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Prediction published on May 7, 2026 12:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on May 7, 2026 12:02 PM
The Premier League’s Matchday 36 brings a high-stakes clash at Anfield, where Liverpool host Chelsea in a battle that could shape the race for European qualification. Both sides have endured inconsistent campaigns, but the home team remain within reach of securing a Champions League berth, while the visitors are fighting to keep their continental hopes alive. With both teams showing defensive vulnerabilities in recent weeks, this encounter promises goals and drama from start to finish.
Liverpool enter this fixture sitting fourth in the Premier League table, having collected 17 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats so far. Despite a 3-2 loss away to Manchester United on May 3, their overall momentum remains positive, with three victories in their last five league outings. The Reds have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match this season, underlining both their attacking potency and occasional defensive lapses.
At Anfield, Liverpool have been particularly strong. They are unbeaten in their last four home league matches, winning three and drawing one, and have not trailed at half time in any of their last 17 home fixtures. The team’s attacking consistency is also notable — they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 14 Premier League games, while Over 1.5 goals have been recorded in their last 12 home matches. Furthermore, they have led at half time in 10 of their last 12 home encounters, showing their ability to start games on the front foot.
In terms of recent trends, Over 0.5 goals in the second half have been scored in 22 of Liverpool’s last 24 matches, suggesting that late drama is almost guaranteed when they play. Their attacking depth has been tested by injuries, but the squad continues to find ways to score, maintaining a strong home record that could prove decisive in this fixture.
Chelsea arrive at Anfield in ninth place, struggling to find consistency during the final stretch of the season. Their 1-3 defeat to Nottingham Forest on May 4 extended a worrying run of six consecutive league losses. Over their last five matches, the Blues have managed just one win, scoring an average of 0.4 goals per game while conceding 2.0. Their season record stands at 13 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match.
Defensively, Chelsea have been far from solid. They have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 Premier League fixtures and have lost at half time in their last three league and away matches. Additionally, Over 0.5 goals at half time have been scored in 19 of their last 21 games, reflecting their tendency to be involved in open, attacking contests. Away from home, the Blues have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding heavily in recent trips and failing to record a shutout since early December.
Despite their poor form, there are glimmers of hope. The team managed to end a five-match goal drought by scoring against Forest, and Joao Pedro has been directly involved in seven of Chelsea’s last nine league goals. His return from injury could be crucial if the visitors are to pose a threat at Anfield. However, the defensive instability and lack of confidence on the road remain major concerns heading into this clash.
This fixture has historically delivered entertainment, and the current form of both sides suggests another high-scoring affair could be on the cards. The last four league meetings between these teams have all produced Over 2.5 goals and seen both sides find the net. Liverpool’s attacking rhythm at home, combined with Chelsea’s defensive fragility, points toward an open contest with plenty of chances.
The Reds’ ability to dominate early periods of matches, as shown by their frequent half-time leads, could again be decisive. Meanwhile, Chelsea’s tendency to concede first and chase games may leave them exposed to counterattacks. For the visitors, Joao Pedro’s sharpness in front of goal will be key, as his movement and finishing could exploit any lapses in Liverpool’s back line. However, the hosts’ superior form and home advantage make them the favourites to claim all three points.
Statistically, Liverpool have won three of their last four league games and remain unbeaten in their last four home encounters against Chelsea. The visitors, conversely, are enduring one of their toughest runs of the season, with six straight defeats and a defence that has leaked 13 goals in their last four away matches across all competitions. Given these trends, the balance of play is expected to tilt heavily in favour of the home side.
Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction from BetMines: Over 2.5 goals with 68% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Liverpool
Chelsea
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
0
10
3
7
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
6
4
8
2
4.5
8
2
9
1