The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma promises to be an intriguing encounter as both sides look to bounce back from recent setbacks. The hosts earned a valuable 1-1 draw away to Juventus, a result that boosted their confidence in the fight to stay clear of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Roma suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat against Atalanta, a loss that highlighted their inconsistency despite remaining among the top five in the standings. With Lecce sitting 16th and Roma 5th, this fixture carries significant weight for both ends of the table.

Lecce’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Lecce have shown resilience in recent weeks, managing to stay just above the relegation zone thanks to their fighting spirit and defensive organization. Their last five matches have produced two wins, one draw, and two defeats, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Although their attacking output remains modest, the team’s ability to grind out results against stronger opponents has been encouraging.

At home, Lecce have often struggled to find the net, with Under 0.5 goals scored in four of their last 19 Serie A home matches. However, their defensive discipline and the heroics of goalkeeper Falcone, who recently saved a crucial penalty against Juventus, have kept them competitive. The team’s setup under Di Francesco continues to rely on compactness and quick transitions, with Banda, Pierotti, and Stulic expected to lead the attacking line once again.

• Ranking: 16th in Serie A


• Season record: 4 wins, 5 draws, 8 defeats


• Average goals scored: 0.7 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.4 per match


• Over 8.5 corners in 18 of their last 20 matches

Despite their limitations, Lecce’s home support and recent performances against top sides suggest they could make life difficult for Roma, especially if they maintain the same intensity shown in Turin.

Roma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roma enter this match looking to regain momentum after a disappointing defeat to Atalanta. The Giallorossi have been one of the most unpredictable teams in Serie A this season, alternating strong performances with unexpected setbacks. Their last five games have yielded three wins and two losses, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Despite their attacking struggles, Roma’s defensive record remains among the best in the league.

Interestingly, Roma have not drawn any of their last 30 matches in all competitions, a streak that underlines their all-or-nothing approach. Away from home, they have also avoided draws in their last 15 league fixtures, often relying on quick counterattacks and set pieces to secure results. The team’s main challenge has been consistency in front of goal, with only 20 goals scored in 18 league games — a figure that falls short of expectations for a side aiming for Champions League qualification.

• Ranking: 5th in Serie A


• Season record: 11 wins, 0 draws, 7 defeats


• Average goals scored: 1.1 per match


• Average goals conceded: 0.7 per match


• No draws in their last 24 Serie A matches

Roma’s attacking line, led by Dybala and Dovbyk, will be under pressure to deliver after a series of low-scoring performances. The absence of key defenders such as Mancini and Hermoso could, however, make them more vulnerable at the back, especially against Lecce’s pace on the wings.

Lecce vs Roma Analysis and Head-to-Head

Historically, Roma have dominated this fixture, winning 15 of the 21 Serie A meetings between the two sides. Lecce have managed just one victory, while five encounters ended in draws. The last head-to-head, played in March 2025, ended 0-1 in favor of Roma, with Dovbyk scoring the decisive goal. The Giallorossi have also won the last two meetings and remain unbeaten in the last six.

Given Lecce’s limited scoring record and Roma’s defensive solidity, this match could once again be a tight, low-scoring affair. The visitors’ superior quality and experience make them favorites, but Lecce’s home resilience should not be underestimated. The hosts will likely focus on containment and counterattacks, while Roma aim to control possession and exploit their attacking midfielders’ creativity.

• Last head-to-head: Lecce 0–1 Roma (March 29, 2025)


• Head-to-head record: Lecce 0W – 2D – 3L


• Average goals in last 5 meetings: 0.6 scored by Lecce, 1.6 conceded

With both teams showing contrasting trends — Lecce’s defensive caution versus Roma’s attacking inconsistency — the balance could tilt in favor of the visitors if they manage to convert their chances early.

BetMines Prediction

According to the latest data, Roma hold a clear edge with a 52% probability of winning, compared to 22% for Lecce and 25% for a draw. The Under 2.5 goals market appears slightly favored at 53%, reflecting the likelihood of another close contest. Considering Roma’s superior form and head-to-head dominance, the prediction leans toward a Roma win (2).

Lecce vs Roma prediction from BetMines: Roma win (2) with 52% probability.