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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 04-05-2026

Chelsea

1 - 3

FT

Nottingham Forest

Stamford Bridge
Anthony Taylor
overcast clouds 15.53 °C

Prediction published on May 2, 2026 2:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 2, 2026 2:02 PM

The upcoming Premier League clash between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides, each chasing very different objectives as the season nears its conclusion. The home side are looking to end a difficult run of results and revive their European qualification hopes, while the visitors are fighting to secure their top-flight status and maintain momentum from their impressive Europa League campaign. With both teams under pressure, this Bank Holiday Monday fixture could deliver plenty of drama and intensity.


Chelsea’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Chelsea enter this match sitting eighth in the Premier League table, having endured one of their toughest spells in recent memory. Despite reaching the FA Cup final after a 1-0 win over Leeds United on April 26, their league form remains a major concern. The Blues have lost five consecutive Premier League matches, failing to score in any of them. Their last league victory came several weeks ago, and they now risk equalling an unwanted record of six straight defeats if they fall again here.


At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea’s performances have been inconsistent. They have won six and lost six of their home league fixtures this season, with no victories in their last five. Their overall Premier League record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Defensive lapses have been frequent, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 12 league matches. Moreover, they have often struggled to start strongly, losing at half time in six of their last ten games.


There are some positive signs, however. The return of key players from injury could provide a boost, and the team’s attacking potential remains evident from their average of over 1.5 goals per match across the season. With European qualification still mathematically possible, Chelsea will be desperate to rediscover their scoring touch and end their barren run in front of their supporters.


Nottingham Forest’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Nottingham Forest arrive in London in excellent form and full of confidence. They currently sit 16th in the Premier League, five points clear of the relegation zone, and are unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions. Their recent 1-0 victory over Aston Villa on April 30 in the Europa League semi-final first leg has further lifted spirits within the squad. Domestically, they have been one of the most in-form sides in recent weeks, winning four and drawing one of their last five league games.


Forest’s attacking output has been particularly impressive, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded per match in their last five outings. Over the course of the season, they have recorded 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Their away form has also improved significantly, with six victories on the road and three wins in their last four away league fixtures. Interestingly, over 0.5 goals have been scored at half time in each of their last ten away matches, suggesting lively starts to their games.


Despite their strong run, Forest face a challenging balancing act. With a Europa League semi-final second leg just days away, rotation could be a factor, though their Premier League safety is not yet guaranteed. The absence of Callum Hudson-Odoi and potential fitness concerns for several players may test their depth. Nevertheless, the return of their top scorer has been a major boost, contributing two goals in the past week and adding a cutting edge to their attack.


Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest Tactical Overview


This fixture brings together two teams with contrasting momentum. Chelsea are desperate to halt their slide and rediscover their rhythm, while Nottingham Forest are riding a wave of confidence from their unbeaten streak. The home side’s main challenge lies in breaking down a disciplined Forest defense that has conceded just twice in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Forest’s counter-attacking style and recent scoring form could pose serious problems for a Chelsea backline that has struggled for stability.


Historically, Chelsea have enjoyed the upper hand in this matchup, winning three of the last five meetings, including a 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. However, current form suggests a much tighter contest this time. The Blues’ inability to convert chances and Forest’s resilience make this encounter difficult to predict. If Chelsea can rediscover their attacking sharpness, they could edge it, but Forest’s confidence and efficiency in front of goal make them a dangerous opponent.



  • Ranking: Chelsea 8th, Nottingham Forest 16th

  • Recent results: Chelsea 2W–0D–3L; Nottingham Forest 4W–1D–0L

  • Average goals: Chelsea 1.6 scored / 1.3 conceded; Forest 1.2 scored / 1.3 conceded

  • Head-to-head: Chelsea 3W–1D–1L; last meeting 3-0 away win for Chelsea

  • BTTS (Yes): 57% probability

  • Over 2.5 goals: 57% probability


BetMines Prediction: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest


Based on the current data and probabilities, the BetMines prediction for this Premier League match points to a Chelsea win (1) with a 48% probability. While the home side’s recent struggles cannot be ignored, their need for points and home advantage could prove decisive. However, with Nottingham Forest’s strong form and attacking momentum, a close and competitive game is expected at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest - Predictions

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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Chelsea

Nottingham Forest

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

30%

3

70%

7

20%

2

80%

8

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

50%

5

50%

5

3.5

80%

8

20%

2

50%

5

50%

5

4.5

90%

9

10%

1

70%

7

30%

3

BetMines

Standings of Chelsea and Nottingham Forest in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

10

Chelsea

38

14

10

14

58:52

52

1.37

L
L
D
W
L
16

Nottingham Forest

38

11

11

16

48:51

44

1.16

W
W
D
L
D
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest be played?
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest will be played on May 4, 2026 at 14:00.
Where will Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest be played?
The match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest will be played at Stamford Bridge, London - England
Who will referee Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest?
The referee for the match will be Anthony Taylor.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest in the Premier League?
The odds are: Chelsea to win 1.70, draw 3.90, Nottingham Forest to win 4.75.
What are the betting odds for Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.72 and Under 2.5 at 2.10.
Will both Chelsea and Nottingham Forest score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.66, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.10.
What is the most likely correct score for Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest, Chelsea won 3 times, Nottingham Forest won 1, and 1 ended in a draw.

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