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Prediction published on Feb 9, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 9, 2026 8:02 PM
The Premier League midweek action continues at Selhurst Park, where Crystal Palace host Burnley in a crucial Matchday 26 encounter. The Eagles sit 13th in the table, while the Clarets are struggling in 19th place after 25 games. With both sides fighting for very different objectives, this fixture promises intensity and high stakes under the London lights.
Crystal Palace come into this match buoyed by a much-needed 1-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion on February 8, ending a nine-match winless streak in the Premier League. That result not only lifted morale but also pushed them nine points clear of the relegation zone. Despite this, their home form remains a concern, with no wins in their last seven league games at Selhurst Park (three draws and four defeats). The Eagles have collected 12 points from 12 home matches this season, averaging 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
In terms of consistency, Palace’s last five matches show a mixed pattern: one win, one draw, and three defeats. Their attack has been modest, averaging just one goal per match, while the defense has allowed 1.6 on average. However, the team’s resilience against Burnley has been notable — unbeaten in their last five head-to-head meetings (three wins, two draws) and victorious in the reverse fixture earlier this season with a 1-0 scoreline.
Recent performances have also highlighted individual contributions. Ismaila Sarr has found form since returning from the Africa Cup of Nations, scoring in two of his last three appearances. New signing Jorgen Strand Larsen made his debut in the previous match and could continue leading the line, while Evann Guessand impressed with an assist on his league debut. The hosts will, however, be without several players due to injury, including Cheick Doucoure and Eddie Nketiah, though the latter is nearing a return.
Burnley continue to struggle near the bottom of the table, having lost 2-0 to West Ham United on February 7. That defeat extended their winless run in the Premier League to 16 matches, leaving them 11 points adrift of safety. The Clarets’ season record stands at three wins, six draws, and sixteen losses, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded per game — the worst defensive record in the division.
Despite a few encouraging performances earlier in the campaign, Burnley’s inability to maintain leads and defensive lapses have cost them dearly. Their away form offers little comfort: no wins in their last seven league trips, though they have been involved in high-scoring encounters. Over 1.5 total goals have been recorded in each of their last 14 away matches, and they have conceded at least once in their previous 12 Premier League away fixtures.
Managerial adjustments have seen Zian Flemming start as the central striker recently, producing seven shots in his last outing. Midfield rotation continues, with Josh Laurent likely to start after replacing Florentino Luis at halftime in the previous match. The injury list remains long, with Mike Tresor, Jordan Beyer, Connor Roberts, Zeki Amdouni, and Josh Cullen all sidelined.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting momentum. Crystal Palace have regained confidence after their derby win, while Burnley are desperate to end a long winless streak. The Eagles’ home struggles could make this a tighter contest than expected, but their superior head-to-head record and attacking options give them a clear edge.
Burnley’s defensive issues remain their biggest weakness, with nearly two goals conceded per game and a tendency to lose focus after halftime. Palace, meanwhile, have shown flashes of attacking improvement, particularly through Sarr’s pace and Guessand’s creativity. Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns — Palace’s modest attack and Burnley’s porous defense — a match featuring between two and four goals seems the most plausible outcome.
Historically, this fixture has produced balanced scorelines, but the current form suggests that the home side could capitalize on Burnley’s vulnerabilities. Expect Palace to control possession and create more chances, while Burnley may rely on counterattacks and set pieces to threaten.
Crystal Palace vs Burnley prediction by BetMines:
Over 1.5 goals with a probability of 50%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Burnley
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
5
5
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
10
0
8
2