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Prediction published on Feb 27, 2026 5:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 27, 2026 5:02 PM
The Premier League’s Super Sunday delivers a thrilling London Derby as Arsenal host Chelsea in a clash that could have major implications for the title race and the battle for European qualification. The Gunners sit at the top of the table, while the Blues occupy fifth place, both sides eager to make a statement as the season enters its decisive phase. With both teams in strong attacking form, this encounter promises intensity, goals, and drama from start to finish.
Arsenal approach this fixture full of confidence after a commanding 4-1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur on February 22, a result that extended their unbeaten run to five league matches. During this stretch, they have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 2.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per game. Their consistency has been remarkable, with the team remaining unbeaten in 38 of their last 40 matches across all competitions.
At the Emirates Stadium, the Gunners have been particularly dominant. They have avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 home games and have scored in 19 of those fixtures. Their defensive record at home is also impressive, conceding only eight goals in the Premier League this season. Arsenal’s ability to start strong is reflected in their record of not losing at half time in their last 18 home matches, and they have led at the break in six of their last ten league games at home.
Key attacking figures have been in excellent form. Viktor Gyokeres, who netted twice in the North London Derby, has now scored eight goals in 2026, more than any other Premier League player this year. Eberechi Eze continues to shine in capital clashes, with all six of his league goals this season coming in London derbies. Although Bukayo Saka suffered a knock last week, he is expected to feature, while Ben White could return to the squad. Arsenal’s attacking depth and defensive solidity make them formidable opponents, especially on home soil.
Chelsea arrive at the Emirates after a frustrating 1-1 draw against Burnley, a result that left them level on points with Liverpool. Despite that setback, the Blues have been in good form overall, losing just once in their last ten matches in all competitions. Their season record in the Premier League stands at 12 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Offensively, Chelsea have been one of the most consistent sides in the league. They have scored in each of their last 12 Premier League matches and have seen over 1.5 total goals in all of those games. The second half has been particularly productive, with at least one goal scored after the break in their last 14 league fixtures. Away from home, they have also been reliable scorers, finding the net in each of their last 11 away matches.
Joao Pedro has been a standout performer, contributing nine goal involvements in his last six league appearances. Cole Palmer, returning from injury, is expected to start and will look to continue his fine scoring run of four goals in his last three league games. However, Chelsea’s defensive options are limited, with Wesley Fofana suspended and both Marc Cucurella and Levi Colwill sidelined through injury. Despite these absences, the Blues’ attacking momentum and strong away record (six wins, four draws, three losses) make them a dangerous opponent.
This London Derby brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions but equally high motivation. Arsenal aim to consolidate their lead at the top of the table, while Chelsea are fighting to stay in the Champions League race. The Gunners’ home form and defensive discipline will be tested by a Chelsea attack that has been prolific in recent weeks. Both teams have scored in the second half in many of their recent matches, suggesting that the game could open up after the interval.
Historically, Arsenal have had the upper hand in this fixture, remaining unbeaten in their last eight league meetings and ten across all competitions against Chelsea. Their last encounter ended 1-0 in favor of the Gunners earlier this month. However, with both sides averaging close to two goals per game this season, another tight but entertaining contest is expected. Arsenal’s ability to control possession and press high could limit Chelsea’s counterattacking opportunities, but the visitors’ creativity in the final third ensures they will pose a constant threat.
Given the attacking quality on display and the recent scoring trends of both teams, goals seem likely at the Emirates. Arsenal have scored at least once in 38 of their last 40 matches, while Chelsea have done the same in their last 12 league outings. Five of Arsenal’s last six league games have produced over 2.5 goals, and four of Chelsea’s last five have followed the same pattern. The data points toward an open, high-tempo match where both sides find the net.
Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction by BetMines:
Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 54% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Chelsea
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
3
7
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1