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Prediction published on Dec 12, 2025 2:02 PM by Dario in Netherlands - Eredivisie | Modified on Dec 12, 2025 2:02 PM
The Dutch football calendar brings one of its most anticipated fixtures this Sunday as Ajax host Feyenoord in the Eredivisie. The clash between Amsterdam and Rotterdam always carries enormous weight, and this edition promises to be no different. Both sides enter the match with mixed emotions: Ajax are rebuilding momentum after a difficult start, while Feyenoord are trying to recover from a recent dip in form. With the Johan Cruijff ArenA as the stage and both teams chasing PSV at the top, this encounter could have major implications for the title race.
Ajax currently sit fourth in the Eredivisie standings with 26 points, trailing leaders PSV by 14 and just one point behind NEC. Their recent performances suggest a team rediscovering confidence. After a poor start to the season, Ajax have shown signs of improvement under interim management, winning their last two league matches and securing a 2-4 victory away to Qarabağ in Europe on December 10, 2025. That result extended their run of three wins in the last five matches across all competitions.
Statistically, Ajax’s campaign has been defined by attacking football and defensive inconsistency. In the Eredivisie, they have recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their matches are rarely dull: Over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 31 games, and the same trend continues at home, where all of their last 21 fixtures have seen at least two goals. Ajax also tend to start strong, with Over 0.5 goals at half time in 22 of their last 23 matches and having led at the break in 6 of their last 10 home league games.
However, the hosts face significant selection problems. Several key players are unavailable through injury, including Steven Berghuis, Wout Weghorst, Josip Sutalo, and Kenneth Taylor. Defender Youri Baas is suspended after receiving two yellow cards in the previous league match. Despite these absences, Ajax’s recent resurgence and home advantage could make them a dangerous opponent for any side.
Feyenoord arrive in Amsterdam as the second-placed team in the Eredivisie with 34 points, six behind PSV and eight ahead of Ajax. Their season began impressively, with 11 wins from their first 15 league matches, but recent weeks have been more turbulent. The Rotterdam side lost 4-3 to FCSB in Europe on December 11, marking their third defeat in five matches. In that period, they have collected two wins and three losses, scoring an average of 2.8 goals but conceding 2.6 per game — a sign of both attacking potency and defensive fragility.
Feyenoord’s attacking consistency remains remarkable: they have scored in each of their last 15 Eredivisie matches and have not drawn any of their last 15 games. Their fixtures are typically open, with Over 1.5 goals in the last 13 matches and Over 0.5 goals in the second half in all of their last 17. The team often starts well, having led at half time in 16 of their last 23 league games. However, their defensive record has been less convincing lately, and both teams have scored in the second half of each of their last six Eredivisie fixtures.
Injuries have also disrupted Feyenoord’s rhythm. Several regular starters are sidelined, including Givairo Read, In-beom Hwang, Jakub Moder, and Sem Steijn, while Tsuyoshi Watanabe remains doubtful after missing the recent European match due to a muscle issue. Despite these setbacks, Feyenoord’s attacking depth and ability to find goals in almost every match make them a constant threat.
This edition of the Klassieker comes at a crucial moment for both clubs. Ajax are trying to close the gap on the top two, while Feyenoord aim to stay within reach of PSV. The home side’s recent improvement suggests a more balanced contest than the league table might indicate. Ajax’s attacking rhythm has returned, and their matches consistently produce goals, particularly in the second half. Feyenoord, meanwhile, remain one of the most prolific teams in the league but have shown defensive vulnerabilities that Ajax could exploit.
Historically, this fixture has delivered drama and goals. The last head-to-head ended 2-1 in February 2025, and across the last five meetings, Ajax have won three and lost two, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. With both teams struggling to keep clean sheets and boasting strong offensive records, another high-scoring encounter seems likely. The absence of Ajax’s most passionate supporters due to disciplinary sanctions could slightly reduce the home advantage, but the attacking intent of both sides should ensure an entertaining spectacle.
Given the attacking trends and defensive issues on both sides, this match is expected to produce goals. Ajax’s home form and Feyenoord’s scoring consistency point toward an open game with multiple chances at both ends. The data supports a high-scoring outcome, aligning with the recent pattern of goal-filled encounters between these rivals.
Ajax vs Feyenoord prediction from BetMines: Over 3.5 goals with 67% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Ajax
Feyenoord
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
7
3
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1