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Prediction published on May 22, 2026 4:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 22, 2026 4:03 PM
The Premier League season concludes with an intriguing London derby as Crystal Palace host newly crowned champions Arsenal at Selhurst Park. The home side will form a guard of honour for the visitors, who finally ended their long wait for a league title earlier this week. While the Gunners will be eager to celebrate their triumph with another victory, Palace’s focus appears to be elsewhere, with a European final on the horizon. Both teams are expected to rotate their squads, but the competitive spirit of this fixture should still make for an entertaining finale.
Crystal Palace approach this match sitting 15th in the Premier League table, having endured a mixed campaign. Their recent 2-2 draw against Brentford extended their winless streak in the league to six matches (three draws and three defeats). Despite that, the Eagles have shown resilience at home, remaining unbeaten in their last nine matches across all competitions at Selhurst Park. Their defensive record has also improved slightly, with three clean sheets in their last five home league games.
Over the course of the season, Palace have registered 11 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match. Their attacking output has been inconsistent, with an average of just 1.2 goals scored in their last five outings. However, they have proven difficult to break down at times, particularly when playing in front of their supporters. Statistical trends show that under 0.5 goals have been scored in four of their last 12 home matches, suggesting that their games often start cautiously.
With the Conference League final looming, Palace are expected to rest several key players. This could open the door for fringe members of the squad to make an impression, though it may also limit their attacking threat. The team’s main challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline against a confident Arsenal side that rarely fails to find the net.
Having already secured the Premier League title, Arsenal enter this fixture full of confidence. Their 1-0 win over Burnley last weekend extended their unbeaten run to six matches in all competitions, including four consecutive league victories. During this period, the Gunners have kept five clean sheets and conceded only once, underlining their defensive solidity. Their season record of 25 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats reflects their consistency, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and just 0.7 conceded per game.
Arsenal’s away form has been particularly impressive, collecting 35 points from 18 away fixtures (10 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses) — the best record in the division. They have also scored in each of their last 13 away league matches, showing their ability to perform on the road. The team’s matches have generally been tight affairs, with under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 18 games. Furthermore, they have not trailed at half time in any of their last 22 Premier League fixtures, a testament to their control and game management.
With the Champions League final against PSG approaching, Arsenal are expected to rotate their lineup. Several regular starters could be rested, giving opportunities to squad players eager to impress. Even so, the depth and quality within the team suggest they remain strong favourites to end their domestic campaign on a winning note.
This encounter brings together two sides with contrasting priorities. Crystal Palace are safe from relegation and have their attention fixed on their upcoming European final, while Arsenal are looking to maintain momentum ahead of their own continental showdown. The hosts’ likely rotation could make them vulnerable, especially against a visiting side that thrives on possession and quick transitions.
Historically, Arsenal have dominated recent meetings between the two clubs, remaining unbeaten in their last seven league encounters. The Gunners’ defensive organisation and attacking efficiency have been key factors in that run. Palace, meanwhile, have struggled to convert chances into goals, averaging just over one goal per game this season. Their best hope may lie in frustrating Arsenal early on and capitalising on set pieces or counter-attacks.
Given the statistical trends, a low-scoring match seems plausible. Arsenal’s recent fixtures have consistently featured fewer than three goals, while Palace’s home games have often been tight contests. However, the visitors’ superior form and motivation to finish their title-winning campaign in style could prove decisive.
Both teams are expected to make changes, but Arsenal’s depth and defensive stability give them a clear edge. Crystal Palace may struggle to match the champions’ intensity, especially with their focus on the upcoming European final. The visitors’ strong away record and consistent scoring form suggest they are well placed to close the season with another victory.
BetMines prediction for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal:
Arsenal win (2) with 53% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
5
5
2.5
1
9
6
4
3.5
6
4
10
0
4.5
10
0
10
0