The upcoming La Liga clash between Mallorca and Levante brings together two sides battling in the lower half of the table. Both teams are level on eight points, sitting 16th and 15th respectively, just two points above the relegation zone. This fixture at Son Moix could prove crucial in shaping their early-season fortunes, as each side looks to build momentum and distance themselves from the danger area.

Mallorca’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mallorca arrive at this match in improved form after a stunning 1-3 victory at Sevilla, their second win in the last three league outings. That result marked their first away success of the campaign, ending a poor run on the road. At home, the Balearic side have been more consistent, remaining unbeaten since their opening-day defeat to Barcelona (0-3). Since then, they have recorded two draws and one win at Son Moix, showing signs of recovery and greater defensive stability.

Under coach Jagoba Arrasate, Mallorca have found a better balance between defense and attack. In their last five matches, they have registered two wins, one draw, and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Over the season, their record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with an average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Notably, Under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of their last ten home league games, underlining their tendency toward tight, low-scoring encounters.

Arrasate will be without Lato, Asano, and Kumbulla due to injuries. The coach is expected to maintain his preferred 4-2-3-1 formation, relying on Vedat Muriqi as the main attacking reference. The likely starting lineup includes Leo Román; Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, Mojica; Samú Costa, Morlanes; Mateo Fernández, Darder, Virgili; and Muriqi. The Kosovan striker remains the key figure in Mallorca’s offensive play, often carrying the team’s scoring hopes.

Levante’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Levante have endured a similarly inconsistent start to the season. Their most recent outing ended in a 0-3 home defeat to Rayo Vallecano, halting a positive run that had seen them collect seven points from their previous three matches. Despite their struggles at the Ciudad de Valencia, where they have earned just one point from twelve available, the Granotas have been far more effective away from home, taking seven of their last nine points on the road.

Under coach Calero, Levante have shown resilience and a more direct attacking approach when playing away. Their last five matches mirror Mallorca’s record — two wins, one draw, and two defeats — with an average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Over the season, their overall record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game. Interestingly, Over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 24 matches, and there has been at least one goal in the second half of their last 11 games, highlighting their attacking intent and late-game activity.

Levante are expected to line up in a 4-4-2 formation with Ryan in goal; Toljan, Moreno, Dela, and Sánchez in defense; Martínez, Vencedor, Arriaga, and Brugué across midfield; and Etta Eyong partnering Romero up front. The visitors have no confirmed absences, which gives Calero flexibility to field his strongest side in this crucial relegation battle.

Mallorca vs Levante: Tactical Overview and Match Analysis

This fixture promises to be a tense and balanced affair between two sides desperate for stability. Mallorca will look to capitalize on their home advantage and recent confidence boost from the win in Seville. Their defensive discipline and compact structure have been key to their recent improvement, and they will aim to control the tempo through midfielders like Darder and Morlanes. The hosts’ main challenge will be converting possession into clear chances, as they have often struggled to score multiple goals in a match.

Levante, on the other hand, have proven more dangerous away from home, where they tend to play with less pressure and greater freedom. Their quick transitions and ability to exploit spaces behind the defense could pose problems for Mallorca, especially if the home side pushes too high up the pitch. However, Levante’s defensive fragility remains a concern, having conceded heavily in several matches this season.

Historically, the head-to-head record between these teams is evenly balanced, with two wins each and one draw in their last five meetings. The most recent encounter ended 2-0 in favor of Mallorca back in January 2022. Given their current trajectories, Mallorca appear slightly more stable and confident, particularly at Son Moix, where they have been difficult to beat in recent months.

Probable Lineups Mallorca vs Levante

MALLORCA (4-2-3-1): Leo Román; Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, Mojica; Samú Costa, Morlanes; Mateo Fernández, Darder, Virgili; Muriqi. Coach: J. Arrasate

LEVANTE (4-4-2): Ryan; Toljan, Moreno, Dela, Sánchez; Martínez, Vencedor, Arriaga, Brugué; Etta Eyong, Romero. Coach: Calero

BetMines Prediction: Mallorca vs Levante

The most likely outcome is an Under 2.5 goals result with a 53% probability. Both teams have shown limited attacking consistency, and Mallorca’s home matches often feature few goals. A tight, low-scoring contest is expected at Son Moix.