The upcoming EFL Championship clash between Millwall and Portsmouth promises to be an intriguing encounter at The Den. With Millwall sitting comfortably in third place and Portsmouth struggling in nineteenth, both sides enter this fixture with contrasting ambitions. The home team are chasing promotion, while the visitors are looking to steer clear of the relegation zone. Recent form and head-to-head history suggest that the Lions could have the upper hand, but Portsmouth’s recent away win might inject some much-needed confidence into their camp.

Millwall’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Millwall have been one of the most consistent sides in the Championship this season. They come into this match unbeaten in their last four games, securing three wins and one draw. Their latest triumph was a 2-1 victory away to Sheffield Wednesday on February 14, a result that extended their winning streak to two matches. Over their last five fixtures, the Lions have recorded three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

At home, Millwall have been particularly strong. They are unbeaten in their last five league matches at The Den, collecting three wins and two draws. Their overall season record of 16 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses underlines their consistency, while their average of 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match shows a balanced approach between attack and defense. Only two of their last ten league games have seen fewer than 0.5 total goals, highlighting their attacking intent.

• Ranking: 3rd in the Championship


• Last 5 matches: 3W – 1D – 1L


• Average goals scored: 1.3 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.2 per match


• Unbeaten in last 5 home games

With promotion in sight, Millwall will be eager to maintain their momentum and take advantage of their strong home form. Their recent performances suggest they have both the confidence and the quality to dominate this fixture.

Portsmouth’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Portsmouth arrive at The Den after a morale-boosting 3-1 away victory over Charlton Athletic on February 17. That result ended a run of two consecutive defeats against Preston North End and Sheffield United, both of which ended 1-0. Despite that win, Pompey’s away form remains a concern — they have managed just two victories in their last fourteen away matches, a record that ranks among the poorest in the division.

Across their last five games, Portsmouth have registered two wins, one draw, and two losses, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match. Their season record stands at 9 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.3 conceded per game. One notable trend is their lack of first-half goals — in 30 of their last 32 league matches, at least one team failed to score before the break, suggesting a cautious approach early in games.

• Ranking: 19th in the Championship


• Last 5 matches: 2W – 1D – 2L


• Average goals scored: 1.0 per match


• Average goals conceded: 1.3 per match


• Only 2 wins in last 14 away games

Although Portsmouth’s recent win may have lifted spirits, their inconsistency on the road remains a major obstacle. They will need to produce a disciplined and resilient performance to challenge a Millwall side that thrives at home.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

Historically, Millwall have enjoyed the upper hand in this fixture. In their last five meetings, the Lions have won four times and lost just once, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per game while conceding 1.0. Their most recent encounter ended in a 3-1 victory for Millwall on November 22, 2025. This dominance, combined with their current form, makes them clear favorites heading into this match.

From a tactical perspective, Millwall’s strength lies in their compact defensive structure and efficient transitions. They have been clinical in front of goal, often capitalizing on set pieces and counterattacks. Portsmouth, on the other hand, tend to struggle when forced to chase possession, particularly away from home. Their defensive line has been vulnerable against teams that press high and move the ball quickly through midfield.

Given these dynamics, the match is likely to see Millwall controlling the tempo, while Portsmouth may rely on quick breaks and long balls to create chances. However, with Millwall’s solid home record and Portsmouth’s travel difficulties, the balance appears tilted in favor of the hosts.

Millwall vs Portsmouth Prediction

All indicators point toward a competitive but ultimately one-sided contest. Millwall’s home form, combined with their superior consistency and head-to-head record, gives them a significant advantage. Portsmouth’s recent win might provide some momentum, but their poor away record and defensive lapses could prove costly once again.

BetMines prediction: Millwall win (1) with a 51% probability. The draw (X) stands at 26%, while an away win (2) is estimated at 22%. Given the stats, a low-scoring affair is also possible, with Under 2.5 goals slightly favored at 52% probability.

In conclusion, Millwall are expected to continue their strong run and secure another valuable three points in their promotion push. Portsmouth will need to deliver something special to upset the odds at The Den.