On the night between Tuesday, September 9 and Wednesday, September 10, Chile and Uruguay face off at the Julio Martínez Prádanos National Stadium in Santiago in the final matchday of the CONMEBOL Qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup. Two national teams with nothing left at stake meet: the hosts are bottom of the table, while the visitors sit third, mathematically qualified for next year’s World Cup. With World Cup qualification out of reach, Chile will mainly play for pride, hoping to overtake Peru if they beat Paraguay, thus avoiding finishing last in the group. Uruguay, who boast two World Cup titles, could move up to second place with a win, overtaking Brazil, who have a tricky clash against Bolivia still fighting for the playoffs. Regardless of the result in Santiago, Bielsa’s men will celebrate their fifth consecutive qualification for a World Cup group stage. For Chile, instead, a long period of reflection will begin to address the causes of this failure.

Chile's recent form and key stats

In their last match, played on September 5, Chile lost 3-0 away to Brazil, their third defeat in a row after falling to Argentina and Bolivia. Their last five games have been disastrous: four defeats, one draw, no goals scored, and seven conceded (1.4 per match).

With such a poor record, it’s no surprise that La Roja are bottom of the CONMEBOL Qualifiers table with just 10 points, the result of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats. They have the second-worst attack in the tournament with only 9 goals in 17 matches, as well as the second-worst defense with 27 goals conceded (1.63 per match).

In their last three official home games, Chile’s performances have been inconsistent. They beat Colombia 4-1 in late November, drew 0-0 against Ecuador in March, but then lost 1-0 to leaders Argentina thanks to a Julian Alvarez goal.

Uruguay's recent form and key stats

Uruguay come into this match full of confidence after a 2-0 win over Venezuela and a 3-0 victory against Peru. Considering they had collected only two points from their previous four matches, Bielsa's men have rediscovered both goals and defensive solidity.

In the standings, Uruguay are third behind Brazil and Argentina with 27 points from 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats. La Celeste average 1.38 goals scored and just 0.75 conceded per match across the first 17 rounds. Among the in-form players, Rodrigo Aguirre stands out, having scored in each of his last two appearances for the national team.

However, Uruguay’s away record remains concerning: two defeats and three draws in their last five trips. Their most recent away game ended in a 2-0 loss to Paraguay, while before that they drew 0-0 in Bolivia.

Chile vs Uruguay prediction and tactical overview

The prediction for Chile vs Uruguay leans towards a low-scoring game. Both teams lack real motivation: Chile are already out and Uruguay are already through.

That said, we can still expect some flashes of quality, especially from the visitors, who are in better form and have a higher technical level. Still, it won’t be easy for Bielsa’s men to score more than two goals against Chile’s defense, which conceded only once to World Champions Argentina in June.

The hosts will try to resist Uruguay’s attacks and threaten Rochet on the counter. However, Cordova’s men will likely struggle to break down a defense that has kept two consecutive clean sheets.

According to the BetMines algorithm, Under 2.5 goals is the most probable outcome with a 54% chance. Statistically, this result has occurred in four of Chile’s last five matches and in five of Uruguay’s last six.

• BetMines Prediction Chile vs Uruguay: Over 2.5 goals with 46% probability
  
  
• BetMines Prediction Chile vs Uruguay: Under 2.5 goals with 54% probability

Probable lineups Chile vs Uruguay

CHILE (3-4-3): Vigouroux; Diaz, Maripan, Roman; Hormazabal, Loyola, Pizarro, Suazo; Cepeda, Aravena, Tapia. Coach: Nicolas Andres Cordova

URUGUAY (4-3-3): Rochet; Nandez, Araujo, Caceres, Piquerez; Valverde, Bentancur, De Arrascaeta; Pellistri, Rodriguez, Nunez. Coach: Marcelo Bielsa