The first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final brings an exciting clash between Como and Inter at the Sinigaglia Stadium. It is a historic moment for the home side, who have reached this stage for the first time in four decades. Their journey has been remarkable, eliminating top-tier opponents and showing resilience throughout the competition. Meanwhile, Inter arrive as heavy favourites, chasing their tenth Coppa Italia title and looking to bounce back from European disappointment with domestic silverware.

Como’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Como enter this semi-final full of confidence after a 3-1 victory over Lecce on February 28, a result that extended their positive run in both league and cup. In their last five matches, they have recorded two wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded per game. Their Coppa Italia campaign has been particularly impressive, with three wins and one draw, scoring an average of 2.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.8.

At home, Como have shown remarkable consistency. They have won at half time in their last three home matches in the competition and have not lost at half time in 19 of their last 21 home fixtures overall. Their defensive discipline has been key, with at least one team failing to score in the second half in 37 of their last 39 matches. This suggests a team that knows how to manage games once they take the lead.

In the Coppa Italia, Como’s path to the semi-finals included victories over Sudtirol, Sassuolo, Fiorentina and Napoli, the latter decided on penalties after a goalless draw. Goalkeeper Jean Butez was the hero in that match, saving a crucial spot-kick. Despite injuries to key players like Baturina and Addai, the squad remains competitive, with Nico Paz and Douvikas expected to play pivotal roles in attack. The home crowd will be hoping their side can continue their fairytale run against one of Italy’s giants.

Inter’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Inter come into this match in excellent domestic form, having beaten Genoa 2-0 on February 28. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. In the Coppa Italia, they have been dominant, winning both of their matches so far with an average of 3.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The Nerazzurri have scored in each of their last 19 matches in all competitions and in their last 19 away games, highlighting their attacking consistency.

Inter’s record in this competition is formidable. They have won nine Coppa Italia titles, most recently in 2023, and are determined to reclaim the trophy after being eliminated in the semi-finals last season. Their away form in the cup, however, shows some vulnerability, with seven draws in their last eight away fixtures. Still, they have won at half time in six of their last ten matches in the competition, often starting games strongly.

In head-to-head encounters, Inter have completely dominated Como. The last five meetings have all ended in Inter’s favour, including a 4-0 victory in December 2025. Como have failed to score in those matches, conceding an average of 2.7 goals per game. With players like Dimarco in outstanding form and the team unbeaten in their last 15 Serie A matches, Inter appear well-equipped to handle the pressure of this semi-final.

Como vs Inter Analysis and Tactical Overview

This semi-final promises to be a fascinating battle between a rising underdog and an established powerhouse. Como will rely on their compact structure, quick transitions and home advantage to challenge Inter’s superior individual quality. Their recent record of strong first halves could be crucial in setting the tone early on. However, maintaining intensity for the full 90 minutes against a side as experienced as Inter will be a major test.

Inter, on the other hand, will look to impose their rhythm through possession and width, exploiting spaces with their wing-backs and creative midfielders. Their attacking depth and ability to score in virtually every match make them dangerous from the first whistle. Yet, Como’s defensive resilience and the emotional boost of playing in front of their fans could make this a closer contest than expected.

Statistically, the numbers suggest a balanced encounter in terms of goals. Inter’s matches have consistently produced over 1.5 goals, while Como’s defensive record indicates that they rarely allow high-scoring affairs. The combination points towards a match where both sides could find the net, but without an excessive goal tally.

Probable Lineups Como vs Inter

COMO (3-4-2-1): Butez; Smolcic, Ramon, Carlos; Perrone, Da Cunha; Vojvoda, Paz, Rodriguez; Douvikas.
INTER (3-5-2): Martinez; Bisseck, Akanji, Bastoni; Henrique, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Thuram, Esposito.

Como vs Inter Prediction

Given the data and recent performances, this semi-final first leg could deliver an entertaining and competitive match. Como have been strong at home and rarely concede early, while Inter have scored in every game for months. The balance of probabilities points towards both teams finding the net at least once.

Como vs Inter prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 51% probability.