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Prediction published on Oct 27, 2025 10:03 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Oct 27, 2025 11:05 PM
The 10th round of Ligue 1 brings an intriguing clash between FC Nantes and AS Monaco, scheduled for Wednesday at 21:05 at the Stade de la Beaujoire. The hosts are enduring a challenging start to the season, sitting 13th in the standings with only a narrow cushion above the relegation zone. Having managed just two wins in their first nine league fixtures, the Canaries will be eager to build on their recent 2-1 away victory over Paris FC. However, facing one of the most consistent sides in the league, Monaco, will be a serious test of their resilience and ambition.
FC Nantes have struggled to find consistency in this opening phase of the campaign. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats reflects a team still searching for balance. Offensively, they average 0.8 goals scored per match while conceding 1.1, a statistic that underlines their difficulties in both creating and converting chances. Despite these challenges, their recent 1-2 triumph away to Paris FC offered a much-needed morale boost and a glimpse of their potential when confidence is high.
At home, Nantes have not been particularly dominant, winning only once in their four Ligue 1 fixtures at the Beaujoire. Their attack has fired blanks in half of those games, and they will need to be far more clinical against a Monaco side that rarely gives away easy goals. On the positive side, Matthis Abline finally opened his scoring account last week, a development that could inject new energy into the team’s offensive play. Goalkeeper Anthony Lopes remains a key figure, often keeping his side in contention with crucial saves. Nantes will also be without Francis Coquelin and Johann Lepenant, while Lahdo Mayckel remains doubtful, further limiting Luis Castro’s options in midfield.
One notable trend for Nantes is their involvement in high-corner matches: there have been over 7.5 corners in each of their last 16 home games in Ligue 1. This could once again be a factor, especially if they are forced to defend deep and rely on counterattacks.
AS Monaco enter this fixture in sixth place, having accumulated 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats so far. Their attacking output remains one of the best in the league, averaging 2.0 goals per match, while conceding 1.4. The team’s recent 1-0 victory over Toulouse marked the first win under new head coach Sébastien Pocognoli, who replaced Adi Hütter earlier this month. That result ended a run of three consecutive draws and signaled a potential turning point for the Principality club.
Monaco’s defensive improvement has been particularly encouraging. Goalkeeper Philipp Köhn has kept back-to-back clean sheets — against Tottenham in the Champions League and Toulouse in Ligue 1 — and will be aiming for a third in a row. The team’s away performances have also been steady, with over 0.5 goals in the second half recorded in each of their last 11 away matches, demonstrating their ability to stay competitive deep into games. Additionally, under 1.5 goals at half-time has been a consistent pattern in their last 10 away league fixtures, suggesting a tendency for Monaco to grow into matches rather than dominate early.
In attack, Ansu Fati remains a crucial figure despite not scoring in his last three appearances. With five goals already this season, he continues to be among Ligue 1’s top scorers and will be eager to rediscover his finishing touch. Monaco’s injury list remains long, with Lukas Hradecky, Vanderson, Eric Dier, Denis Zakaria, Paul Pogba, and Lamine Camara all sidelined, while Caio Henrique is a doubt. Nevertheless, the squad’s depth and recent defensive solidity make them strong favorites heading into this encounter.
This fixture has historically favored Monaco, who have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, including a resounding 7-1 victory earlier in 2025. Over the last five encounters, Nantes have failed to win, drawing three and losing two, while conceding an average of 3.6 goals per match. Such numbers highlight the gulf in quality between the two sides in recent seasons.
For Nantes, the key will be maintaining defensive discipline and exploiting transitions, particularly through Abline’s pace and the creativity of their wide players. However, Monaco’s superior technical quality and attacking depth are likely to dictate the rhythm of the game. Pocognoli’s men have shown improved organization and patience, often breaking opponents down in the second half — a pattern that could repeat itself at the Beaujoire.
Given Nantes’ inconsistency at home and Monaco’s growing confidence, the visitors appear well-positioned to extend their unbeaten run. The Canaries’ limited scoring record and Monaco’s recent clean sheets suggest a controlled performance from the away side, possibly decided by a narrow margin.
BetMines Prediction:
The most likely outcome is a Monaco win (2) with a 54% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 23%, while a Nantes win (1) stands at 23%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Nantes
Monaco
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
2
8
0
10
1.5
5
5
1
9
2.5
6
4
3
7
3.5
9
1
6
4
4.5
9
1
9
1