Tools
Prediction published on Mar 5, 2026 1:02 PM by Dario in England - Championship | Modified on Mar 5, 2026 1:02 PM
The upcoming Championship clash between Hull City and Millwall promises to be a crucial encounter in the race for promotion. With both sides sitting inside the top five, the stakes are high as they battle for valuable points that could shape their end-of-season ambitions. Millwall, currently fourth, are just two points ahead of Hull in fifth, and a win here could see them move closer to the automatic promotion spots. Hull, meanwhile, will be eager to bounce back after a midweek defeat and reassert their credentials in front of their home fans.
Hull City come into this fixture after a narrow 1-0 loss away to Ipswich Town on March 3, a result that left them six points adrift of second place. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. During that run, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities that have cost them valuable points.
Over the course of the season, Hull have recorded 18 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses in the Championship, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding 1.4. Despite boasting one of the league’s best away records, their home form has been less convincing. Two of their last three home league games have ended in defeat, and they have already lost six times at home this season. In fact, under 0.5 goals have been scored in just two of their last ten home fixtures, suggesting that their matches at home tend to be open and competitive.
Historically, Hull have enjoyed a decent record against Millwall, with three wins, two draws, and no defeats in their last six head-to-head meetings. However, their most recent encounter ended in a 3-1 defeat away from home, showing that the balance of power may be shifting towards the visitors.
Millwall arrive in excellent form, having won their last two league matches against Birmingham and Preston without conceding a goal. Their 2-0 victory over Preston North End on February 28 extended a strong run that has seen them lose only once in their last seven Championship fixtures. Over their last five games, they have recorded four wins and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.
Across the season, Millwall’s record stands at 18 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with an average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Their away form has been particularly impressive, with eight victories in 17 away league matches and only four defeats. They have won each of their last three away fixtures in the Championship and four of the last five overall. Another key strength has been their consistency in the first half — they have not trailed at half time in their last 13 league matches.
Millwall’s attacking approach has produced entertaining football, with over 1.5 total goals scored in each of their last 11 matches, including all of their last ten in the Championship. Their recent performances suggest a team full of confidence, capable of controlling games both home and away.
This fixture brings together two sides with contrasting trends. While Hull City have struggled to find consistency at home, Millwall have been one of the most reliable away teams in the division. The Lions’ defensive solidity and attacking sharpness have made them a formidable opponent, and their recent run of form suggests they are peaking at the right time in the promotion race.
Hull’s defensive issues, combined with Millwall’s efficiency in front of goal, could prove decisive. The visitors have shown the ability to manage tight games and capitalize on their chances, while Hull’s recent defeats at home underline their vulnerability under pressure. Given the current momentum, Millwall appear better equipped to take all three points.
In terms of head-to-head history, Hull’s previous dominance has faded, and Millwall’s 3-1 win in the reverse fixture earlier this season will give them added confidence. With both teams likely to push forward, goals are expected, but Millwall’s balance between attack and defense could tilt the outcome in their favor.
Hull City vs Millwall prediction by BetMines:
The prediction points towards a Millwall win (2) with a 47% probability. A draw (X) is estimated at 26%, while a Hull City win (1) stands at 27%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Hull City
Millwall
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
2
8
1.5
2
8
2
8
2.5
5
5
6
4
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
10
0
10
0