contribution from their forwards is particularly worrying — Beto’s strike against Wolves back in August remains the only goal scored by an Everton striker this season. Nevertheless, midfielders like Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall have stepped up, finding the net in consecutive league outings. Thierno Barry came close to opening his account last weekend, but his goal was disallowed for handball.
Disciplinary and injury issues further complicate Moyes’ selection options. Idrissa Gueye remains suspended after his red card against Manchester United, while Seamus Coleman, Merlin Rohl, and Jarrad Branthwaite are sidelined through injury. Despite these setbacks, Everton will look to exploit Bournemouth’s recent defensive frailties and end their poor record at the Vitality Stadium, where they have never won a Premier League match.
This fixture has often produced entertaining football, and Tuesday’s meeting should be no exception. Bournemouth’s attacking intent at home contrasts with their recent defensive vulnerabilities, while Everton’s compact approach under Moyes could make for a balanced contest. The Cherries’ pressing and quick transitions are likely to test the Toffees’ back line, which struggled badly against Newcastle’s pace and movement.
Historically, Bournemouth have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, winning four of the last five Premier League meetings. Their home advantage, coupled with Everton’s inconsistent away form, could once again prove decisive. However, given both teams’ recent defensive issues, goals at both ends seem likely. Bournemouth’s unbeaten home record and Everton’s determination to respond after a heavy defeat add further intrigue to this midweek clash.
Matches involving Bournemouth have been high-scoring affairs lately, with seven of their last eight featuring over 2.5 total goals. Everton’s last outing produced five goals, and they have managed just one clean sheet away from home all season. These trends suggest another open and entertaining encounter on the South Coast.
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 54% probability. Bournemouth’s attacking strength at home and Everton’s ability to find the net despite their struggles point towards goals for both sides in what should be a lively Premier League contest.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
AFC Bournemouth
Everton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
5
5
2
8
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2