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Prediction published on Nov 28, 2025 2:05 AM by Dario in Spain - La Liga | Modified on Nov 28, 2025 2:05 AM
The upcoming LaLiga EA Sports clash between RCD Mallorca and CA Osasuna promises to be a tense and balanced affair at the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix. Both sides are struggling in the lower half of the table and desperately need a win to move away from the relegation zone. Historically, this fixture has been evenly matched, and with only one point separating them in the standings, the stakes could not be higher.
Mallorca enter this match sitting 16th in LaLiga with 12 points from 13 games, having recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 loss to Villarreal, a game in which they were second best for most of the contest, despite a late goal from Tani Oluwaseyi that briefly gave them hope. The Balearic side have shown inconsistency throughout the campaign, alternating between solid defensive performances and lapses that have cost them crucial points.
At home, Mallorca’s matches have tended to be tight and low-scoring. In fact, Under 3.5 goals have been recorded in each of their last 12 home league games, and in 26 of their last 28 matches overall. This trend highlights a team that prioritizes defensive organization over attacking flair. So far this season, they have averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Their inability to dominate first halves is also notable, having trailed at halftime in 8 of their last 13 league fixtures.
Despite these struggles, Mallorca remain a difficult side to beat on their own turf. The support of the home crowd could prove decisive, especially against an opponent that has yet to find consistency away from home. Coach Jagoba Arrasate will be looking for a reaction from his players after the setback against Villarreal, with the aim of turning Son Moix into a fortress once again.
CA Osasuna travel to the Balearic Islands in 17th place with 11 points, just one behind Mallorca. Their last match ended in a 1-3 home defeat to Real Sociedad, a result that extended their poor run of form. The Navarrese side have now gone five league games without a win, collecting just one draw and four losses during that stretch. Away from home, they have yet to secure a victory this season, which adds further pressure heading into this encounter.
Statistically, Osasuna have averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match in LaLiga. While their attack has shown flashes of promise, their defensive discipline has often let them down. However, one positive aspect is their resilience in the opening stages of games — they haven’t lost at halftime in 22 of their last 24 matches, showing that they tend to stay competitive early on before fading in the later stages.
Coach Alessio Lisci will be hoping his team can rediscover the fighting spirit that characterized their performances last season. The lack of away wins is a major concern, but Osasuna have historically performed well against Mallorca, and that psychological edge could play a role in this fixture. The visitors will need to be compact defensively and efficient on the counterattack if they are to take something from this trip.
Both teams come into this match under pressure, aware that a defeat could drag them deeper into the relegation battle. The head-to-head record between these sides is remarkably balanced, with one win each and three draws in their last five meetings. Their most recent encounter ended 1-1 in February 2025, a result that reflects the parity between them.
Mallorca’s main challenge has been converting possession into goals. Their attack has lacked consistency, and they often rely on set pieces or isolated moments of brilliance to find the net. On the other hand, Osasuna’s defensive structure has been shaky, particularly in the second halves of matches, where they tend to concede under pressure. Given both teams’ current form and statistical trends, this fixture could once again be a low-scoring affair dominated by tactical caution rather than attacking fireworks.
Expect a physical battle in midfield, with both sides focusing on minimizing mistakes rather than taking risks. Mallorca will look to impose their rhythm early, while Osasuna may adopt a more reactive approach, waiting for opportunities to strike on the break. The outcome could hinge on which team manages to capitalize on the few chances that arise.
The most likely outcome is a Mallorca win (1) with a 42% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 30%, while an Osasuna win (2) stands at 28%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mallorca
Osasuna
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
2
8
2.5
4
6
3
7
3.5
9
1
7
3
4.5
10
0
9
1