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Prediction published on Jan 15, 2026 5:03 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Jan 15, 2026 5:03 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between Liverpool and Burnley at Anfield promises to be a crucial encounter for both sides, albeit for very different reasons. The hosts are pushing to consolidate their top-four position, while the visitors are fighting to escape the relegation zone. With Liverpool sitting fourth in the table and Burnley languishing in nineteenth, this fixture could have significant implications at both ends of the standings. Recent form, head-to-head dominance, and attacking trends all point toward an intriguing battle where both teams might find the net.
Liverpool enter this match after a morale-boosting 4-1 victory over Barnsley in the FA Cup, which ended a run of three consecutive draws. In the Premier League, the Reds have been consistent but not always convincing, recording 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats so far. Their average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game reflects a team that can dominate possession but occasionally struggles to convert chances into victories.
Across their last five matches in all competitions, Liverpool have remained unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game while conceding 0.8. At home, they have shown improvement, winning two of their last three league fixtures. Their attacking rhythm often intensifies after the break, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half in 21 of their last 22 home matches. This trend highlights their ability to wear down opponents and find breakthroughs late in games.
Defensively, Liverpool have been solid but not impenetrable. Despite holding Arsenal to a goalless draw recently, they have found it difficult to maintain clean sheets consistently. Injuries have also played a role, with several key players sidelined. However, the emergence of Hugo Ekitike as a reliable scorer — already with eight league goals — has provided a much-needed boost in attack. The Reds’ dominance over Burnley in recent years is also notable, having wins in their last six Premier League meetings with an aggregate score of 12-1.
Burnley arrive at Anfield buoyed by a 5-1 demolition of Millwall in the FA Cup, a result that ended a long winless streak stretching back to early November. In the Premier League, however, their struggles remain evident. The Clarets have managed just 3 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats this season, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Their defensive frailties have been a recurring issue, particularly away from home.
In their last five outings, Burnley have recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring and conceding at an identical rate of 1.6 goals per game. Despite their poor results, they have shown attacking intent on the road, having scored in eight of their last nine away league matches. Moreover, over 1.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 away fixtures, suggesting that their games tend to be open and eventful.
Burnley’s resilience was on display in their 2-2 draw against Manchester United, where they showed determination and attacking flair. Yet, their defensive lapses continue to cost them valuable points. The Clarets have lost at half time in six of their last ten league matches, often finding themselves chasing games. Their away record remains concerning, with just one point collected from their last five league trips. Still, the form of Jaidon Anthony, who has scored twice in his last two appearances, offers a glimmer of hope for the visitors.
Historically, this fixture has been one-sided. Liverpool have dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning each of the last five meetings and conceding only once. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 in favor of the Reds, underlining their defensive control and attacking efficiency against Burnley. The Clarets’ last victory at Anfield dates back to January 2021, and since then, they have struggled to contain Liverpool’s attacking power.
Tactically, Liverpool are expected to maintain their attacking 4-2-3-1 setup, focusing on quick transitions and pressing high up the pitch. Burnley, on the other hand, are likely to adopt a more cautious approach, alternating between a compact 3-4-2-1 and a defensive 5-4-1 formation. Their main objective will be to frustrate Liverpool’s midfield creativity and exploit counterattacking opportunities through Anthony’s pace.
Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, the match could see goals at both ends. Liverpool’s tendency to concede despite dominating possession, combined with Burnley’s knack for finding the net away from home, makes the Both Teams To Score scenario a realistic outcome. However, the Reds’ superior quality and home advantage should still make them favorites to secure all three points.
All indicators point toward a competitive match where both sides are likely to create chances. Liverpool’s attacking consistency and Burnley’s recent scoring form suggest that the net will ripple more than once at Anfield. While the hosts remain strong favorites to win, the visitors’ ability to score on the road cannot be ignored.
Liverpool vs Burnley prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 48% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Burnley
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
1
9
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
4
6
5
5
3.5
6
4
5
5
4.5
8
2
8
2