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Prediction published on Dec 4, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Dec 4, 2025 8:02 PM
Elland Road will be buzzing again this weekend as Leeds United host Liverpool in a Premier League clash that promises intensity and goals. The Whites, currently sitting 17th in the table, are desperate to build on their midweek victory over Chelsea, while the Reds, placed eighth, are looking to regain consistency after a frustrating draw against Sunderland. With both sides showing defensive frailties and attacking potential, this encounter could turn into a thrilling contest for the neutral fans.
Leeds United come into this fixture with renewed confidence after their impressive 3-1 win over Chelsea on Wednesday. That result ended a four-game losing streak and lifted them slightly above the relegation zone. Despite their struggles, the Whites have shown resilience at Elland Road, where they have won three of their seven home league matches this season. The home crowd has been treated to entertaining football, with both teams scoring in each of Leeds’ last five home games.
Across their last five league outings, Leeds have recorded one win and four defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Their season record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses reflects a team still finding its rhythm under Daniel Farke. However, the Whites have been strong starters at home, having avoided defeat at half time in their last 13 home matches and even leading at the break in their last three Premier League games at Elland Road.
In terms of personnel, Daniel James and Sean Longstaff remain sidelined until the new year, but Farke is expected to stick with the same lineup that overcame Chelsea. The tactical shift to a 3-5-2 formation worked wonders, allowing Leeds to control the midfield and limit their opponent’s creativity. Lukas Nmecha, who has scored four league goals this season, will once again be a key figure in attack, supported by Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has found the net in consecutive matches. The former Everton striker will be particularly motivated to score against Liverpool, Everton’s fierce rivals.
Liverpool arrive in Yorkshire after a disappointing 1-1 draw with Sunderland, a result that prevented them from building momentum following their 2-0 win over West Ham. The Reds have been inconsistent this season, with a record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 6 defeats, scoring an average of 1.5 goals while conceding the same amount per game. Their away form has been particularly concerning, losing four of their last five league trips, though they did manage to win their most recent one.
Despite these struggles, Liverpool remain just outside the European qualification spots, and a victory here could reignite their campaign. The Reds have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in each of their last ten Premier League games. They have also scored in 27 of their last 29 league fixtures, showing that their attack, while inconsistent, still carries a significant threat.
Manager Jürgen Klopp will be relieved that there are no new injury concerns. Conor Bradley could return to the squad, while the main talking point remains the form and selection of Mohamed Salah, who has been left out of the starting lineup for two consecutive matches. In his absence, Alexander Isak is expected to lead the line, supported by Florian Wirtz and Cody Gakpo. The latter has been one of Liverpool’s most productive players this season, contributing four goals and three assists.
This fixture has historically favored Liverpool, who have dominated recent head-to-head meetings. The Reds thrashed Leeds 6-1 in their last visit to Elland Road in April 2023 and have won ten of the last fourteen encounters between the two sides. Leeds’ last home victory over Liverpool dates back to November 2000, highlighting the scale of the challenge they face.
However, the current form of both teams suggests a more balanced contest. Leeds have been strong at home, while Liverpool’s defensive lapses on the road have cost them valuable points. The Whites’ attacking duo of Nmecha and Calvert-Lewin could exploit those weaknesses, especially given that Leeds have scored in each of their last five home matches. On the other hand, Liverpool’s attacking quality remains undeniable, and with players like Gakpo and Wirtz in form, they are more than capable of finding the net.
Both teams have been involved in matches with plenty of goals recently. Leeds’ last ten Premier League games have all produced Over 1.5 goals, while Liverpool’s last ten have also seen at least two goals scored. With both sides struggling defensively but carrying attacking threats, goals at both ends seem highly likely.
LEEDS UNITED (3-5-2): Meslier; Rodon, Ampadu, Struijk; Gray, Roca, Kamara, Gnonto, Summerville; Nmecha, Calvert-Lewin. Coach: D. Farke
LIVERPOOL (4-2-3-1): Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Konaté, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Szoboszlai; Wirtz, Gakpo, Diaz; Isak. Coach: J. Klopp
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 60% probability. Leeds’ strong home scoring record and Liverpool’s attacking consistency suggest that both sides will find the net in what should be an entertaining Premier League encounter at Elland Road.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Leeds United
Liverpool
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
4
6
0
10
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
7
3
6
4
4.5
10
0
8
2