The second round of the 2025–26 Copa del Rey gets underway this week at the Ibercaja Stadium in Zaragoza, where CD Ebro will host CA Osasuna. This will be the first-ever meeting between the two clubs, a clash that pits a modest lower-division side against a top-flight opponent with far greater experience and resources. Despite the difference in stature, both teams will be eager to secure a place in the round of 32 of Spain’s prestigious knockout competition.

CD Ebro’s Recent Form and Key Stats

CD Ebro earned their spot in this round after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over SD Tarazona, following a 1-1 draw in regulation time. The team’s recent form has been inconsistent, with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats in their last five matches. During that stretch, they have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, highlighting their struggles in both attack and defense.

In the Copa del Rey this season, Ebro’s record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1 conceded per match. One worrying trend is their tendency to start slowly: they have lost at half time in their last three home matches in the competition, as well as in their last three Copa del Rey fixtures overall. Playing at home may offer some comfort, but the statistics suggest that Ebro often find themselves chasing the game early on.

Despite these challenges, the home side will rely on the energy of their supporters at the Ibercaja Stadium to inspire a spirited performance. Facing a La Liga opponent will be a major test, but also a rare opportunity for the players to showcase their abilities against elite competition. The key for Ebro will be maintaining defensive discipline and capitalizing on any counterattacking opportunities that arise.

CA Osasuna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

CA Osasuna enter this tie as clear favorites after a dominant 5-0 victory over CD Sant Jordi in the first round of the Copa del Rey. Under the guidance of Alessio Lisci, the Pamplona-based side demonstrated their attacking power and defensive solidity, scoring freely while keeping a clean sheet. Their season statistics in the competition are impressive: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses, with an average of 5 goals scored and none conceded.

In their most recent outing, Osasuna drew 2-2 against Mallorca in La Liga, a result that reflects their competitive spirit even against strong opposition. Over their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. These numbers suggest a balanced side capable of both attacking fluency and defensive resilience.

Another notable statistic is that Osasuna have not lost at half time in 23 of their last 25 matches, a sign of their consistency and focus from the opening whistle. Additionally, in the last 20 away games involving Osasuna, at least one team has failed to score in the first half, indicating that their matches often start cautiously before opening up later on. With their superior quality and tactical organization, Osasuna will look to control possession and dictate the tempo from the start.

Match Analysis: CD Ebro vs Osasuna

This Copa del Rey encounter is a classic David vs Goliath story. CD Ebro will rely on determination and home support to challenge a much stronger opponent, while CA Osasuna will aim to assert their dominance early and avoid any surprises. The difference in divisions and squad depth is significant, and Osasuna’s recent performances suggest they are well-equipped to handle the pressure of knockout football.

For Ebro, the main objective will be to stay compact defensively and frustrate Osasuna for as long as possible. Any lapse in concentration could prove costly against a side that has shown clinical finishing in cup competitions. On the other hand, Osasuna’s attacking options and experience in high-stakes matches make them heavy favorites to progress. Their ability to maintain control and convert chances efficiently should be decisive in this single-leg tie.

Given the context, the match is expected to see Osasuna dominate possession and create the majority of scoring opportunities. Ebro’s best hope lies in set pieces or counterattacks, but overcoming the visitors’ defensive organization will be a tall order. The difference in quality, fitness, and tactical awareness should ultimately tilt the balance in favor of the La Liga side.

BetMines Prediction: CD Ebro vs Osasuna

The most likely outcome is a CA Osasuna win (2) with a 64% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a CD Ebro win (1) stands at 14%.