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Prediction published on Nov 21, 2025 5:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Nov 21, 2025 5:03 PM
The North London derby returns to the Emirates Stadium as Arsenal host Tottenham Hotspur in a crucial Premier League clash on Sunday, November 23. The Gunners sit top of the table and will be eager to maintain their lead, while Spurs, currently fifth, aim to close the gap and keep their own European hopes alive. With both teams in strong attacking form, this promises to be one of the standout fixtures of the weekend.
Arsenal have been relentless in their pursuit of the Premier League title, collecting eight wins, two draws, and just one defeat so far this season. Their only loss came at Anfield against Liverpool, and since then, they have gone on an impressive unbeaten run. The Gunners drew 2-2 with Sunderland in their most recent league outing but remain the most consistent side in the competition.
At the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal have been almost untouchable. They have won four of their five home league matches, conceding just one goal in that stretch. Their defensive solidity has been a defining feature of their campaign, with an average of only 0.5 goals conceded per game. In attack, they continue to deliver, averaging 1.8 goals per match and scoring in 21 of their last 22 Premier League fixtures. The Gunners have also been quick starters, leading at half time in eight of their last eleven home games.
However, Mikel Arteta faces some selection challenges. Key defender Gabriel is sidelined with a groin injury sustained on international duty, while Riccardo Calafiori and Viktor Gyökeres are also doubtful. The absence of Gabriel could be significant, as he contributes both defensively and offensively, often scoring crucial goals from set pieces. Either Piero Hincapié or Cristhian Mosquera is expected to fill in at the back.
Despite these setbacks, Arsenal’s confidence remains high. They have not lost in 19 of their last 20 matches and have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning five of the last six meetings with Tottenham. Their home record against Spurs is particularly strong, with no league defeats at the Emirates since 2010.
Tottenham Hotspur enter this derby sitting fifth in the table, eight points behind their rivals. They drew 2-2 with Manchester United in their last match, a result that extended their run to just one win in their last four league games. Despite that, Spurs have been excellent away from home this season, boasting the best away record in the Premier League with four wins and one draw from five matches.
Under their current management, Tottenham have shown resilience and attacking flair, averaging 1.7 goals scored per game while conceding less than one on average. Their ability to perform on the road has been key to their strong start, with victories at tough venues like Brighton and Aston Villa. However, their recent dip in consistency has raised questions about whether they can sustain their early-season momentum.
In terms of team news, Cristian Romero is expected to return after recovering from injury, having featured for Argentina during the international break. Mohammed Kudus, another vital player for Spurs, is also likely to be back after missing the clash with Manchester United. These returns will provide a significant boost to a side that relies heavily on defensive organization and quick transitions in attack.
Historically, Tottenham have struggled at the Emirates. They lost 2-1 in this fixture last season and have not managed a league win away to Arsenal in over a decade. To change that, they will need to be at their clinical best, particularly in front of goal, where recent performances have been inconsistent.
This North London derby is set to be a fascinating tactical battle. Arsenal will look to dominate possession and press high, using their quick passing and movement to break down Tottenham’s defensive lines. The Gunners’ strong home form and ability to take early leads could once again prove decisive, especially given their record of leading at both half and full time in each of their four home league wins this season.
Tottenham, on the other hand, will aim to exploit spaces on the counterattack. Their pace in wide areas and ability to transition quickly could trouble Arsenal’s backline, particularly with Gabriel absent. However, Spurs’ recent defensive lapses and Arsenal’s attacking consistency suggest that the home side may have the upper hand once again.
Arsenal’s defensive record, combined with their attacking efficiency, makes them strong favorites to extend their dominance in this fixture. Tottenham’s unbeaten away run will be tested to the limit, and while they have the quality to score, maintaining their defensive shape for 90 minutes at the Emirates will be a major challenge.
Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is an Arsenal win (1) with a 65% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 21%, while a Tottenham Hotspur win (2) stands at 14%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Arsenal
Tottenham Hotspur
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
5
5
2
8
2.5
6
4
4
6
3.5
10
0
7
3
4.5
10
0
8
2