The upcoming La Liga clash between Mallorca and Valencia promises to be a crucial battle in the fight to avoid relegation. Both sides are separated by just one point in the standings, with Mallorca sitting 15th on 34 points and Valencia one place above them with 35. The stakes could not be higher, as a win would provide a significant boost toward safety, while a defeat could drag either team back into the danger zone. The encounter at Son Moix is expected to be tense, with both teams aware that every point counts at this stage of the season.

Mallorca’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Mallorca have rediscovered their form at a crucial moment, winning three of their last four matches. All three victories came at home, where they defeated Espanyol (2-1), Real Madrid (2-1), and Rayo Vallecano (3-0). This impressive home run has lifted the Balearic side out of the relegation zone and restored confidence among their supporters. The so-called “home factor” has been decisive, and they will once again rely on it to overcome Valencia.

According to recent data, Mallorca’s last five matches have produced three wins, one draw, and one defeat, with an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Over the course of the season, their record stands at 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. These numbers highlight a team that has improved offensively in recent weeks, especially when playing in front of their own fans.

In their most recent outing, Mallorca recorded a convincing 3-0 victory over Rayo Vallecano on April 12, 2026. That result further underlined their strong home form and their ability to score multiple goals against mid-table opponents. Historically, their head-to-head record against Valencia is balanced, with one win, three draws, and one defeat in their last five meetings, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

• Ranking: 15th in La Liga


• Last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat


• Average goals: 1.3 scored, 1.6 conceded


• Last home result: 3-0 vs Rayo Vallecano

Valencia’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Valencia arrive at this fixture in a more inconsistent run of form. They have lost three of their last four matches, including a 1-0 defeat away to Elche on April 11, 2026. Their last five games show two wins and three losses, with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Over the season, they have registered 9 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, scoring 1.1 goals per game and conceding 1.5 on average.

One of the most striking aspects of Valencia’s campaign is their inability to draw matches — they have gone twelve consecutive games without a single stalemate. This pattern suggests a team that either wins or loses depending on small details, often influenced by whether they play at home or away. Their away record has been particularly weak, with only 12 points collected on the road compared to 23 at Mestalla.

Another notable trend is their lack of goals in the first half of matches. In 33 of their last 35 La Liga games, at least one team failed to score before halftime. This statistic points to a cautious approach early in games, which could again shape the rhythm of their visit to Son Moix.

• Ranking: 14th in La Liga


• Last 5 matches: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats


• Average goals: 1.1 scored, 1.5 conceded


• Last result: 0-1 loss vs Elche


• Head-to-head last meeting: 1-1 draw (December 19, 2025)

Probable Lineups Mallorca vs Valencia

MALLORCA (probable XI): Leo Román; Maffeo, Mascarell, Valjent, Mojica; Samú Costa, Morlanes, Darder, Pablo Torre; Jan Virgili, Muriqi.
Unavailable: Raíllo, Mateo Joseph, Jan Salas, Luvumbo (injured).

VALENCIA (probable XI): Dimitrievski; Thierry Correia, Tárrega, Unai Nuñez, Gayà; Rioja, Ugrinic, Guido Rodríguez, Ramazani; Lucas Beltrán, Sadiq.
Unavailable: Agirrezabala, Foulquier, Copete, Diakhaby (injured).
Doubts: Unai Nuñez, Hugo Duro, Cömert.

Mallorca vs Valencia Prediction and Tactical Overview

This fixture is expected to be a tight and tactical battle, with both teams aware of the importance of avoiding defeat. Mallorca’s recent resurgence, particularly at home, gives them a psychological edge. Their ability to score multiple goals in recent home matches contrasts with Valencia’s struggles on the road. The visitors’ inconsistency and lack of draws suggest that they will either push aggressively for a win or risk being punished on the counterattack.

Given the current form, Mallorca’s home advantage, and Valencia’s vulnerability away from Mestalla, the hosts appear slightly better positioned to take something from this match. The statistics also indicate a low-scoring contest, as both teams have averaged fewer than two goals per game this season and their last head-to-head ended 1-1. A draw or a narrow home win seems the most plausible outcome.

Mallorca vs Valencia prediction from BetMines:
Home Win (1) with 39% probability.