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Prediction published on Feb 9, 2026 8:02 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Feb 9, 2026 8:02 PM
The upcoming Premier League clash between Manchester City and Fulham promises to be an entertaining encounter, with both sides chasing different objectives as the season enters a decisive phase. The hosts are still in the title race, sitting second in the table, while the visitors aim to keep their European hopes alive. The match will be played on Wednesday, 11th February, and recent meetings suggest goals are almost guaranteed when these two meet.
Manchester City approach this fixture in excellent form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, with four wins and one draw. Their most recent outing was a crucial 2-1 victory over Liverpool on 8th February, a result that kept them within touching distance of the league leaders. The Cityzens have been particularly dominant at home, collecting 29 points so far — the second-best home record in the Premier League.
City’s attacking power remains one of their biggest strengths, averaging 2.0 goals per game this season while conceding just one on average. They have scored in each of their last 11 matches and have seen over 1.5 goals in all of their last 20 home fixtures. Their consistency in the first half is also remarkable: they have won at half time in their last 10 home matches and have not trailed at the break in 19 of their last 20 games overall.
Despite some defensive injuries, City’s offensive depth continues to deliver. Erling Haaland, who had three goal involvements in the reverse fixture, will once again be the focal point in attack. The Norwegian striker is eager to rediscover his best scoring rhythm, while goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma’s recent heroics have boosted confidence at the back. The Etihad crowd will expect another strong performance from a side that has not lost to Fulham in their last 25 meetings.
Fulham travel to Manchester after a disappointing 2-1 home defeat to Everton on 7th February, a result that left them 10th in the Premier League standings. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. The Cottagers have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded over that period, reflecting both their attacking potential and defensive fragility.
On the road, Fulham have shown a tendency for second-half action — over 0.5 goals have been scored in the second half of their last 15 away matches. However, they often start cautiously, with under 1.5 goals at half time in each of their last 10 games. Their defensive record remains a concern, having conceded 12 goals in their last eight matches. Goalkeeper Bernd Leno, who scored an unfortunate own goal in the previous outing, will be under pressure to deliver a solid performance this time.
Offensively, Fulham rely heavily on the creativity of Harry Wilson, who has contributed eight goals and four assists this season. With Sasa Lukic the only confirmed absentee, the visitors will hope their attacking players can exploit City’s occasional defensive lapses. Still, history is not on their side — Fulham have lost their last 19 meetings with Manchester City, and their last victory dates back to 2009.
When these two teams met in December, fans witnessed a nine-goal thriller that ended 5-4 in City’s favor. Given both sides’ current form and statistical trends, another high-scoring affair seems likely. City’s attacking rhythm at home, combined with Fulham’s open style of play, points toward a match filled with chances on both ends.
Manchester City’s dominance in head-to-head encounters is overwhelming — five straight wins, averaging 3.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Fulham’s defensive issues, particularly in the second half, could once again prove costly against a side that rarely lets opponents settle. The hosts have also won at half time in their last eight Premier League home matches, suggesting they often take control early.
For Fulham, the key will be to stay compact and capitalize on counterattacks. However, given City’s relentless pressure and superior home form, it’s difficult to see the visitors holding out for long. The statistics strongly support a goal-filled contest, with both teams likely to find the net.
Manchester City vs Fulham prediction by BetMines:
Over 2.5 goals with a 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Manchester City
Fulham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
6
4
2.5
3
7
8
2
3.5
8
2
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0