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Prediction published on May 8, 2026 11:01 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on May 8, 2026 11:01 PM
The upcoming clash between Athletic Club and Valencia CF promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of LaLiga’s 35th round. Both sides arrive at this stage of the season with contrasting objectives but a shared need for points. The match will take place at the iconic San Mamés, where the Basque side will look to capitalize on home advantage to strengthen their European ambitions, while the visitors aim to secure their top-flight status.
Athletic Club approach this encounter after a convincing 2-4 victory over Deportivo Alavés, a result that boosted their morale following a mixed run of results. Over their last five league matches, they have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their overall season record in LaLiga stands at 13 wins, 5 draws, and 16 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match.
Defensively, the Basques have struggled to maintain clean sheets, having conceded at least one goal in 23 of their last 24 matches. However, they tend to come alive after the break — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 19 of their last 20 league games. This trend highlights their attacking persistence and ability to find breakthroughs as matches progress.
Currently sitting 8th in the LaLiga standings with 44 points, Athletic Club remain in contention for European qualification. Their recent head-to-head record against Valencia is slightly favorable, with 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last five meetings, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. The most recent encounter ended in a 1-2 away win earlier this year, a result that adds confidence ahead of this home fixture.
Valencia CF come into this match after a 0-2 home defeat to Atlético Madrid, a setback that underlined their inconsistency in recent weeks. Over their last five league outings, they have managed 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, scoring an average of 1.0 goal while conceding 1.6 per match. Their season record stands at 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, with similar averages of 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
One of the most striking patterns in Valencia’s campaign is their tendency for low-scoring first halves. In fact, at least one team failed to score before halftime in 33 of their last 35 league matches, and in 37 of their last 40 overall. This suggests that their matches often open up only after the interval. Supporting this, over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 27 of their last 30 games, showing that late drama is a common feature in their fixtures.
Currently positioned 12th in the table with 39 points, Valencia’s main objective remains to secure safety as soon as possible. Their away form has been unpredictable, and facing an opponent with strong home support at San Mamés will be a stern test. Despite this, the visitors are expected to fight hard, relying on their defensive organization and counter-attacking opportunities to challenge the hosts.
The rivalry between Athletic Club and Valencia CF has historically been balanced, though recent form tilts slightly in favor of the Basques. In the last five meetings, Athletic have claimed three victories, while Valencia have won twice. The most recent encounter, a 1-2 win for Athletic earlier this season, demonstrated their ability to perform well even away from home.
Both teams tend to produce tight, competitive matches, often decided by narrow margins. Given their current trends, the first half could be cautious, with both sides focusing on defensive stability. However, the second half is likely to see more action, as both teams have shown a consistent pattern of scoring after the break. Athletic’s attacking options and home momentum could prove decisive, especially considering their need to maintain European hopes alive.
Valencia, on the other hand, will aim to frustrate their opponents and exploit any defensive lapses. Their challenge will be to withstand the pressure from the San Mamés crowd and find efficiency in front of goal — something that has eluded them in recent outings.
Based on the statistical trends and performance data, the BetMines prediction leans toward a home win (1) for Athletic Club, with a 48% probability. A draw (X) is estimated at 27%, while an away win (2) for Valencia CF stands at 25%. Given both teams’ scoring patterns, a close but entertaining match is expected, with the hosts slightly favored to take all three points.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Athletic Club
Valencia
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
8
2
8
2
4.5
8
2
8
2