Tools
Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 1:04 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 1:04 PM
The first weekend of December in the Premier League opens with a blockbuster clash at Villa Park, where third-placed Aston Villa host league leaders Arsenal. Both sides come into this encounter in excellent form, with Villa looking to close the six-point gap separating them from the Gunners. The atmosphere in Birmingham promises to be electric as two of the most in-form teams in England go head-to-head in what could be a defining match in the title race.
Aston Villa have been one of the standout stories of the Premier League season. After a slow start, the Villans have surged up the table thanks to a remarkable run of results. Their thrilling 4-3 comeback win at Brighton in midweek extended their winning streak to six matches in all competitions and eight consecutive home victories. That result also lifted them into third place, just six points behind Arsenal.
Under Unai Emery, Villa have developed a strong identity built on attacking intensity and resilience. In their last five matches, they have recorded five wins, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding just one. Their home form has been particularly impressive, with eight straight wins at Villa Park, five of those in the Premier League. The team’s ability to recover from setbacks, as seen in their comeback at the Amex Stadium, highlights their growing confidence and belief.
Across the season, Villa’s record stands at 8 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their recent head-to-head record against Arsenal is encouraging too, with seven points from the last four meetings, including a 2-2 draw at the Emirates earlier this year. With no new injury concerns reported, Emery’s men will be eager to continue their momentum and make a statement against the league leaders.
Arsenal continue to set the pace at the top of the Premier League. Their 2-0 home win over Brentford on Wednesday restored a five-point cushion at the summit and extended their unbeaten streak to 18 matches in all competitions. Mikel Arteta’s side have been consistent both home and away, losing just once this season — a narrow defeat at Anfield.
In their last five matches, the Gunners have recorded three wins and two draws, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Away from home, they have won four of seven league games, conceding only five goals in total. However, their last two away fixtures — at Sunderland and Chelsea — both ended in draws, suggesting that Villa Park could pose another stern test.
Arsenal’s attacking power remains formidable, with the team scoring in 24 of their last 25 Premier League matches. They have also scored at least once in each of their last 18 games in all competitions. Defensively, they remain solid, though the absence of Gabriel and doubts over William Saliba could test their depth. Arteta is expected to recall Eze and Saka to the starting lineup after resting them in midweek, ensuring the Gunners are at full strength for this crucial encounter.
This fixture brings together two sides that have combined attacking flair with defensive discipline. Aston Villa’s resurgence has been built on their ability to dominate at home, where they have turned Villa Park into a fortress. Their high pressing and quick transitions have troubled even the strongest opponents, and the home crowd will expect another bold performance against the league leaders.
Arsenal, meanwhile, have shown remarkable consistency and tactical maturity under Arteta. Their ability to control possession and create chances through wide areas has been key to their success. However, facing a Villa side that thrives on counter-attacks could expose their defensive vulnerabilities, especially if Saliba is unavailable. The Gunners will need to maintain composure and efficiency in front of goal to secure a result.
Historically, this fixture has produced competitive and entertaining matches. The last five meetings have seen both teams score in four of them, including the 2-2 draw earlier this year. Given both sides’ attacking form, another high-intensity encounter seems inevitable. Villa’s home advantage and Arsenal’s title ambitions make this one of the standout fixtures of the weekend.
ASTON VILLA (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Luiz, Kamara; Bailey, McGinn, Diaby; Watkins. Coach: U. Emery
ARSENAL (4-3-3): Raya; White, Saliba, Kiwior, Zinchenko; Rice, Ødegaard, Havertz; Saka, Jesus, Martinelli. Coach: M. Arteta
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 53% probability. Both sides have been prolific in front of goal, and given their recent form, goals at both ends appear highly probable in this Premier League showdown at Villa Park.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
2
8
5
5
2.5
3
7
6
4
3.5
5
5
10
0
4.5
8
2
10
0