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Prediction published on Nov 19, 2025 9:03 AM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Nov 19, 2025 9:27 AM
Saturday, November 22, at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, the highly anticipated clash between Fiorentina and Juventus takes place — two historic rivals united by a season start that has been anything but brilliant. La Viola, surprisingly bottom of the table, are still searching for their first win after five draws and six defeats. A deep crisis that led to the sacking of Stefano Pioli and the arrival of Paolo Vanoli, who managed to earn a valuable point away at Genoa in his debut before the international break. For Fiorentina, the objective is clear: beating Juventus would send a strong message to the fans, lift them off the bottom of the table, and potentially revive a season that has so far been extremely complicated. Juventus are not experiencing an equally dramatic situation, but they still need to avoid further missteps. With the arrival of Luciano Spalletti, the Bianconeri earned one win and one draw in the league — useful results, but not enough for a club aiming to compete again for the Scudetto and a Champions League spot. Currently sixth and three points off fourth place, Juventus have only one target: to return from Florence with three vital points. The match at the Franchi also marks the beginning of a demanding run for both teams: besides the need to climb the table, Fiorentina and Juventus will face decisive European fixtures next week against AEK Athens and Bodø/Glimt. A match that could therefore become a turning point for both sides this season.
Fiorentina are going through a very complicated period, coming off five winless games across all competitions and still chasing their first Serie A success. Before the international break, La Viola drew 2-2 away at Genoa, earning a point after back-to-back defeats against Inter and Lecce.
After the first eleven Serie A matchdays, the Tuscan side sit bottom of the table with just 5 points, coming from five draws and six defeats, with an average of 0.82 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game.
Despite keeping Moise Kean, last season’s second-top scorer, the attack has been disappointing — as has the defense, which with 18 goals conceded is currently the league’s worst.
Unlike last season, Fiorentina have not been able to exploit home advantage. At the Stadio Artemio Franchi, they have only won in the UEFA Europa Conference League (against clearly inferior opponents), while in Serie A they have collected just one point from four defeats and a draw.
Paolo Vanoli, making his home debut as Fiorentina coach, can be pleased with the return of Kean to the starting XI after missing the Genoa match through injury. Alongside him, Gudmundsson is expected to be confirmed after scoring against the Rossoblù but is still seeking his first open-play goal of the league campaign. The only major absentee among the starters is Gosens, the left-winger formerly of Atalanta and Inter.
Juventus come into this match with a clear goal: returning to victory after drawing their last two games. The latest setback was on November 8: a 0-0 against Torino in the Derby della Mole, following a 1-1 draw against Sporting CP in the Champions League.
The Bianconeri are not fully satisfied with their league position — sixth with 19 points from five wins, four draws, and two defeats, averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per match. A team struggling to finalize their play despite the presence of attackers such as Vlahovic, David, and Openda, while also conceding chances regularly: they have kept just one clean sheet in their last seven matches.
Away from home, Juventus have also underperformed, winning only once in their last six away fixtures in all competitions. In Serie A alone, they have collected 7 away points from two wins, one draw, and two defeats.
Ahead of the match against Fiorentina, Spalletti must deal with the confirmed absences of Bremer and Cabal, while Vlahovic — the big ex-player of the match — is highly doubtful after international duty with Serbia. In attacking midfield, Yildiz and Conceição are expected to be confirmed, the latter scoring in Portugal’s 9-1 win over Armenia.
Since both teams are searching for identity and important points to turn their season around, BetMines expects a very intense match, with the visitors slightly favored to win.
Despite Fiorentina’s 3-0 victory in their most recent head-to-head meeting last March, history favors Juventus: over the last ten encounters, the Bianconeri have won six times, Fiorentina twice, with two draws.
From a tactical perspective, the expectation is for a tight match with fewer than three total goals. The home side have shown major attacking limitations, often scoring only from penalties and rarely through open play. Moreover, both Kean and Gudmundsson — the starting forwards — have only two league goals each.
Things aren’t much better for Juventus in front of goal, especially with top scorer Dusan Vlahovic doubtful and several attacking players fatigued after international duty, potentially lacking sharpness in the second half.
For these reasons, the two recommended BetMines predictions and tips are Juventus to win (away win) with a 41% probability, and Under 2.5 goals with a 57% probability.
FIORENTINA (3-5-2): De Gea; Pongracic, Marì, Ranieri; Dodo, Mandragora, Nicolussi Caviglia, Sohm, Fortini; Kean, Gudmundsson. Coach: Vanoli
JUVENTUS (3-4-2-1): Di Gregorio; Kalulu, Gatti, Koopmeiners; Cambiaso, K. Thuram, Locatelli, McKennie; Conceicao, Yildiz; Vlahovic. Coach: Spalletti
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Fiorentina
Juventus
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
1
9
1.5
4
6
4
6
2.5
7
3
9
1
3.5
9
1
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0