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Levante
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Atlético Madrid
Prediction published on Jan 29, 2026 8:03 PM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Jan 29, 2026 8:03 PM
The upcoming La Liga clash between Levante and Atlético Madrid promises to be a fascinating battle between two sides with very different objectives. The hosts are fighting to escape the relegation zone, while the visitors aim to stay in the title race after a demanding European week. Atlético arrive at the Ciudad de Valencia seeking redemption after their midweek disappointment in the Champions League, while Levante look to extend their solid home form and build on their recent victory against Elche.
Levante come into this fixture sitting 19th in La Liga, five points away from safety. Despite their position, the team has shown signs of improvement, especially at home, where they remain unbeaten in their last three matches. Their recent 3-2 win over Elche on January 23 was a much-needed boost, ending a run of mixed results that included draws against Espanyol and Real Sociedad and a heavy defeat at the Bernabéu.
In their last five league games, Levante have recorded two wins, two draws, and one defeat, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match. Over the course of the season, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Their matches tend to be open affairs, with Over 1.5 goals recorded in 19 of their last 20 La Liga fixtures and goals in the second half in 18 of those. However, they have struggled to start games strongly, losing at half time in 6 of their last 10 home matches.
Injury concerns remain for the home side, with Roger Brugué ruled out and doubts over Pampín, Elgezabal, and Víctor García. The likely lineup could feature Ryan in goal, supported by Toljan, Dela, Matturro, and Manu Sánchez at the back, while Arriaga and P. Martínez anchor the midfield. Ahead of them, Tunde, Carlos Álvarez, and Romero are expected to support Etta Eyong in attack.
Atlético Madrid travel to Valencia after a frustrating 1-2 defeat to Bodø/Glimt in the Champions League, a result that forced them into a playoff for qualification. Despite that setback, their domestic form remains strong. The team sits third in La Liga, eight points behind the leaders, with a record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and only 3 defeats. They have averaged 1.8 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded per match, underlining their defensive consistency.
In their last five outings across all competitions, Atlético have collected three wins, one draw, and one defeat, scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding only 0.6. They have not lost at half time in their last 23 league matches and remain unbeaten at the break in 13 consecutive away games. Furthermore, they have scored in 22 of their last 23 La Liga fixtures, showing remarkable attacking reliability. Matches involving Atlético also tend to see late action, with Over 0.5 goals in the second half in 26 of their last 29 games.
For this encounter, Atlético are expected to field a strong lineup despite the fatigue from midweek. There are no confirmed absences, but Griezmann remains a doubt. The probable eleven could include Oblak; Llorente, Pubill, Giménez, Hancko; Giuliano, Barrios, Johnny, Baena; Julián Álvarez, and Sorloth. The visitors will look to impose their rhythm early and exploit Levante’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in the second half.
Recent meetings between these two sides have been relatively balanced. In their last five head-to-head encounters, both teams have won twice and drawn once, with an average of 1.2 goals scored by Levante and 1.4 by Atlético. The most recent clash ended 3-1 in favor of Atlético on November 8, 2025. Historically, matches between them tend to produce goals, though Atlético’s defensive solidity could make this one tighter.
Levante’s main challenge will be to maintain their intensity throughout the 90 minutes and avoid early setbacks. Their home crowd could play a crucial role, especially given Atlético’s occasional struggles away from home — the visitors have won only 3 of their last 10 league trips. On the other hand, Atlético’s experience and superior squad depth make them favorites, but they will need to manage their physical condition carefully after their European exertions.
LEVANTE (4-2-3-1): Ryan; Toljan, Dela, Matturro, Manu Sánchez; Arriaga, P. Martínez; Tunde, Carlos Álvarez, Romero; Etta Eyong.
ATLÉTICO MADRID (4-4-2): Oblak; Llorente, Pubill, Giménez, Hancko; Giuliano, Barrios, Johnny, Baena; Julián Álvarez, Sorloth.
This match brings together two teams with contrasting momentum. Levante’s resilience at home and their tendency to score in most matches suggest they could trouble Atlético, especially if the visitors show signs of fatigue. However, Atlético’s consistency, defensive organization, and attacking efficiency make them the logical favorites. The hosts will likely rely on their home advantage and hope to capitalize on any lapses from the visitors.
Given the statistical trends, a competitive encounter with goals in both halves seems likely. Levante’s attacking intent at home and Atlético’s ability to find the net in nearly every game point towards a lively contest. Still, the visitors’ superior quality and experience should give them the edge in the decisive moments.
Levante vs Atlético Madrid prediction from BetMines: Atlético Madrid win (2) with 58% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Levante
Atlético Madrid
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
0
10
1.5
2
8
3
7
2.5
6
4
5
5
3.5
6
4
7
3
4.5
6
4
8
2