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Prediction published on May 2, 2026 2:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 2, 2026 2:02 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides, each chasing very different objectives as the season nears its conclusion. The home side are looking to end a difficult run of results and revive their European qualification hopes, while the visitors are fighting to secure their top-flight status and maintain momentum from their impressive Europa League campaign. With both teams under pressure, this Bank Holiday Monday fixture could deliver plenty of drama and intensity.
Chelsea enter this match sitting eighth in the Premier League table, having endured one of their toughest spells in recent memory. Despite reaching the FA Cup final after a 1-0 win over Leeds United on April 26, their league form remains a major concern. The Blues have lost five consecutive Premier League matches, failing to score in any of them. Their last league victory came several weeks ago, and they now risk equalling an unwanted record of six straight defeats if they fall again here.
At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea’s performances have been inconsistent. They have won six and lost six of their home league fixtures this season, with no victories in their last five. Their overall Premier League record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Defensive lapses have been frequent, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 league matches. Moreover, they have often struggled to start strongly, losing at half time in six of their last ten games.
There are some positive signs, however. The return of key players from injury could provide a boost, and the team’s attacking potential remains evident from their average of over 1.5 goals per match across the season. With European qualification still mathematically possible, Chelsea will be desperate to rediscover their scoring touch and end their barren run in front of their supporters.
Nottingham Forest arrive in London in excellent form and full of confidence. They currently sit 16th in the Premier League, five points clear of the relegation zone, and are unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions. Their recent 1-0 victory over Aston Villa on April 30 in the Europa League semi-final first leg has further lifted spirits within the squad. Domestically, they have been one of the most in-form sides in recent weeks, winning four and drawing one of their last five league games.
Forest’s attacking output has been particularly impressive, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match in their last five outings. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Their away form has also improved significantly, with six victories on the road and three wins in their last four away league fixtures. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in each of their last ten away matches, suggesting lively starts to their games.
Despite their strong run, Forest face a challenging balancing act. With a Europa League semi-final second leg just days away, rotation could be a factor, though their Premier League safety is not yet guaranteed. The absence of Callum Hudson-Odoi and potential fitness concerns for several players may test their depth. Nevertheless, the return of their top scorer has been a major boost, contributing two goals in the past week and adding a cutting edge to their attack.
This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting momentum. Chelsea are desperate to halt their slide and rediscover their rhythm, while Nottingham Forest are riding a wave of confidence from their unbeaten streak. The home side’s main challenge lies in breaking down a disciplined Forest defense that has conceded just twice in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Forest’s counter-attacking style and recent scoring form could pose serious problems for a Chelsea backline that has struggled for stability.
Historically, Chelsea have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. However, current form suggests a much tighter contest this time. The Blues’ inability to convert chances and Forest’s resilience make this encounter difficult to predict. If Chelsea can rediscover their attacking sharpness, they could edge it, but Forest’s confidence and efficiency in front of goal make them a dangerous opponent.
Based on the current data and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Premier League match points to a Chelsea win (1) with a 48% probability. While the home side’s recent struggles cannot be ignored, their need for points and home advantage could prove decisive. However, with Nottingham Forest’s strong form and attacking momentum, a close and competitive game is expected at Stamford Bridge.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
2
8
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
7
3