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Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 1:02 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 1:02 PM
Charlton Athletic will be desperate to end their poor run of form when they host Portsmouth in this Championship clash at The Valley. The Addicks have slipped to 17th in the table after a series of disappointing results, while Portsmouth are struggling even more, sitting 22nd and inside the relegation zone on goal difference. Both sides are in need of a morale-boosting win to steer their seasons back on track.
Charlton Athletic come into this fixture after a 3-1 defeat to Coventry City on November 29, extending their losing streak to four consecutive league matches. During this run, they have conceded 11 goals and scored only twice, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities and lack of cutting edge in attack. Despite this slump, the Addicks remain six points clear of the relegation zone, largely thanks to their earlier form in the campaign.
At home, Charlton have been more competitive. They have won four of their eight league fixtures at The Valley, losing only twice. Before the heavy 5-1 defeat to in-form Southampton, they had won three straight home games, showing that they can be a tough side to beat on their own turf. Across those seven home matches excluding the Southampton loss, they conceded just four goals, underlining a generally solid defensive record in front of their fans.
Overall this season, Charlton’s record stands at six wins, five draws, and seven defeats, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. However, they have been trailing at half-time in each of their last three league games, something manager Nathan Jones will be eager to correct. A return to The Valley could provide the perfect opportunity to rediscover their rhythm and confidence.
Portsmouth are enduring a difficult campaign and find themselves in the relegation zone after a 1-0 home defeat to Bristol City on November 29. That result marked their ninth league loss of the season and extended a worrying trend of inconsistency. In their last five matches, Pompey have managed just one win, one draw, and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.0 goals while conceding 1.6 per game.
It is away from home where Portsmouth’s problems are most evident. They have collected only six points from eight away league fixtures, the worst away record in the Championship. Their last three away games have all ended in defeat, with a combined total of ten goals conceded. Defensive lapses and a lack of attacking threat have made it difficult for them to compete on the road, and they will need a significant improvement to take anything from this trip to London.
Across the season, Portsmouth’s overall record reads four wins, five draws, and nine defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Manager John Mousinho will be under pressure to find solutions quickly, as the team’s current trajectory could see them dragged deeper into the relegation battle if results do not improve soon.
Historically, Charlton Athletic have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings with Portsmouth, the Addicks have recorded three wins and two draws, remaining unbeaten. The most recent encounter ended in a goalless draw in February 2024, but Charlton have generally been the more dominant side, averaging two goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match across those games.
Given both teams’ current struggles, this match could be decided by who handles the pressure better. Charlton’s home advantage and superior head-to-head record give them a psychological edge, while Portsmouth’s poor away form suggests they may once again find it difficult to contain their opponents. The Addicks will look to exploit Portsmouth’s defensive frailties, particularly in the opening stages, to regain momentum and secure a much-needed victory.
For Portsmouth, the key will be to stay compact and disciplined, avoiding the costly defensive errors that have plagued their recent performances. If they can frustrate Charlton and take advantage of set pieces or counter-attacks, they might stand a chance of snatching a point. However, the balance of play and recent trends point towards a home win.
The most likely outcome is a Charlton Athletic win (1) with a 56% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 26%, while a Portsmouth win (2) stands at 19%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Charlton Athletic
Portsmouth
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
10
0
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2