The English Championship continues with an intriguing clash as Hull City welcome Derby County for Matchday 34. The Tigers currently sit fifth in the table with 54 points, while the Rams are eighth on 48, keeping their playoff hopes alive. Both sides have shown resilience this season, and this fixture could play a crucial role in shaping the race for promotion. With only six points separating them, the encounter promises intensity and tactical discipline from start to finish.

Hull City’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Hull City have enjoyed a strong campaign so far, especially considering their narrow escape from relegation last season. Their transformation has been impressive, with 16 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats in the Championship. The Tigers average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, showing a balanced but slightly inconsistent defensive record. However, recent performances have raised some concerns: they are winless in their last four outings across all competitions, including a 1-3 home defeat to Queens Park Rangers on February 21, 2026.

In their last five matches, Hull have recorded just one victory, one draw, and three losses, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 2.0. Their attacking output has dipped compared to earlier in the season, and they will need to rediscover their scoring touch to maintain their playoff position. At home, the Tigers have generally been reliable, with only two of their last ten home matches ending with under 0.5 total goals, indicating that their games tend to produce action.

• Hull City rank 5th in the Championship.


• Season record: 16 wins, 6 draws, 10 defeats.


• Average goals per game: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded.


• Last 5 matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 defeats.


• Last result: lost 1-3 vs QPR (home).

Despite their recent struggles, Hull’s home advantage and attacking potential make them a dangerous opponent. Their challenge will be to tighten up defensively and avoid early setbacks, as conceding first has often forced them into chasing games.

Derby County’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Derby County have also undergone a remarkable turnaround this season. After finishing 19th last year, they now find themselves within touching distance of the playoff zone. Their current record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. The Rams’ recent form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-0 defeat away to Watford on February 21, 2026.

Derby’s strength this season has been their away form. They have averaged 1.69 points per away match, the second-best record in the division, just behind Hull’s 1.80. The Rams have scored at least one goal in 23 of their last 24 matches, showing impressive attacking consistency. Moreover, they have found the net in 22 of their last 23 Championship fixtures, and their second halves are particularly productive — with over 0.5 goals scored in the second half in 19 of their last 21 league games.

• Derby County rank 8th in the Championship.


• Season record: 13 wins, 9 draws, 11 defeats.


• Average goals per game: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded.


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats.


• Last result: lost 0-2 vs Watford (away).


• Scored in 23 of their last 24 matches.


• Won at half time in 8 of their last 11 away games.

Derby’s ability to perform on the road makes them a formidable opponent. Their attacking rhythm, especially in the second half, could be key against a Hull side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities in recent weeks. If they can maintain their composure and efficiency in front of goal, the Rams could extend their strong away record.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The recent history between these two sides favors Derby County. In their last five meetings, the Rams have won four and drawn one, with Hull failing to secure a victory since 2019. The most recent encounter ended 2-1 in favor of Derby on November 4, 2025. Across those matches, Hull have averaged just 0.6 goals scored per game while conceding 1.6, highlighting Derby’s dominance in this fixture.

Both teams tend to play open football, but their current trajectories suggest contrasting priorities. Hull will aim to regain confidence and protect their top-six position, while Derby will look to close the gap and continue their push toward the playoffs. Given both sides’ attacking tendencies and Derby’s strong away form, this match could produce goals, especially in the second half where the Rams often find their rhythm.

Expect a competitive and balanced encounter, with Hull relying on home support to break their winless streak and Derby seeking to exploit their momentum on the road. The tactical battle could hinge on midfield control and defensive discipline, as both teams have shown occasional lapses when under pressure.

Hull City vs Derby County Prediction

According to the latest probabilities, the match is expected to be tight. The win chances stand at Hull City 33%, Draw 26%, and Derby County 41%. Both teams have a 53% likelihood of scoring, while the Over 2.5 goals market also sits at 53%, suggesting a lively contest.

Given Derby’s strong away record and Hull’s recent dip in form, the most likely outcome points toward the visitors avoiding defeat. The Rams’ consistency in scoring and their ability to perform under pressure make them a solid pick for this fixture.

Hull City vs Derby County prediction from BetMines: Draw or Derby County (Double Chance) with 41% probability.