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Prediction published on Oct 4, 2025 12:04 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Oct 4, 2025 12:19 PM
The upcoming clash between Deportivo Alavés and Elche CF at the Mendizorroza Stadium promises to be one of the most intriguing fixtures of LaLiga EA Sports matchday 8. Both sides arrive in contrasting form, with the hosts looking to bounce back from a narrow defeat, while the visitors continue to impress as one of the league’s early surprises. Historically, this fixture has been evenly balanced, but current momentum clearly favors the team from Elche.
Deportivo Alavés come into this encounter after a 1-0 loss away to Mallorca, a match in which they arguably deserved more. Despite creating several chances, a solitary strike from Takuma Asano decided the contest. The Basque side currently sit 12th in LaLiga with 8 points from seven matches, having recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats. Their average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game highlights a team that remains competitive but struggles to find consistency in attack.
At home, Alavés have been solid defensively, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 17 league matches at Mendizorroza. This trend underlines their cautious approach and the importance of defensive organization under pressure. The team’s attacking hopes rest largely on Lucas Boyé and Carles Aleñá, who will be tasked with breaking down one of the most disciplined defenses in the competition. Despite their mid-table position, Alavés have shown resilience and will rely heavily on home support to challenge a confident Elche side.
Elche CF have been one of the standout teams of the 2025/26 LaLiga season. Under the guidance of Eder Sarabia, the newly promoted side remain unbeaten after seven matches, sitting 4th in the table with 13 points from 3 wins and 4 draws. Their latest outing was a 2-1 home victory over Celta de Vigo, a result that could have been even more emphatic given their dominance throughout the match. The team averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced and efficient style of play.
Elche’s success has been built on a clear identity: a possession-based approach that allows them to control the tempo and dictate play. This tactical discipline, carried over from their promotion campaign, has translated seamlessly to the top flight. Key figures such as Rafa Mir and André Silva have been instrumental in attack, while the collective defensive effort has ensured stability at the back. The team has scored in each of their last 20 matches across all competitions, and Over 0.5 goals have been recorded in their last 32 outings, underlining their attacking consistency.
Matches between these two sides have historically been tight, with the last five meetings producing two wins each and one draw. The most recent encounter dates back to February 2022, when Alavés triumphed 3-1. However, the current dynamics suggest a different scenario this time around. Elche’s unbeaten run and confidence in possession make them a formidable opponent, even away from home.
For Alavés, the key will be to disrupt Elche’s rhythm and exploit transitions. Their defensive structure has been reliable, but they will need to improve their efficiency in front of goal to stand a chance of taking all three points. The home crowd at Mendizorroza could play a crucial role, especially if the match remains tight heading into the final stages. On the other hand, Elche’s composure and tactical maturity could prove decisive, particularly if they manage to dominate possession and create space for their forwards.
Both teams enter this fixture with nearly full squads, a factor that should ensure a high-quality contest. While Alavés will rely on intensity and home advantage, Elche’s superior form and collective confidence make them slight favorites to extend their unbeaten streak. Expect a disciplined and strategic battle, with few clear-cut chances and a strong emphasis on midfield control.
The statistical outlook points to a low-scoring affair, consistent with both teams’ recent trends. The most likely outcome is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% probability, reflecting the defensive solidity of Alavés and the controlled style of Elche. While the visitors may have a slight edge in form, goals are expected to come at a premium in this encounter.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Deportivo Alavés
Elche
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
7
3
9
1