The upcoming La Liga clash between Celta de Vigo and Deportivo Alavés promises to be an intriguing encounter between two sides living very different moments in their respective seasons. The Galician team arrives with renewed confidence after sealing qualification for the Europa League quarter-finals with a memorable 0-2 victory in Lyon, while the Basque visitors continue to struggle to find consistency in the domestic competition. With Celta sitting comfortably in sixth place and Alavés hovering near the relegation zone, this fixture at Balaídos could have significant implications for both ends of the table.

Celta de Vigo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Celta de Vigo are enjoying a positive run of form, both in Europe and in La Liga. Their recent triumph in France confirmed their solid momentum, and they now look to translate that energy into domestic success. In the league, Celta have collected 41 points, with a record of 10 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats. Their attacking play has been consistent, averaging 1.4 goals scored per match while conceding just 1.1 goals on average. This balance has allowed them to remain competitive against top opposition.

At Balaídos, Celta’s performances have been particularly entertaining. The team has gone eight consecutive home matches without a draw, splitting those evenly between four wins and four losses. Their matches tend to come alive after the break — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of each of their last 18 home games. This pattern suggests that the Galicians often find their rhythm as the match progresses, keeping fans on edge until the final whistle.

In their last five matches across all competitions, Celta have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game and conceding 1.0. Their recent results include a 1-2 loss to Real Madrid and a 1-1 draw against Lyon, followed by the crucial 0-2 win in France. These outcomes underline their resilience and ability to perform under pressure, even when facing strong opponents.

• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in the last 10 matches of Celta de Vigo.


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in 24 of their last 26 matches.


• At least one team failed to score at half time in 28 of their last 30 games.


• Under 7.5 corners in each of their last 4 matches.

With their attacking rhythm improving and their defensive structure holding firm, Celta approach this fixture as clear favorites. The home crowd will expect another strong performance to consolidate their European ambitions.

Deportivo Alavés’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Alavés arrive in Vigo in a difficult situation. The Basque side currently sit 17th in the La Liga standings, just above the relegation zone, with 28 points from 7 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats. Their main issue has been their away form — they have earned only 8 of their total points on the road, a statistic that highlights their struggles outside Mendizorroza. In their last eleven away league matches, they have suffered nine defeats, managed one draw, and celebrated just one victory.

Recent performances have shown some improvement in terms of effort, but results remain elusive. Over their last five matches, Alavés have recorded no wins, three draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Their most recent outing, a 1-1 draw against Villarreal, at least stopped a run of losses, but the team still needs to tighten up defensively — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 La Liga matches and in their last 12 away fixtures.

• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in the last 16 matches of Deportivo Alavés.


• At least one goal conceded in their last 13 La Liga games.


• Average goals scored: 0.9 per match; average conceded: 1.4 per match.

Despite their difficulties, Alavés have shown flashes of attacking potential, managing to score in most of their recent games. However, their defensive fragility continues to undermine their efforts. The team’s challenge in Vigo will be to contain Celta’s dynamic attack while trying to exploit any counterattacking opportunities that arise.

Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés Tactical Overview and Prediction

This encounter brings together two teams with contrasting objectives: Celta de Vigo aiming to strengthen their European push, and Deportivo Alavés fighting to avoid slipping further into the relegation battle. The Galicians’ recent performances suggest a side full of confidence, especially after their European success. Their ability to maintain intensity across both competitions has been impressive, and their attacking variety often proves decisive at home.

For Alavés, the key will be discipline and compactness. Their defensive record away from home has been poor, and facing a side that thrives in the second half could expose their vulnerabilities. The visitors will likely focus on keeping the game tight early on, hoping to frustrate Celta and capitalize on set pieces or transitions. However, given the hosts’ momentum and superior form, the balance of probabilities leans heavily toward a home victory.

Historically, recent head-to-head meetings have been relatively balanced, but Celta’s current trajectory gives them the edge. The Galicians have won two of the last five encounters, drawing two and losing one, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Considering both teams’ tendencies, a low-scoring affair with decisive moments after halftime seems likely.

Probable Lineups Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés

Celta de Vigo (possible XI): Carreira; Javi Rodríguez, Starfelt, Marcos Alonso, Mingueza; Sotelo, Fer López; Pablo Durán, Hugo Álvarez, Borja Iglesias.
Deportivo Alavés (possible XI): Sivera; Jonny Castro, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada; Blanco, Ibáñez, Aleñá; Ángel Pérez, Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.

BetMines Prediction

According to the latest data, Celta de Vigo hold a clear advantage with a 49% probability of winning, compared to 26% for a draw and 24% for a Deportivo Alavés win. The most likely scenario points toward a home win (1), supported by Celta’s strong home record and Alavés’ poor away form. Additionally, the Under 2.5 goals market shows a 55% probability, suggesting a controlled match where Celta’s efficiency could make the difference.

Celta de Vigo vs Deportivo Alavés prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 49% probability.