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Prediction published on Apr 10, 2026 5:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Apr 10, 2026 5:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Como and Inter promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of the 32nd round. Scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026, this encounter at the Senigaglia Stadium will see two teams with very different ambitions face off: Como continue to chase their dream of a first-ever Champions League qualification, while Inter sit at the top of the table and aim to consolidate their lead in the title race. The home side’s recent consistency has kept them in the top four, but the margin over their closest rivals has narrowed, making this match crucial for both sides.
Como approach this match in excellent form, remaining unbeaten in their last eight Serie A games, with five wins and three draws. Their most recent outing ended in a goalless draw away to Udinese, a result that slightly slowed their momentum but still extended their unbeaten streak. At home, Como have been particularly strong, winning their last three league matches and scoring ten goals in the process. Their season record of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats underlines their consistency, while an average of 1.7 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per match shows a balanced and efficient side.
Statistically, Como’s matches tend to be tight affairs. Under 10.5 corners have been recorded in 19 of their last 20 games, and at least one team has failed to score in the second half in 37 of their last 40 fixtures. The Lariani rarely trail at the break, having avoided defeat at half time in 28 of their last 31 matches. They have also led at half time in 7 of their last 11 Serie A games, demonstrating their ability to start strongly. Despite their attacking improvements, low-scoring results remain common, with under 0.5 goals recorded in three of their last eleven matches overall and in three of their last twelve home games.
On the personnel front, Como may still be without Jayden Addai, while Jesus Rodriguez and Jacobo Ramon are close to returning from minor injuries. The team’s attacking variety has been a key factor this season, with sixteen different players finding the net. Nico Paz has been particularly effective from distance, while Assane Diao recently joined the list of scorers with a crucial goal against Pisa. These contributions underline the collective strength of a side that continues to punch above its weight in the league.
Inter arrive at this fixture as league leaders, having rediscovered their rhythm with a commanding 5-2 victory over Roma in their last outing. That result ended a run of four matches without a win across all competitions and reaffirmed their attacking power. Over the last five games, Inter have recorded one win, three draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their overall Serie A record of 23 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses highlights their dominance, supported by an impressive average of 2.3 goals scored per game and only 0.8 conceded.
Inter’s first-half performances have been particularly strong, as they have led at half time in each of their last three Serie A matches and avoided defeat before the break in 22 of their last 23 league fixtures. Away from home, they have won at half time in 7 of their last 10 games, showing their ability to impose themselves early even on the road. The Nerazzurri have scored in 25 of their last 27 Serie A matches, underlining their attacking consistency. However, their recent away form has shown slight vulnerability, with no wins in their last two trips after previously winning nine of eleven away league games.
In terms of squad news, Inter are expected to welcome back Carlos Augusto after suspension, while Yann Bisseck remains unavailable. The attacking trio that scored against Como earlier in the season — Thuram, Calhanoglu, and Martinez — are all expected to feature again. Lautaro Martinez continues to lead the Serie A scoring charts with 16 goals, nine of which have directly influenced match outcomes. His presence significantly boosts Inter’s winning probability, as the team’s success rate increases by 41% when he is on the pitch.
This match brings together two teams in strong form but with contrasting objectives. Como will rely on their home momentum and defensive discipline to challenge the league leaders, while Inter will look to maintain their attacking flow and extend their lead at the top. The hosts’ recent unbeaten run and solid defensive numbers suggest they can make life difficult for the visitors, especially given their ability to control first halves and limit opponents’ chances. Inter, however, possess the firepower and experience to break down resilient defenses, as shown in their emphatic win over Roma.
Historically, Inter have dominated this fixture, winning all ten of the last league meetings and scoring 24 goals to Como’s two. The most recent head-to-head ended 0-0 on March 3, 2026, showing that Como are capable of frustrating their illustrious opponents. Given both teams’ recent patterns — Como’s low-scoring home games and Inter’s slight dip in away form — a balanced and tactical encounter is expected, with limited goal opportunities.
Considering the data and recent performances, this fixture could be defined by tactical discipline and efficiency rather than open attacking play. Como’s defensive structure and Inter’s controlled approach suggest a close contest where both sides may prioritize avoiding mistakes over taking risks.
Como vs Inter prediction from BetMines: Under 2.5 goals with 52% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Como
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
7
3
7
3