The upcoming La Liga clash between CA Osasuna and Deportivo Alavés promises to be a tightly contested battle between two sides looking to consolidate their positions in the mid-to-lower section of the table. Both teams regained confidence in midweek cup action after suffering defeats in their previous league outings against top opposition. Now, they turn their focus back to the domestic competition, where every point is crucial in the fight to stay clear of the relegation zone. Osasuna, currently sitting just above the drop zone, will rely on their strong home form at El Sadar, while Alavés arrive with renewed optimism after a morale-boosting win in the Copa del Rey.

Osasuna’s Recent Form and Key Stats

Osasuna enter this fixture ranked 16th in La Liga, having collected 15 points so far. Their recent 1-1 draw against Huesca extended a run of five matches with only one defeat (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Despite inconsistency earlier in the season, the team has shown signs of improvement, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded across their last five games. Over the course of the campaign, they have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match.

El Sadar continues to be a fortress for the Pamplona side. They have scored at least one goal in each of their last 16 home league matches and have not lost at half time in their last 13 home appearances. In fact, Osasuna have gone unbeaten at half time in 21 of their last 23 matches overall, winning the first half in their last three home games. These numbers underline their ability to start matches strongly, especially in front of their fans.

However, consistency remains an issue. Osasuna have yet to string together back-to-back league victories this season, with their best run being four points collected between matchdays 14 and 15. The team’s attacking play often revolves around Budimir, whose presence in the box continues to be a key factor in their offensive output. With 13 of their 15 points earned at home, Osasuna will once again look to capitalize on their home advantage to distance themselves from the relegation zone.

Deportivo Alavés’ Recent Form and Key Stats

Deportivo Alavés travel to Pamplona sitting 12th in the standings, four places above their hosts. Their recent 1-0 victory over Sevilla in the Copa del Rey provided a timely boost after a challenging league run. In their last five matches, Alavés have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Over the season, their record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with an average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game.

Despite their solid defensive structure, Alavés have struggled away from home, losing five of their seven away fixtures so far, including four consecutive defeats on the road. This weakness contrasts sharply with their resilience at home and could prove decisive against an Osasuna side that thrives in front of its supporters. The visitors will also have to cope with key absences, including Jonny Otto through injury and Garcés due to suspension, which may limit their options in defense and attack.

Historically, Alavés have found it difficult to overcome Osasuna. The last five head-to-head meetings have seen Osasuna remain unbeaten, with three wins and two draws, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded. The most recent encounter ended 1-1 in May 2025, reflecting the balance that often characterizes this fixture.

Osasuna vs Deportivo Alavés Tactical Overview and Prediction

This encounter is expected to be a close and physical affair, with both sides aware of the importance of avoiding defeat. Osasuna will likely rely on their intensity and pressing game at home, aiming to dominate early phases and maintain their strong first-half record. Their ability to score consistently at El Sadar gives them a psychological edge, especially against an opponent that has struggled away from home.

Deportivo Alavés, on the other hand, will look to stay compact and exploit counterattacking opportunities. Their recent improvement in front of goal suggests they can pose a threat, but maintaining defensive discipline will be crucial if they are to take something from this match. Given both teams’ recent patterns, a low-scoring contest could be on the cards, with fine margins likely to decide the outcome.

According to the latest data, the win probabilities stand at Osasuna 42%, Draw 27%, and Deportivo Alavés 31%. The Both Teams To Score – Yes option is rated at 51%, while Under 2.5 goals has a 54% likelihood, suggesting a tight and balanced contest.

Probable Lineups Osasuna vs Deportivo Alavés

OSASUNA (3-5-2): Herrera; Arguibide, Catena, Herrando; Moncayola, Lucas Torró, Oroz, Muñoz, Bretones; Víctor Muñoz, Budimir.

DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS (4-4-2): Sivera; Prostesoni, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada; Carlos Vicente, Blanco, Guridi, Ináñez; Toni Martínez, Lucas Boyé.

Osasuna vs Deportivo Alavés prediction by BetMines:
The analysis points towards a Home Win or Draw (1X) outcome, reflecting Osasuna’s strong home record and Alavés’ away struggles. The probability for this result stands at 69%, making it the most likely scenario for this La Liga encounter.