The upcoming La Liga clash between Celta de Vigo and Mallorca promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides. The Galician outfit will look to end a four-match winless streak in the league and regain momentum after their recent European commitments. Meanwhile, Mallorca arrive in Vigo under pressure, having slipped into the relegation zone following a series of disappointing results. With both teams in need of points for very different reasons, this fixture at Balaídos could have a significant impact on their respective seasons.

Celta de Vigo’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Celta de Vigo approach this match sitting 7th in La Liga, with a record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game reflects a balanced side capable of competing against most opponents. The team recently celebrated a morale-boosting 1-2 victory away to PAOK in the Europa League, a result that could inject confidence after a mixed domestic run.

In their last five matches across all competitions, Celta have recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 defeat, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Despite this modest return, their home form remains a strong point. Before their recent setback against Osasuna, they had won three consecutive home games, including convincing victories over Valencia (4-1) and Rayo Vallecano (3-0). Balaídos continues to be a ground where they perform with greater assurance.

Statistically, Celta’s matches tend to open up after the break. There have been over 0.5 goals in the second half in each of their last 16 home games, and in 23 of their last 25 La Liga fixtures overall. However, the first halves are often tight, with under 1.5 goals before halftime in 18 of their last 20 league matches. This pattern suggests a team that grows into games and often finds rhythm as the minutes progress.

• Over 0.5 goals in the second half in the last 12 La Liga home matches.


• Under 1.5 goals at half time in the last 12 league games.


• Last head-to-head vs Mallorca: 1-1 (August 2025).


• Head-to-head record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.

In terms of personnel, Celta will be without Álvaro Núñez, while Hugo Sotelo remains doubtful due to an ankle issue. Despite these absences, the squad has shown resilience in managing both domestic and European commitments effectively. The likely lineup includes Radu in goal, with El Abdellaoui, Manu Fernández, Starfelt, Marcos Alonso, and Mingueza forming the defensive unit. Vecino and Ilaix Moriba are expected to anchor the midfield, while the attack should feature Iago Aspas, Hugo Álvarez, and Pablo Durá.

Mallorca’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mallorca enter this fixture in 18th place, struggling to find consistency in La Liga. Their season record stands at 6 wins, 6 draws, and 12 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. The Balearic side’s defensive fragility has been a recurring issue, particularly away from home, where they have lost their last three league trips and have gone seven away games without a win (five defeats and two draws).

In their last five outings, Mallorca have managed 2 wins and 3 defeats, scoring 1.6 goals per game but conceding 2.2 on average. Their most recent result was a 1-2 home loss to Real Betis, a setback that deepened their relegation worries. Despite occasional flashes of attacking quality, their inability to maintain defensive solidity has cost them valuable points.

Another notable trend is their vulnerability in the early stages of matches: Mallorca have lost at half time in their last three away games in La Liga. On the other hand, their matches tend to be lively, with over 8.5 corners recorded in 20 of their last 22 league fixtures, reflecting an open style of play that often leads to end-to-end action.

• Lost 1-2 to Real Betis on February 15, 2026.


• Over 8.5 corners in 20 of their last 22 La Liga matches.


• Lost at half time in their last 3 away league games.


• Average goals conceded per match: 1.6.

For this encounter, Mallorca will be without Asano and Jan Salas due to injury, while Kumbulla remains doubtful. The expected starting eleven could include Leo Román in goal; Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, and Mojica in defense; Mascarell, Samú Costa, and Darder in midfield; and an attacking trio of Luvumbo, Virgili, and Muriqi.

Celta de Vigo vs Mallorca Prediction and Tactical Overview

This match presents a clear contrast between a Celta side aiming to consolidate their position in the top half and a Mallorca team desperate to escape the relegation zone. The hosts’ ability to control possession and create chances at Balaídos should give them the upper hand, especially against a visiting team that struggles defensively on the road.

Given Celta’s strong home record and Mallorca’s poor away form, the Galicians are expected to dictate the tempo. The visitors may rely on counterattacks and set pieces, but their defensive lapses could once again prove costly. The historical balance also favors Celta, who have lost only once in their last five meetings with Mallorca.

Considering the statistical trends, fans can anticipate a game that starts cautiously but opens up in the second half. Celta’s pattern of scoring late and Mallorca’s tendency to concede after the break suggest that the decisive moments could come in the final 45 minutes.

Probable Lineups Celta de Vigo vs Mallorca

CELTA DE VIGO (4-3-3): Radu; El Abdellaoui, Manu Fernández, Starfelt, Marcos Alonso, Mingueza; Vecino, Ilaix Moriba; Iago Aspas, Hugo Álvarez, Pablo Durá.
MALLORCA (4-3-3): Leo Román; Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, Mojica; Mascarell, Samú Costa, Darder; Luvumbo, Virgili, Muriqi.

Celta de Vigo vs Mallorca prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards a home win (1) for Celta de Vigo, supported by a 57% probability. A draw (X) carries 24%, while an away win (2) stands at 19%. Given the hosts’ superior home form and Mallorca’s away struggles, Celta appear well-positioned to claim all three points at Balaídos.