Favourites
Settings

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction: Match Preview and Analysis | Premier League 09-05-2026

Liverpool

1 - 1

FT

Chelsea

Anfield
Robert Madley
light rain 16.38 °C

Prediction published on May 7, 2026 12:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 7, 2026 12:02 PM

The Premier League’s Matchday 36 brings a high-stakes clash at Anfield, where Liverpool host Chelsea in a battle that could shape the race for European qualification. Both sides have endured inconsistent campaigns, but the home team remain within reach of securing a Champions League berth, while the visitors are fighting to keep their continental hopes alive. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities in recent weeks, this encounter promises goals and drama from start to finish.


Liverpool’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Liverpool enter this fixture sitting fourth in the Premier League table, having collected 17 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats so far. Despite a 3-2 loss away to Manchester United on May 3, their overall momentum remains positive, with three victories in their last five league outings. The Reds have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, underlining both their attacking potency and occasional defensive lapses.


At Anfield, Liverpool have been particularly strong. They are unbeaten in their last four home league matches, winning three and drawing one, and have not trailed at half time in any of their last 17 home fixtures. The team’s attacking consistency is also notable — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 14 Premier League games, while Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in their last 12 home matches. Furthermore, they have led at half time in 10 of their last 12 home encounters, showing their ability to start games on the front foot.


In terms of recent trends, Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 22 of Liverpool’s last 24 matches, suggesting that late drama is almost guaranteed when they play. Their attacking depth has been tested by injuries, but the squad continues to find ways to score, maintaining a strong home record that could prove decisive in this fixture.


Chelsea’s Recent Form and Key Stats


Chelsea arrive at Anfield in ninth place, struggling to find consistency during the final stretch of the season. Their 1-3 defeat to Nottingham Forest on May 4 extended a worrying run of six consecutive league losses. Over their last five matches, the Blues have managed just one win, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 2.0. Their season record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.


Defensively, Chelsea have been far from solid. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Premier League fixtures and have lost at half time in their last three league and away matches. Additionally, Over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 19 of their last 21 games, reflecting their tendency to be involved in open, attacking contests. Away from home, the Blues have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding heavily in recent trips and failing to record a shutout since early December.


Despite their poor form, there are glimmers of hope. The team managed to end a five-match goal drought by scoring against Forest, and Joao Pedro has been directly involved in seven of Chelsea’s last nine league goals. His return from injury could be crucial if the visitors are to pose a threat at Anfield. However, the defensive instability and lack of confidence on the road remain major concerns heading into this clash.


Liverpool vs Chelsea Tactical Overview


This fixture has historically delivered entertainment, and the current form of both sides suggests another high-scoring affair could be on the cards. The last four league meetings between these teams have all produced Over 2.5 goals and seen both sides find the net. Liverpool’s attacking rhythm at home, combined with Chelsea’s defensive fragility, points toward an open contest with plenty of chances.


The Reds’ ability to dominate early periods of matches, as shown by their frequent half-time leads, could again be decisive. Meanwhile, Chelsea’s tendency to concede first and chase games may leave them exposed to counterattacks. For the visitors, Joao Pedro’s sharpness in front of goal will be key, as his movement and finishing could exploit any lapses in Liverpool’s back line. However, the hosts’ superior form and home advantage make them the favourites to claim all three points.


Statistically, Liverpool have won three of their last four league games and remain unbeaten in their last four home encounters against Chelsea. The visitors, conversely, are enduring one of their toughest runs of the season, with six straight defeats and a defence that has leaked 13 goals in their last four away matches across all competitions. Given these trends, the balance of play is expected to tilt heavily in favour of the home side.


BetMines Prediction


Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 68% probability.

Liverpool vs Chelsea - Predictions

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Odds

Go premium

This is a PREMIUM functionality. Subscribe now to use this and many other exclusive functionalities

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Liverpool

Chelsea

Under

Over

Under

Over

0.5

0%

0

100%

10

0%

0

100%

10

1.5

0%

0

100%

10

30%

3

70%

7

2.5

40%

4

60%

6

40%

4

60%

6

3.5

60%

6

40%

4

80%

8

20%

2

4.5

80%

8

20%

2

90%

9

10%

1

BetMines

Standings of Liverpool and Chelsea in Premier League

Regular Season - Ranking

Team

5

Liverpool

38

17

9

12

63:53

60

1.58

W
L
D
L
D
10

Chelsea

38

14

10

14

58:52

52

1.37

L
L
D
W
L
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Relegation

Who will win ?

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Frequently asked questions

Can’t find the anwser you’re looking for ? Reach out to customer support team.
When will Liverpool vs Chelsea be played?
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Chelsea will be played on May 9, 2026 at 11:30.
Where will Liverpool vs Chelsea be played?
The match between Liverpool and Chelsea will be played at Anfield, Liverpool - England
Who will referee Liverpool vs Chelsea?
The referee for the match will be Robert Madley.
What are the 1X2 betting odds for Liverpool vs Chelsea in the Premier League?
The odds are: Liverpool to win 1.85, draw 3.75, Chelsea to win 3.90.
What are the betting odds for Liverpool vs Chelsea for Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Premier League?
The odds are Over 2.5 at 1.53 and Under 2.5 at 2.50.
Will both Liverpool and Chelsea score in the Premier League?
The odds for both teams to score are 1.50, while the odds for at least one team not to score are 2.50.
What is the most likely correct score for Liverpool vs Chelsea in the Premier League?
The most likely correct score is 1-1, with odds of 8.
What are the head-to-head results between Liverpool and Chelsea?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Liverpool and Chelsea, Liverpool won 3 times, Chelsea won 2, and 0 ended in a draw.

Article available in:

Unlock the full BetMines experience

Go Premium and get even more and better data for your bets.

What's included?

What's included

  • Live scanner
  • Pre-Match scanner
  • Value bet bot
  • Backtesting for Pre-Match scanner up to 24 months
  • Trends
  • Advanced team stats
  • Exclusive events in the advanced filter
  • Exclusive events in the BetMines Machine
  • All market predictions unlocked
  • VIP Telegram Group

Try BetMines Premium for free

Unlock scanners, alerts, monitoring and value bets.

  • Live alerts and Monitoring
  • Pre-match scanner and filters
  • Premium predictions and value bets