After returning to winning ways last weekend, Deportivo Alavés travel to Montilivi to face a Girona side in desperate need of points. The Basque team defeated Espanyol 2-1 thanks to goals from Denis Suárez and Boyé, a result that lifted them to the upper half of the La Liga table. Meanwhile, Girona continue to struggle at the bottom, having collected just one victory in eleven rounds. This clash between two sides on opposite trajectories could prove decisive for both their short-term ambitions.

Girona’s Recent Form and Key Stats

It has been a difficult start to the season for Girona. Míchel’s men sit rock bottom in La Liga with only one win, four draws, and six defeats. Their last outing ended in a 2-1 loss to Getafe, a result that extended their winless streak to three matches. Despite showing signs of improvement earlier in October, the Catalans have once again fallen into a negative spiral. Their main issues lie in both boxes: they have scored just 10 goals while conceding 24, the worst defensive record in the league.

At home, Girona have been slightly more competitive, recording two draws and one win in their last three games at Montilivi. The team’s attacking play often produces excitement, as evidenced by the fact that over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 33 of their last 35 league matches. However, defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points. Injuries have also played a role in their struggles: Juan Carlos Martín, Donny van de Beek, Alejandro Francés, and Ricard Artero remain sidelined, while Stuani is expected to feature despite minor fitness concerns.

For this encounter, Míchel could line up with Gazzaniga in goal; Moreno, Blind, Reis, and Arnau Martínez at the back; Iván Martín, Witsel, and Ounahi in midfield; and a front trio of Roca, Vanat, and Gil. The home side will rely heavily on their attacking creativity to break down a disciplined Alavés defense.

Deportivo Alavés’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Alavés arrive in Catalonia full of confidence after a strong start to the campaign. Under coach Eduardo Coudet, the Basques have climbed to eighth place with 15 points from eleven matches. Their recent form is impressive: three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five outings, averaging 2.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. The 2-1 victory over Espanyol last weekend showcased their growing efficiency in front of goal and their ability to manage tight matches.

Defensively, Alavés have been one of the most consistent sides in the league. They have kept things tight away from home, with under 2.5 goals scored in each of their last nine away fixtures and under 3.5 goals in 20 of their last 21 league games overall. This disciplined approach has allowed them to grind out results even when not at their best. However, their away record still leaves room for improvement, with only one victory on the road so far this season.

For this trip to Montilivi, Coudet will be without Pacheco, Garcés, and Lucas Boyé. The Argentine forward, who scored and was later sent off against Espanyol, will serve a suspension. The likely starting XI could feature Sivera in goal; Yusi, Parada, Tenaglia, and Jonny Otto in defense; Aleñá, Blanco, and Calebe in midfield; and an attacking trio of Toni Martínez, Denis Suárez, and Guridi.

Girona vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction and Tactical Overview

Historically, Girona have fared well at home against Alavés, winning two and drawing one of their last three encounters at Montilivi. However, the current form of both teams suggests a more balanced contest. Girona’s attacking intent often leads to open matches, but their defensive fragility could once again be exposed by an Alavés side that has found its rhythm in recent weeks.

While Girona will look to dominate possession and create chances through their midfield trio, Alavés are likely to rely on quick transitions and set pieces. The visitors’ compact defensive structure and efficiency in front of goal could prove decisive, especially given Girona’s ongoing injury problems. The Catalans must capitalize on their home advantage if they are to climb out of the relegation zone, but they face a side that has conceded less than a goal per game on average this season.

Given the trends, a tight match with limited scoring opportunities seems likely. Alavés’ defensive solidity contrasts with Girona’s need to attack, which could result in a cautious opening before the game opens up in the second half. Both teams have shown a tendency to score after the break, so late drama cannot be ruled out.

Probable Lineups Girona vs Deportivo Alavés

GIRONA (4-3-3): Gazzaniga; Moreno, Blind, Reis, Arnau Martínez; Iván Martín, Witsel, Ounahi; Roca, Vanat, Gil. Coach: Míchel

DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (4-3-3): Sivera; Yusi, Parada, Tenaglia, Jonny Otto; Aleñá, Blanco, Calebe; Toni Martínez, Denis Suárez, Guridi. Coach: Eduardo Coudet

Girona vs Deportivo Alavés prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is an Deportivo Alavés win (2) with a 39% probability. The Girona win (1) follows at 36%, while the Draw (X) stands at 25%.