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Prediction published on Oct 17, 2025 11:47 AM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 17, 2025 11:48 AM
Saturday’s Premier League action features a high-profile clash at the Etihad Stadium, where Manchester City host Everton in a match that could have significant implications for both sides. The reigning champions are currently fifth in the table, while the Toffees sit eighth after seven rounds. With Arsenal, Liverpool, and Tottenham all playing later in the weekend, Pep Guardiola’s men have a golden opportunity to climb into the top two and possibly even finish the weekend at the summit if other results go their way.
Manchester City entered the international break in excellent form, having secured a narrow 1-0 away win over Brentford. That result extended their unbeaten streak to seven matches across all competitions, with five wins and two draws. Over their last five fixtures, the Citizens have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, underlining their balance between attacking power and defensive solidity. In the Premier League, they have recorded four wins, one draw, and two defeats, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game while conceding less than one.
At the Etihad, City have rediscovered their rhythm after an early home setback, stringing together three consecutive victories in all competitions. During this run, they have netted ten goals and allowed just one. Their dominance in first halves has also been remarkable — over 0.5 goals have been scored before the break in 19 of their last 21 matches, and they have won the first half in eight of their last eleven Premier League games. Guardiola’s side have not trailed at halftime in 19 of their last 21 league fixtures, a testament to their control and consistency.
In terms of personnel, the international break brought positive news for the hosts. Omar Marmoush, Abdukodir Khusanov, and Rayan Ait-Nouri have all returned to training and could feature this weekend. However, Rodri remains sidelined with an ankle injury sustained against Brentford, though he is expected to return for the next league outing. The spotlight, as always, will be on Erling Haaland, who has already scored nine goals and provided one assist in seven league appearances. The Norwegian striker also hit a hat-trick for his national team during the break, suggesting he is in peak condition to torment Everton’s defense once again.
Everton have shown notable improvement since David Moyes returned to the dugout. The Toffees have won six of their last ten Premier League matches — matching the total number of victories achieved in their previous 27 league games. They went into the break on a high after ending Crystal Palace’s 19-match unbeaten run with a 2-1 win. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only seven goals this season — the fourth-best record in the league so far.
Despite this progress, Everton’s away form remains a concern. They have lost three of their four league trips this season, with five of their seven goals conceded coming on the road. Their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match reflects a team that competes well but struggles to maintain consistency away from Goodison Park. Historically, the Toffees have found little joy against Manchester City, failing to win any of their last 16 league meetings (13 defeats, 3 draws) and losing their last 14 visits to the Etihad.
Team news for the visitors is mixed. Jack Grealish is ineligible to face his parent club, a major blow given his contribution of one goal and four assists this season. On the positive side, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall returns from suspension and should slot back into midfield. Defenders Michael Keane and Jarrad Branthwaite remain unavailable due to injury, though Merlin Rohl has recovered and could feature. Moyes will hope his side’s renewed confidence can help them challenge City, but the task ahead is formidable.
This fixture has been one-sided in recent years, with Manchester City unbeaten in 16 league encounters against Everton since 2017. The champions’ attacking depth, combined with their defensive discipline, makes them overwhelming favorites once again. Guardiola’s men have been particularly dominant at home, and their ability to control games from the outset often leaves opponents chasing shadows. With Haaland in lethal form and creative support from the likes of Phil Foden and Julian Alvarez, City are expected to dictate proceedings.
Everton, meanwhile, will likely adopt a compact shape, aiming to frustrate their hosts and strike on the counter. Moyes’ side have improved in terms of organization and work rate, but the absence of Grealish removes a key creative outlet. Their defensive resilience could keep them competitive for stretches, yet City’s relentless pressure and superior quality in the final third may prove decisive. The Toffees’ recent struggles away from home further tilt the balance toward the hosts.
All signs point to another strong performance from Manchester City, who have averaged more points per 90 minutes in 2025 than any other Premier League team. With their attacking rhythm restored and the Etihad crowd behind them, the champions are well-positioned to extend their dominance over Everton and continue their climb toward the top of the table.
Manchester City vs Everton prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Home Win (1) with a 69% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Manchester City
Everton
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
2
8
0
10
2.5
3
7
2
8
3.5
8
2
5
5
4.5
9
1
8
2