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Mirassol
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Chapecoense
Prediction published on May 9, 2026 3:02 PM by Dario in Brazil - Serie A | Modified on May 9, 2026 3:02 PM
The upcoming clash between Mirassol and Chapecoense promises to be a crucial battle in the lower part of the Serie A table. Both teams are struggling to escape the relegation zone, but the hosts arrive in far better form and with strong momentum after a series of positive results. Playing at home, Mirassol will look to extend their dominance over Chapecoense, having won all previous head-to-head meetings between the two sides.
Mirassol come into this fixture showing clear signs of improvement. The team has recorded three consecutive victories across competitions, including a 2-0 win over LDU Quito in the Libertadores. In their last five matches, Mirassol have achieved three wins, one draw, and one defeat, averaging 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded per game. Their defensive solidity has been a key factor in this resurgence, with just one goal allowed in their last three outings.
In Serie A, Mirassol’s record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match. Despite their position in 18th place, the team’s recent performances suggest a steady climb in form. Notably, Mirassol have not lost at half time in their last 14 home matches in Serie A, a sign of their consistency and resilience when playing in front of their supporters.
Another interesting trend is that under 3.5 goals have been scored in each of Mirassol’s last 10 matches, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense. Their home fixtures often see more action after the break, with over 0.5 goals in the second half in their last 11 home games. These patterns highlight a team that grows stronger as the match progresses, often finding decisive moments late in the game.
Chapecoense are enduring a difficult campaign, currently sitting at the bottom of the Serie A table in 20th place. Their season record of 1 win, 5 draws, and 7 defeats reflects a team struggling to find consistency. The side’s main issue lies in defense, having conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game, the worst defensive record in the league so far.
In their last five matches, Chapecoense have managed two wins and three defeats, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 1.4 on average. Their most recent victory came against Operário PR by 2-1, but since then, results have been disappointing. Away from home, the team’s matches tend to be tight in the first half, with under 1.5 goals before the break in their last 10 away fixtures. However, the second halves often open up, as over 0.5 goals have been scored in each of their last 12 away games.
Chapecoense’s attack has struggled to produce consistent results, while their defense remains vulnerable. The team has gone through long winless stretches, and their confidence appears low. Facing Mirassol away from home, where they have never earned a point in four previous meetings, represents a major challenge for the visitors.
This encounter is expected to be a battle between a side on the rise and another struggling to find its footing. Mirassol have shown defensive improvement and greater attacking efficiency in recent weeks, while Chapecoense continue to suffer from defensive lapses and a lack of cutting edge in the final third. The hosts’ ability to control the tempo and maintain compactness at the back could prove decisive.
Historically, Mirassol have dominated this fixture, winning all four previous meetings without conceding a single goal. Their home advantage and current momentum make them strong favorites to extend that perfect record. Chapecoense, on the other hand, will need to tighten their defense and hope to capitalize on counterattacks if they are to challenge the hosts.
Given the trends, a low-scoring match seems likely, with Mirassol’s defensive organization and Chapecoense’s struggles in attack pointing towards a controlled game. However, the home side’s superior form and confidence should give them the edge in this crucial relegation battle.
MIRASSOL: Walter; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Lucas Oliveira, Reinaldo; Denilson, Aldo Filho, Eduardo, Shaylon; Carlos Eduardo, Alesson.
CHAPECOENSE: Anderson; Victor Caetano, Eduardo Doma, João Paulo; Everton, João Vítor, Camilo, Bruno Pacheco; Marcinho, Ênio, Bolasie.
All indicators point toward another strong performance from Mirassol. Their recent form, home advantage, and superior defensive record make them the clear favorites. Chapecoense’s ongoing struggles, particularly away from home, further reinforce this outlook. The hosts are expected to control the match and secure a valuable three points in their fight to climb out of the relegation zone.
Mirassol vs Chapecoense prediction from BetMines: Home Win (1) with 61% probability.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Mirassol
Chapecoense
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
3
7
0
10
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
8
2
4.5
10
0
9
1