The quarter-final stage of the 2025–26 Carabao Cup brings an exciting clash as Newcastle United host Fulham at St James’ Park. The defending champions are aiming to reach the semi-finals once again, while the visitors are chasing their second appearance in the last four within three seasons. With both sides showing attacking intent in recent weeks, this encounter promises to be a lively one under the midweek lights.

Newcastle United’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Newcastle United enter this fixture looking to bounce back from a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Sunderland on December 14. Despite that setback, the Magpies have maintained a solid run overall, recording 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Their home form, however, remains formidable — unbeaten in eight competitive matches at St James’ Park (7 wins, 1 draw), with only Tottenham managing to take points from them.

In the Carabao Cup, Newcastle have been dominant this season, winning both of their matches with an average of 3.0 goals scored and just 0.5 conceded. They have also won their last 8 home games in the competition, leading at half time in each of their last six at this venue. The Magpies have scored in their last 13 home matches and in every one of their last 12 Carabao Cup fixtures, underlining their attacking consistency.

Injury concerns persist, with Dan Burn sidelined after a rib injury sustained against Sunderland, joining Kieran Trippier and William Osula on the list of absentees. On the positive side, Nick Pope could return to action after missing five games. Harvey Barnes, who has netted seven goals this season, may feature prominently, potentially starting on the left of the front three. His ability to influence games — having scored or assisted in four of his last seven starts — could be crucial for the hosts.

Fulham’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Fulham arrive in confident mood after a thrilling 3-2 away win over Burnley on December 13. That result extended their run to three wins in their last four away matches, a significant improvement after previously losing four consecutive games on the road. The Cottagers’ last five fixtures have produced 3 wins and 2 defeats, with an average of 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, highlighting their attacking flair but also defensive vulnerability.

In the Carabao Cup, Fulham remain unbeaten this season (W2, D1), averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. However, their defensive record away from home is less reassuring — they have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 19 away matches. Despite this, Fulham’s attacking unit has been productive, with Harry Wilson contributing seven goals and four assists in his last eight appearances across all competitions.

Managerial rotation will be necessary, as Calvin Bassey, Alex Iwobi, and Samuel Chukwueze are unavailable due to international duty at the AFCON. The visitors are expected to maintain their usual 4-2-3-1 setup, with Raul Jimenez leading the line and Wilson providing creativity behind him. Fulham’s ability to transition quickly and exploit spaces could make them a dangerous opponent for Newcastle’s defense.

Newcastle United vs Fulham Analysis and Prediction

This quarter-final promises to be a fascinating contest between two sides with contrasting strengths. Newcastle boast one of the most reliable home records in the competition, having won their last eight Carabao Cup matches at St James’ Park. Their attacking rhythm, especially in the second half, has been consistent — with over 0.5 goals scored after the break in each of their last 18 matches. Meanwhile, Fulham have been involved in high-scoring encounters, with over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 away games.

Historically, this fixture has produced goals, including a 2-1 result in their most recent meeting on October 25, 2025. Newcastle hold a slight edge in the head-to-head record (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match against Fulham. Given both teams’ attacking form and defensive lapses, another open and entertaining game is expected.

Newcastle’s home advantage and scoring consistency make them favorites, but Fulham’s recent away resurgence suggests they can find the net as well. The Magpies’ strong first-half performances — leading at the break in their last 11 Carabao Cup matches — could again set the tone, yet Fulham’s resilience might ensure a competitive second half.

BetMines Prediction

Newcastle United vs Fulham prediction from BetMines: Both Teams To Score (Yes) with 59% probability.