The opening leg of the 2026–27 Europa League first qualifying round will see Hajduk Split host Žilina at Stadion Poljud. The Croatian side enters this clash in excellent form, while the Slovakian visitors are struggling to find consistency. With both teams aiming to take an early advantage in the tie, this encounter promises to be an intriguing battle between two clubs with contrasting momentum.

Hajduk Split’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Hajduk Split approach this European fixture with confidence after a strong run of results. They recently defeated Celje 0–1 on July 1, 2026, extending their unbeaten streak to seven matches. Over their last five outings, the Croatian side have recorded four wins and one draw, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. This attacking efficiency, combined with a solid defensive record, makes them a formidable opponent at home.

Historically, Hajduk have shown resilience in continental competitions, though recent years have seen them fall short in the qualifying rounds. This time, they aim to build on their domestic momentum and progress deeper into the Europa League. Their home performances have been particularly strong, with eight first-half leads in their last thirteen home games, underlining their ability to start matches aggressively.

In addition, four of Hajduk’s last seven fixtures have produced between two and four total goals, suggesting a balanced attacking rhythm without excessive volatility. With their current form and home advantage, the Croatian side will look to establish control early in the tie.

Žilina’s Recent Form and Key Stats

On the other hand, Žilina arrive in Split amid a difficult spell. Their most recent result, a 2–2 draw against Pardubice on July 1, 2026, extended their winless run to six matches. Over their last five outings, they have recorded three draws and two defeats, averaging just 0.6 goals scored while conceding 1.4 per game. This lack of cutting edge in attack has been a major concern for the Slovakian side.

Žilina’s away form also paints a challenging picture. They have drawn at half time in their last six away matches and have avoided defeat at half time in 18 of their last 20 away fixtures. While this indicates a degree of first-half stability, their inability to convert such control into full-time victories remains an issue. Their last six away games have all failed to produce a win, with four of them ending with 2–4 total goals.

In European competition, Žilina have struggled to make an impact in recent years. Their previous Europa League qualifying campaign ended in disappointment, and they will need to rediscover their scoring touch if they are to challenge Hajduk Split over two legs.

Head-to-Head and Match Analysis

The two sides last met in European competition back in 2009, when Žilina claimed a narrow 0–1 victory. Overall, the head-to-head record shows one draw and one defeat for Hajduk, with an average of 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. However, given the current form of both teams, those historical results carry little weight heading into this new encounter.

Statistically, Hajduk Split hold the upper hand. They are ranked 1st in the Europa League standings, while Žilina sit 2nd. The Croatian side’s attacking momentum and defensive organization suggest they are well-positioned to dictate the tempo. Meanwhile, Žilina’s recent performances indicate a cautious approach, often keeping matches tight in the first half but struggling to maintain intensity after the break.

Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, a match featuring 2–4 total goals appears likely. Hajduk’s offensive consistency and Žilina’s defensive vulnerabilities could combine to produce a moderately open contest, with the hosts expected to dominate possession and create the clearer chances.

Hajduk Split vs Žilina Prediction and Outlook

All indicators point toward a competitive but controlled first leg. Hajduk Split have demonstrated superior form, both in attack and defense, while Žilina continue to search for their first win in several matches. The Croatian side’s home advantage and recent scoring record make them favorites to take a positive result into the return leg.

Considering the statistical trends, a Hajduk Split win or draw combined with 2–4 total goals seems the most plausible outcome. The hosts’ ability to strike early and maintain composure could prove decisive, while Žilina’s resilience might prevent a heavy defeat but not necessarily secure a win.

BetMines prediction for Hajduk Split vs Žilina: Hajduk Split win (1) with a 59% probability. The draw (X) stands at 22%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 19%. Based on current form and goal trends, a home victory appears the most likely scenario for this Europa League qualifier.