The first midweek round of the 2026 Clausura in Liga MX brings an intriguing clash between Necaxa and Monterrey. The match will take place at the Estadio Victoria, where the home side will look to build on their strong start to the campaign, while the visitors aim to recover from a disappointing opening defeat. Historically, Monterrey have dominated this fixture, but Necaxa’s recent form suggests that this encounter could be far more balanced than in previous seasons.

Necaxa’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Necaxa began their Clausura 2026 campaign in style, defeating Santos Laguna 3-1 away from home. That result extended their unbeaten streak to five matches across all competitions, with three wins and two draws. The team has shown a clear improvement in attack, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game in their last five outings, while conceding 1.4 on average. Their overall record from the previous season (5 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses) reflected inconsistency, but the early signs this term are promising.

At home, Necaxa have been particularly resilient, finishing the previous tournament with two wins, two draws, and just one defeat in their last five matches at the Estadio Victoria. Despite often struggling in the first half — having trailed at halftime in nine of their last fourteen league games — the team tends to grow stronger as matches progress. The attacking line, led by Tomás Badaloni, remains a key weapon; he has scored in three of his last four league appearances. The arrivals of Danny Leiva and Lorenzo Faravelli have added depth in midfield, while Julián Carranza provides an additional option up front. With a solid defensive base featuring Alexis Peña and Chicote Calderón, Necaxa appear ready to challenge even the strongest opponents.

Monterrey’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Monterrey enter this fixture under pressure after losing 0-1 at home to Toluca in their opening match. That defeat extended their poor run of away form, as they have failed to win in their last five league matches on the road. Over their last five games overall, Monterrey have recorded two wins and three defeats, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceding the same number. Their season statistics from the previous campaign (11 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses) show that they remain a competitive side, but consistency away from home continues to be an issue.

Interestingly, Monterrey’s matches tend to feature early action: over 0.5 goals have been scored in the first half in 20 of their last 21 Liga MX fixtures, and they have trailed at halftime in each of their last four away games. Corners have been scarce in their recent away performances, with under 8.5 corners recorded in the last eight and under 7.5 in the last five. Despite these trends, the squad’s quality remains undeniable. With Berterame leading the attack and creative support from Canales and Oliver Torres, Monterrey possess the talent to turn things around quickly. Their depth across all lines allows for rotation during this congested schedule, which could prove crucial in a midweek fixture like this one.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Overview

The historical record between these two sides heavily favors Monterrey. In their last five meetings, the northern side has won all five, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game while conceding just 0.4. The most recent encounter ended 3-0 in favor of Monterrey on August 24, 2025. However, Necaxa’s current momentum and improved attacking efficiency suggest that this time the contest could be more competitive.

Necaxa’s main challenge will be maintaining defensive discipline against a Monterrey team that often starts aggressively. The home side’s ability to recover from early setbacks could play a decisive role, especially given their tendency to improve after halftime. Monterrey, on the other hand, will look to exploit their superior individual quality and experience to regain confidence on the road. Both teams have shown attacking intent recently, which could lead to an open and entertaining match.

Necaxa vs Monterrey Prediction and Final Analysis

Considering the current form and statistical trends, this fixture promises goals and intensity. Necaxa’s attacking rhythm and Monterrey’s need to respond after a poor start point toward a dynamic encounter. The home side’s recent scoring consistency contrasts with Monterrey’s defensive vulnerabilities away from home, while both teams have a high probability of finding the net.

BetMines prediction for Necaxa vs Monterrey: Both Teams To Score – Yes (65% probability). The data also supports a high-scoring match, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 64% of similar fixtures. While Monterrey’s historical dominance cannot be ignored, Necaxa’s current momentum and home advantage could make this one of the most balanced and entertaining games of the round.