Tools
Prediction published on Dec 5, 2025 4:03 PM by Dario in Scotland - Premiership | Modified on Dec 5, 2025 4:03 PM
The Scottish Premiership delivers a blockbuster encounter this Sunday as Celtic host Heart of Midlothian at Celtic Park. With both sides level on points at the top of the table, this clash could prove decisive in shaping the title race. The Hoops have been in scintillating form, while the Jam Tarts have seen their early-season dominance fade in recent weeks. With first place on the line, all eyes will be on Glasgow for what promises to be a thrilling contest between two of Scotland’s most consistent teams.
Celtic enter this match riding a wave of confidence after a string of impressive performances. The Hoops have won their last five matches across all competitions, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. Their most recent outing was a narrow but controlled 1-0 victory over Dundee on December 3, which extended their unbeaten run and reinforced their dominance at home.
In the Premiership, Celtic’s record stands at 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. They have been particularly strong at Celtic Park, where they have dropped only two points all season. The team’s first-half performances have been exceptional, having led at halftime in their last three league home games and remaining unbeaten at the break in 18 of their last 20 Premiership fixtures.
Newly appointed manager Wilfried Nancy takes charge for the first time following his move from Columbus Crew, succeeding caretaker Martin O’Neill. Nancy inherits a squad in fine form but with several injury concerns. Jota remains a long-term absentee, while Alistair Johnston, Kelechi Iheanacho, Cameron Carter-Vickers, Callum Osmand, and Marcelo Saracchi are also sidelined. Despite these setbacks, Celtic’s attacking options remain potent, with Daizen Maeda and Benjamin Nygren leading the scoring charts and Johnny Kenny contributing four goals in eight league appearances.
Heart of Midlothian have enjoyed a strong campaign under Derek McInnes, but their recent form has dipped. The Jam Tarts have failed to win any of their last four league matches, drawing three and losing one. Their latest result was a 1-1 draw with Kilmarnock on December 3, a game that extended their winless streak but maintained their position at the top of the table thanks to earlier consistency.
Hearts’ overall Premiership record reads 9 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeat, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. They have been remarkably resilient, avoiding defeat in 23 of their last 24 matches. Away from home, they have shown solid defensive organization, with Under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last fifteen away league fixtures.
In attack, Lawrence Shankland remains the key figure, having scored eight goals in 14 league appearances. Supporting him is Alexandros Kyziridis, who has contributed three goals and four assists this season. However, Hearts will be without Finlay Pollock, Calem Nieuwenhof, Ayeu, and Beni Beningime for this trip to Glasgow, limiting McInnes’s options in midfield and defense.
This top-of-the-table clash brings together the Premiership’s two most prolific attacks. Celtic have averaged over two goals per home game, while Hearts have scored 30 goals this season, the highest tally in the division. Their previous meeting in October ended in a 3-1 win for Hearts at Tynecastle, but the balance of power may shift this time given Celtic’s formidable home record and Hearts’ recent dip in form.
Historically, Celtic have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five head-to-heads and averaging 2.6 goals scored per match against Hearts. Two of the last three encounters have featured both teams scoring and over 2.5 total goals, suggesting another open and entertaining contest could be on the cards. However, Hearts’ defensive discipline and Celtic’s injury list add an element of unpredictability.
For Nancy, this debut match offers a chance to make an immediate statement. His teams are known for fluid, attacking football, and with the likes of Maeda and Nygren in form, Celtic will look to press high and dominate possession. Hearts, meanwhile, will likely rely on quick transitions and the finishing ability of Shankland to exploit any gaps left by Celtic’s adventurous approach.
Given the current form lines, Celtic’s momentum, and their home advantage, the Hoops appear well-positioned to reclaim top spot. Hearts’ resilience should not be underestimated, but their recent inability to convert draws into wins could prove costly in such a high-stakes fixture.
The most likely outcome is a Celtic win (1) with a 63% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 22%, while a Hearts win (2) stands at 15%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Celtic
Hearts
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
4
6
2.5
2
8
5
5
3.5
4
6
8
2
4.5
9
1
10
0