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Prediction published on Oct 23, 2025 5:07 PM by Dario in England - Premier League | Modified on Oct 23, 2025 5:09 PM
The English Premier League continues with an intriguing clash at St. James’ Park as Newcastle United host Fulham on Saturday, October 25, 2025. Only a single point separates the two sides in the standings, with Newcastle sitting 14th and Fulham 15th. Both teams are searching for consistency after mixed starts to the season, and this encounter could prove crucial in shaping their early campaign trajectories. The Magpies come into this fixture buoyed by a strong midweek performance in Europe, while the Cottagers are desperate to halt a worrying run of defeats.
Newcastle United enter this match on the back of a convincing 3-0 win over Benfica in the Champions League, a result that extended their impressive run of three victories in their last four matches across all competitions. That European triumph showcased their defensive solidity, as it was their third clean sheet in four outings. However, in the Premier League, the Magpies have struggled for rhythm, with just one win from their last four league fixtures (W1, D1, L2). Their most recent domestic outing ended in a 2-1 defeat away to Brighton, underlining the inconsistency that has hampered their progress toward the European qualification spots.
Despite these fluctuations, Newcastle’s defensive record remains one of the best in the division. They have kept five clean sheets in the league so far, a joint-high alongside Arsenal. At home, St. James’ Park continues to be a fortress, with the Magpies scoring in 20 of their last 21 home matches and avoiding defeat at half time in 19 of their last 21. Their attacking trio of Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade, and Anthony Elanga has been in fine form, with Woltemade particularly impressive, netting five goals in his last seven appearances for club and country.
Manager Eddie Howe is expected to maintain his preferred 4-3-3 setup, emphasizing defensive structure and quick transitions. The midfield pairing of Joelinton and Bruno Guimarães will be key to controlling the tempo, while the backline—anchored by Sven Botman and Fabian Schär—has been one of the most reliable in the Premier League. Newcastle have not drawn any of their last 15 home league matches, a statistic that highlights their all-or-nothing approach at St. James’ Park.
Fulham arrive in the North East under pressure after a difficult run of results. They have lost their last three Premier League matches, including a narrow 1-0 home defeat to Arsenal last weekend. That loss followed consecutive 3-1 away defeats to Aston Villa and Bournemouth, leaving the Cottagers with four losses in their last six league games. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with three straight defeats on the road and at least one goal conceded in each of their last 12 away league fixtures.
Despite these struggles, Fulham can take some encouragement from their recent history against Newcastle. They completed a league double over the Magpies last season, winning 3-1 at Craven Cottage and 2-1 at St. James’ Park. A repeat of that success would see them record back-to-back away league wins over Newcastle for only the second time in their history, the last occasion dating back to the 1950/51 season. However, given their current defensive vulnerabilities, repeating that feat will be a tall order.
Manager Marco Silva is likely to persist with a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on midfield compactness and counterattacking opportunities. The availability of Joachim Andersen remains uncertain after he was forced off against Arsenal, a potential blow to a defense already under strain. On the flanks, Alex Iwobi and Harry Wilson are expected to provide width and creativity, while Iwobi—who is set to make his 300th Premier League appearance—will be a key figure in linking play and driving forward transitions. Fulham’s attack has lacked sharpness, averaging just one goal per game this season, and they will need to rediscover their cutting edge to trouble Newcastle’s disciplined backline.
This fixture pits one of the league’s most resilient defenses against a side struggling to find attacking fluency. Newcastle’s ability to maintain clean sheets has been a cornerstone of their campaign, while Fulham’s defensive lapses and poor away form have left them vulnerable. The Magpies’ home advantage, combined with their recent European momentum, makes them strong favorites to claim all three points.
Historically, matches between these two sides have been competitive, but the current form guide suggests Newcastle hold the upper hand. The Magpies’ pressing intensity and attacking width could expose Fulham’s defensive frailties, especially if Andersen is unavailable. Meanwhile, Fulham’s best hope may lie in exploiting set pieces or counterattacks through Iwobi and Wilson. However, with Newcastle’s backline in commanding form and Woltemade firing on all cylinders, the hosts appear well-positioned to secure a positive result.
Referee Tony Harrington will oversee proceedings, assisted by Edward Smart and Steven Meredith, with Peter Bankes in charge of VAR. The match will not be broadcast live in the UK due to the 3pm blackout rule, but fans can follow live updates and scores online.
NEWCASTLE UNITED (4-3-3): Pope; Trippier, Schär, Botman, Burn; Guimarães, Joelinton, Longstaff; Gordon, Woltemade, Elanga. Coach: E. Howe
FULHAM (4-2-3-1): Leno; Castagne, Diop, Ream, Robinson; Palhinha, Reed; Wilson, Pereira, Iwobi; Muniz. Coach: M. Silva
Newcastle United vs Fulham prediction by BetMines:
The most likely outcome is a Newcastle United win (1) with a 53% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 23%, while a Fulham win (2) stands at 24%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Newcastle United
Fulham
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
2
8
1.5
2
8
6
4
2.5
4
6
8
2
3.5
7
3
9
1
4.5
9
1
10
0