The highlight of Serie A’s tenth round will take place on Sunday, November 2, at 20:45 CET, when Milan host Roma at San Siro. This clash between two of Italy’s most prestigious clubs promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both sides in strong form and aiming to consolidate their positions near the top of the table. The home side start slightly favored due to the San Siro factor, but the match remains open to any outcome given the quality and momentum of both teams.

Milan’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Milan come into this fixture sitting fourth in Serie A with 17 points, having lost only once this season — on the opening day. Since then, they have built a solid unbeaten streak, combining consistency with resilience. The Rossoneri drew 1-1 away to Atalanta in their most recent league outing on October 28, a result that extended their run to nine consecutive matches without defeat across all competitions, including the Coppa Italia. However, they have managed just one win in their last four league games, showing a slight dip in attacking sharpness.

At home, Milan remain a formidable force. They have won six of their last eight matches at San Siro and have scored in 25 of their last 27 Serie A fixtures. Their attacking line, led by Nkunku and potentially Rafael Leão, continues to create chances, though defensive lapses have recently cost them clean sheets — they have conceded in each of their last three home league games. Coach Massimiliano Allegri will be without Rabiot, while Estupiñán and Jashari are back in the squad but unlikely to start. Pulisic remains doubtful, recovering from injury, and Leão faces a late fitness test due to a hip issue. In midfield, Ricci and Loftus-Cheek are competing for a starting spot alongside Modric and Fofana.

Statistically, Milan have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match this season. They have not lost at half-time in any of their last 20 matches, and at least one goal has been scored in the second half in each of their last 15 home league games. These numbers underline their ability to stay competitive and decisive in the later stages of matches.

Roma’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Roma travel to Milan as joint leaders of Serie A, level on 21 points with Napoli. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, the Giallorossi have found an impressive balance between defensive solidity and attacking efficiency. They come off a 2-1 home win against Parma on October 29, a result that ended a brief home slump and reaffirmed their title credentials. Remarkably, Roma have won all four of their away matches in Serie A this season, as well as their Europa League trip to Nice, showing great confidence on the road.

Defensively, Roma have been exceptional — they have conceded only four goals in nine league games, the fewest in the competition. Their away record is equally impressive: they have scored in each of their last 17 away matches and have not drawn a single game in their last 18 across all competitions. The Giallorossi’s matches tend to be tight, with Under 3.5 goals recorded in each of their last 13 Serie A away fixtures.

In terms of personnel, Gasperini will be without Ferguson, who picked up an injury early in the win over Parma, and long-term absentee Angeliño. Celik and Wesley are expected to start on the flanks, though Tsimikas could feature due to rotation. Up front, Dovbyk is pushing for a starting role after scoring last time out, while Dybala and Soulé are likely to operate behind him, ahead of Pellegrini and El Aynaoui in the pecking order.

Roma’s recent history at San Siro is less encouraging — they have not beaten Milan away in Serie A since 2017. However, their current form and defensive organization make them a serious threat. The Giallorossi’s ability to strike early is also notable, having led at half-time in each of their last three away league games.

Milan vs Roma Prediction and Tactical Overview

This encounter promises to be a high-quality contest between two well-drilled sides. Milan will rely on their home advantage and attacking creativity, while Roma’s compact structure and counter-attacking efficiency could prove decisive. Both teams have shown a tendency to score regularly — Milan have found the net in nearly every recent match, and Roma have scored in 28 of their last 30 Serie A fixtures. Given these trends, goals at both ends appear likely.

Historically, this fixture has produced balanced outcomes. The last meeting ended 3-1 in favor of Roma on May 18, 2025, but overall the head-to-head record slightly favors the Giallorossi, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five encounters. Both sides are in strong form, and with attacking talents such as Leão, Dybala, and Dovbyk on display, fans can expect an open and entertaining match.

Milan vs Roma prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is Both Teams To Score (Yes) with a 52% probability. The BTTS – No option follows closely at 48%, while the 1X2 probabilities suggest a narrow edge for a Milan win (45%) over a Roma win (29%) and a Draw (26%).