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Brighton & Hove Albion
2 - 1
FT
Nottingham Forest
Prediction published on Feb 27, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 27, 2026 3:02 PM
The Premier League weekend continues with an intriguing clash at the Amex Stadium, where Brighton & Hove Albion host Nottingham Forest. Both sides are looking to build momentum as the season enters its decisive phase. Brighton come into this fixture after a much-needed 0-2 away win at Brentford, while Forest suffered a narrow 1-2 defeat to Fenerbahçe in midweek European action. With only three points separating them in the table, this encounter could have significant implications for both the relegation battle and mid-table stability.
It has been a mixed campaign for Brighton, who currently sit 14th in the Premier League standings. Their season record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats reflects a team struggling for consistency. Despite showing flashes of quality, the Seagulls have often been held back by their inability to convert home dominance into victories. They have drawn six league matches at the Amex, a statistic that has cost them valuable points in their pursuit of a top-half finish.
In their last five matches across all competitions, Brighton have recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Their defensive structure has been relatively solid, but the lack of cutting edge in attack remains a concern. Encouragingly, they have scored in the second half in 37 of their last 40 matches, showing resilience and late-game energy. However, under 3.5 total goals have been scored in each of their last 10 fixtures, suggesting a trend toward low-scoring affairs.
At home, Brighton’s form has been steady but unspectacular. They have not won a league match at the Amex since early January, drawing twice and losing once in their last three home outings. The return of midfielder Yasin Ayari from injury could provide a creative boost, while veteran James Milner remains doubtful after picking up a knock. The Seagulls will be eager to end their home drought and secure a first league win in front of their fans since the start of the year.
Nottingham Forest enter this match in 17th place, just two points above the relegation zone. Their Premier League record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats highlights a season of inconsistency. The Reds have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, underlining their struggles in both boxes. Despite this, their recent away form offers some encouragement, with two wins in their last three league trips.
Forest’s last five matches have produced 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. They have shown a tendency to start slowly, having lost at half time in 8 of their last 13 away league games. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score before the break in 28 of their last 30 matches, indicating a cautious approach in the early stages. Their recent 1-2 loss at Fenerbahçe came after a rotated lineup, as the club prioritized Premier League survival over European progression.
Striker Igor Jesus has been a standout performer, netting nine of his twelve goals this season away from home. His form on the road could be crucial if Forest are to secure a positive result at the Amex. The visitors will likely field a stronger lineup than in midweek, aiming to capitalize on Brighton’s recent home struggles. With a disciplined defense and quick transitions, Forest have the tools to frustrate their hosts and potentially snatch a valuable point or more.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting strengths. Brighton tend to dominate possession and create chances, but their finishing has often let them down. Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, are more direct and efficient on the counterattack, particularly away from home. The Seagulls’ tendency to draw matches and Forest’s recent away resilience suggest a tight contest with few goals.
Historically, Brighton have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning two of the last five meetings, including a 0-2 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. However, Forest’s improved away form and Brighton’s ongoing home frustrations could level the playing field. Given that under 3.5 goals have been scored in Brighton’s last ten matches and that Forest often struggle to score early, another low-scoring encounter seems likely.
Both teams are under pressure to deliver. Brighton need a home win to avoid slipping closer to the relegation battle, while Forest are desperate to stay above the drop zone. The outcome may hinge on which side can make the most of their limited chances in front of goal. Expect a cautious start, with the second half potentially offering more action as both teams push for a decisive breakthrough.
Brighton vs Nottingham Forest prediction from BetMines: Draw (X) with 27% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Brighton & Hove Albion
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
10
0
7
3