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Prediction published on Jan 24, 2026 1:37 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 24, 2026 1:37 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Chelsea promises to be a fascinating London derby, with both sides heading into the weekend in contrasting form. The reverse fixture earlier this season ended in a goalless draw, but much has changed since then. Chelsea, currently sixth in the table, are six points clear of their 13th-placed hosts and arrive at Selhurst Park looking to extend their unbeaten run against Palace, which stretches back several years. The Eagles, meanwhile, are desperate to halt their slide after a difficult run of results that has seen them drift away from the top half of the standings.
Crystal Palace have endured a tough spell in recent weeks, struggling to find consistency both in performance and results. Their last outing ended in a 2-1 defeat away to Sunderland, extending a winless streak that now spans five matches across all competitions. During this period, the Eagles have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging just 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.4. The lack of cutting edge in attack has been a major concern, with leading scorer Jean-Philippe Mateta finding the net only once in his last eleven appearances.
Palace’s overall Premier League record this season stands at 7 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. Their home form has also been inconsistent, and low-scoring encounters have been a recurring theme — Under 0.5 goals have been recorded in three of their last ten home league games. Moreover, at least one team has failed to score before half-time in 33 of their last 35 matches, underlining their tendency to start games cautiously.
Off the pitch, uncertainty has surrounded the club, with managerial changes looming and several players linked with exits. Despite these challenges, Palace will look to draw inspiration from their home crowd and aim to rediscover the resilience that once made Selhurst Park a difficult venue for visiting teams.
Chelsea enter this fixture in far better shape, having found renewed confidence under their new manager. The Blues recently secured a 1-0 win over Pafos FC in the Champions League, marking their second consecutive victory and extending a run of improved performances. Over their last five matches, Chelsea have registered 3 wins and 2 defeats, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game while conceding 1.2. Their attacking play has been more fluid, and defensively they have tightened up, keeping clean sheets in their last two outings.
In the Premier League, Chelsea’s record stands at 9 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match. They have been particularly reliable in front of goal, scoring in 20 of their last 21 league matches and in 22 of their last 23 away fixtures. The Blues have also shown a strong second-half presence, with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in 20 of their last 22 away games.
Key to Chelsea’s resurgence has been the form of Joao Pedro, who leads the team with seven goals this season. His recent strike against Brentford highlighted his growing influence in attack. While injuries have sidelined several players, including Cole Palmer and Romeo Lavia, the squad’s depth has allowed them to maintain momentum. The defensive unit, despite absences, has looked increasingly composed, providing a solid foundation for their attacking play.
This London derby pits two teams on very different trajectories. Crystal Palace are struggling to regain confidence after a series of disappointing results, while Chelsea appear to be building momentum at a crucial stage of the season. The visitors’ attacking consistency and defensive improvement make them strong favourites heading into this encounter.
Historically, Chelsea have dominated this fixture, remaining unbeaten against Palace since 2017. The last three meetings between the sides have all ended in draws, including the 0-0 stalemate earlier this season. However, given the current form of both teams, a repeat of that result seems unlikely. Palace’s attacking struggles, combined with Chelsea’s ability to find goals in almost every match, suggest that the visitors are well placed to claim all three points.
From a statistical perspective, the numbers also point towards a tight, low-scoring affair. Palace’s recent matches have featured few goals, and Chelsea’s improved defensive record supports the likelihood of an Under 2.5 goals outcome. The Eagles’ inability to convert chances and the Blues’ disciplined approach could result in a controlled performance from the away side.
Crystal Palace vs Chelsea prediction by BetMines:
Chelsea win (2) with 50% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
1
9
3
7
2.5
1
9
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1