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Brighton & Hove Albion
0 - 1
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Arsenal
Prediction published on Mar 2, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Mar 2, 2026 8:02 PM
The Premier League continues with a fascinating midweek clash as Brighton & Hove Albion welcome league leaders Arsenal to the Amex Stadium. The Seagulls sit in 11th place, while the Gunners remain at the summit after 29 rounds. With both sides coming off weekend victories, this encounter promises intensity and attacking football on the south coast.
Brighton approach this fixture in improved spirits after a 2-1 win over Nottingham Forest, a result that lifted them to 37 points. That victory followed another success against Brentford, meaning the Seagulls have now collected back-to-back league wins for the first time since November. Despite this positive run, their overall record in the Premier League stands at nine wins, ten draws, and nine defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.
At the Amex Stadium, Brighton have been a tough side to beat, losing only twice in 14 home games this season (W6 D6 L2). However, their record against Arsenal is less encouraging, as they are winless in their last five home meetings with the Gunners (D2 L3). The Seagulls’ recent matches have generally been tight affairs, with under 3.5 total goals in each of their last 11 fixtures. Still, they tend to come alive after the break, as over 0.5 goals in the second half have been recorded in 36 of their last 40 games.
Manager Fabian Hurzeler will be pleased with the form of Danny Welbeck, who has scored in consecutive matches and reached double figures for the season. The return of Solly March from injury also provides a timely boost, while only a few players remain sidelined. Brighton’s challenge will be maintaining their defensive discipline against one of the league’s most potent attacks.
Arsenal travel to the south coast full of confidence after a 2-1 victory over Chelsea in the London Derby. That result extended their unbeaten run in the league to six matches, during which they have scored two or more goals in five of them. The Gunners’ season record is impressive: 19 wins, seven draws, and just three defeats, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
On the road, Arsenal remain one of the most consistent teams in the division, unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 away fixtures. They have also scored in 19 of those 20 matches, underlining their attacking reliability. The Gunners have not lost at half time in their last 22 games across all competitions, a testament to their strong starts and tactical control. Defensively, they have been solid, with under 0.5 goals in two of their last ten Premier League outings.
Among the standout performers is Gabriel Magalhães, who recently set a new club record for goal contributions by a centre-back in the Premier League. His partnership with William Saliba continues to provide both defensive stability and attacking threat from set pieces. Meanwhile, Viktor Gyökeres has been a key figure up front, contributing five goals and an assist in his last seven away appearances. The only concern for Mikel Arteta’s side is the fitness of Declan Rice and Ben White, both of whom are doubts for this match.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting ambitions but similar attacking philosophies. Brighton will look to control possession and exploit spaces on the counter, while Arsenal are expected to dictate tempo and press high. The Seagulls’ home resilience could make this a challenging evening for the visitors, especially given Arsenal’s short recovery time after their weekend derby.
Historically, this matchup has favored the Gunners, who have won three of the last five meetings. However, Brighton’s recent momentum and attacking confidence suggest they can trouble the league leaders. The hosts have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches this season, while Arsenal have found the net in nearly every away game. These trends point toward an open contest with opportunities at both ends.
Given the attacking quality on display and the statistical trends, this encounter is expected to produce goals for both sides. Brighton’s strong home form and Arsenal’s prolific attack make a balanced outcome likely. The Seagulls rarely fail to score at the Amex, while the Gunners have been consistent in finding the net away from home. Therefore, the most probable scenario is that both teams will get on the scoresheet.
Brighton vs Arsenal prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal
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0
10
1
9
1.5
3
7
5
5
2.5
4
6
6
4
3.5
8
2
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0