On Thursday, November 13, at the Stade de France, the highly anticipated clash between France and Ukraine will take place, valid for the penultimate matchday of Group D in the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers. With two games remaining, Didier Deschamps’ side leads the group with 10 points, followed three points behind by Sergiy Rebrov’s Ukraine with 7. Les Bleus are looking for a win that would mathematically secure qualification for the next World Cup, while the visitors are chasing a prestigious victory that would allow them to catch up with the leaders and keep their hopes alive of a direct ticket to the North American tournament. It’s therefore a decisive encounter for the group’s fate, with France determined to seal the deal in front of their home fans and Ukraine ready to fight hard to keep Iceland at bay and maintain their qualification ambitions.

France's Recent Form and Key Stats

France has long been one of the most consistent national teams on the international stage, having lost just 4 of their last 32 matches across all competitions. In their most recent outing on October 13, they drew 2-2 away against Iceland.

After the first four rounds of Group D, Deschamps’ men have collected 10 points from 3 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. The French side continues to prove highly prolific, led by Kylian Mbappé (who has scored 3 goals so far), while also remaining solid at the back, keeping two clean sheets in four matches.

The two-time World Cup champions boast a strong home record: they have won their last three matches at the Stade de France and are unbeaten in their last 11 home World Cup Qualifiers. Across all competitions, they have lost only once in their last 17 games played on home soil.

Ukraine's Recent Form and Key Stats

Ukraine are also in good form, coming off three consecutive positive results, with two wins and one draw. In their last match on October 13, they defeated Azerbaijan 2-1 thanks to goals from Gutsulyak and Malinovskyi.

The Yellow-Blues have so far collected 7 points in Group D, the result of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, with an average of 2 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Rebrov’s side has been efficient in attack, scoring 7 goals in their last two matches, but less reliable defensively, having conceded in all four World Cup Qualifying fixtures.

Ukraine are unbeaten in their last two away games — a 1-1 draw in Azerbaijan and a 5-3 win in Iceland. More broadly, they have lost just one of their last five away matches in all competitions, with 2 wins and 2 draws completing their record.

France vs Ukraine Prediction by BetMines

France have a favorable record against Ukraine: in their ten previous meetings, Les Bleus have won 4 times, drawn 5, and lost just once. In the reverse fixture, played on September 5, Deschamps’ team claimed a 2-0 away victory thanks to goals from Olise and Mbappé.

The feeling is that France could once again come out on top: according to the BetMines algorithm, the home side’s win probability is 61%, while the visitors’ chance of success does not exceed 17%.

Les Bleus will aim to make the most of their home advantage to secure three crucial points and clinch direct qualification for the 2026 World Cup. Given France’s attacking potential, an Over 2.5 goals outcome looks likely — estimated at 55% probability.

In fact, this result has occurred in France’s last three matches, as well as in Ukraine’s last two. In conclusion, the recommended tips from BetMines are a France win (1) and Over 2.5 goals.

Probable Lineups France vs Ukraine

FRANCE (4-2-3-1): Maignan; Kounde, Saliba, Upamecano, Digne; Kone, Kante; Barcola, Olise, Mbappe; Mateta. Coach: Deschamps

UKRAINE (4-2-3-1): Trubin; Konoplya, Zabarnyi, Matviyenko, Mykolenko; Shaparenko, Malinovskyi; Yaremchuk, Ocheretko, Voloshyn; Vanat. Coach: Rebrov