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Prediction published on Feb 6, 2026 3:01 PM by Dario in Italy - Serie A | Modified on Feb 6, 2026 3:01 PM
The upcoming Serie A clash between Lecce and Udinese at the Via del Mare promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides with very different ambitions. The hosts are struggling near the relegation zone, sitting 17th with 18 points, while the visitors are enjoying a positive run that has lifted them into the top half of the table. With Lecce desperate to end their poor form and Udinese chasing European dreams, this fixture could have a major impact on their respective seasons.
Lecce enter this match in a worrying slump. The Salentini have collected just two points since the start of 2026 and are winless in their last eight Serie A games. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat away to Torino, a result that extended a sequence of five losses and one draw in their last six matches. The team’s attacking struggles are evident — they have failed to score in four consecutive league games and average only 0.6 goals per match this season, while conceding 1.3.
At home, Lecce’s performances have also been disappointing, with four defeats in their last five matches at the Via del Mare. Historically, they have found it difficult against Udinese, losing four of the last five head-to-head meetings and failing to win any of the last four. The last time they managed to beat the Friulani dates back several seasons, and the most recent encounter ended 3-2 in favor of Udinese in October 2025.
These numbers highlight Lecce’s main issue: a lack of offensive efficiency. Their defensive structure keeps games tight, but without goals, points have been hard to come by. The team will need a spark from their attacking players to avoid slipping further toward the relegation zone.
Udinese arrive in Lecce full of confidence after back-to-back victories against Verona (3-1) and Roma (1-0). These results have propelled them to ninth place with 32 points, and a win here would mark their third consecutive success in Serie A — something they have not achieved since early 2025. The Friulani have shown improved balance recently, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last five outings while conceding just one per game.
Although their away record has been inconsistent, Udinese have won their last two away fixtures and could make it three in a row for the first time since October 2022. Historically, they have dominated this fixture, winning four of the last five meetings and scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game against Lecce. Their current momentum and solid defensive organization make them favorites to extend that streak.
Udinese’s attacking duo has been effective, supported by a midfield that controls possession and transitions quickly. If they maintain their current rhythm, they could consolidate their position in the top half and continue their push toward European qualification.
This match presents a clear contrast between a struggling home side and a confident visitor. Lecce’s main challenge will be breaking down Udinese’s compact defense while avoiding the lapses that have cost them points in recent weeks. Their inability to score has become a major concern, and facing one of the league’s more disciplined teams will not make things easier.
Udinese, on the other hand, will look to exploit Lecce’s fragile confidence and defensive gaps. Their recent form suggests they can control the tempo and create chances through quick transitions. Given the historical dominance of the Friulani and Lecce’s ongoing scoring drought, the visitors appear better positioned to take all three points.
Statistically, the matchup also leans toward a low-scoring affair. Lecce’s games have consistently featured Under 3.5 goals, and both teams tend to start cautiously, with few first-half goals. This pattern could repeat itself, especially considering the pressure on the hosts to avoid another defeat.
LECCE (4-2-3-1): Falcone; Veiga, Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Gallo; Ramadani, Coulibaly; Pierotti, Gandelman, Banda; Cheddira.
UDINESE (3-5-2): Okoye; Bertola, Kristensen, Solet; Ehizibue, Miller, Karlstrom, Ekkelenkamp, Zemura; Zaniolo, Atta.
Lecce vs Udinese prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points toward an Udinese win (2) with a 42% probability. Lecce’s poor form and lack of goals make the visitors the more reliable choice, while a draw (27%) remains a secondary possibility. Expect a tight contest, but Udinese’s momentum could prove decisive.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Lecce
Udinese
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
1
9
1.5
3
7
4
6
2.5
5
5
7
3
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
9
1
9
1