Tools
Prediction published on May 28, 2025 3:08 PM by Dario in Europe - Champions League | Modified on May 28, 2025 4:30 PM
Spotlights on the highly anticipated UEFA Champions League final: at the Allianz Arena, Ligue 1 champions Paris Saint-Germain face Serie A runners-up Inter Milan. The Parisians are chasing a historic achievement: the first Treble in their history, having already secured Ligue 1—seven matchdays early—and the Coupe de France, clinched last weekend with a clear 3-0 win over Reims. This marks PSG's second-ever Champions League final, after their 2020 loss to Bayern Munich. This time, however, Luis Enrique’s side appears well-equipped to complete the task. The French outfit arrives with a more compact and cohesive identity than in past years, thanks to a technical and managerial overhaul: abandoning the strategy of signing big names (like Messi and Neymar), the board chose to build a young, ambitious, and ego-free squad capable of fully embracing the Spanish manager’s tactics—himself a Treble-winner with Barcelona. PSG’s European campaign has been a tale of two halves: shaky during the league-style group stage (finishing 15th overall), explosive in the knockout rounds, eliminating Brest in the Round of 16, tournament favorites Liverpool in the Round of 8, Aston Villa in the quarterfinals, and Arsenal in the semifinals. Inter Milan, on the other hand, returns to the Champions League final just two years after their defeat to Manchester City in Istanbul. Simone Inzaghi’s team looks more mature and self-aware compared to that night, despite missing out on the Serie A title and Coppa Italia this season. The Nerazzurri had a consistent and strong UCL campaign: fourth in the group stage and just one goal conceded in eight matches. Then came three excellent knockout rounds, with wins over Feyenoord, Bayern Munich, and a fierce Barcelona side in the semifinals, settled by a Davide Frattesi goal in extra time. Everything points to a thrilling, high-scoring final between two squads rich in talent, depth, and the hunger to make history.
Paris Saint-Germain arrives at the Champions League final off the back of a 3-0 win over Reims in the Coupe de France final, with Barcola netting a brace and Hakimi adding one before halftime. With this result, PSG lifted their 16th Coupe de France trophy—second in a row. It also marks their fourth consecutive win in all competitions, following victories against Arsenal, Montpellier, and Auxerre.
In the Champions League, PSG boasts a record of 10 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses. They are the competition’s highest-scoring team with 33 goals, averaging 2.06 per match. Defensively, they’ve conceded 15 goals (0.94 per match). Ousmane Dembélé is PSG’s top scorer in the tournament, with 8 goals.
Luis Enrique has a full squad available for the final. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who missed the Coupe de France final due to a severe migraine, is back in the lineup. The Spaniard will thus field his best XI, with Dembélé supported by Kvaratskhelia and Barcola. Doué and Gonçalo Ramos will start from the bench.
Despite a 2-0 away win over Como in their final Serie A match—courtesy of goals from De Vrij and Correa—Inter had to surrender their Scudetto hopes, with Napoli under Antonio Conte winning the title. Still, the Nerazzurri head into the Champions League final in solid form: unbeaten in six matches across all competitions, with four wins and two draws, scoring 2.33 goals and conceding 1.33 per game on average.
Simone Inzaghi’s European campaign has been nearly flawless: 10 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 defeat, with 26 goals scored (1.86 per game) and only 11 conceded (0.78 per game). Their standout performer has been Lautaro Martínez, who has scored 9 times in this Champions League season.
Inzaghi has managed his squad rotations carefully in recent Serie A games to keep his starters fresh. Up front, both Lautaro Martínez and Thuram are expected to start, while Dumfries returns on the right flank. Pavard is also back in defense after missing both legs against Barcelona due to injury.
Paris Saint-Germain and Inter Milan have never faced each other before in the Champions League, making this final a first-ever meeting on the European stage. According to BetMines' algorithm, the prediction leans toward a high-scoring and dramatic match, with at least three total goals expected.
PSG is the most prolific team in this year’s Champions League, powered by the pace and flair of their front three: Kvaratskhelia, Barcola, and Dembélé, plus the exciting young talent Doué. Their offensive firepower is reflected in the fact that goals have come from all over the pitch: full-backs Hakimi (3 goals) and Nuno Mendes (4) have made key contributions, as have midfielders Vitinha (2), João Neves (1), Fabián Ruiz (1), and Zaire-Emery (1).
Inter, too, has shown great attacking potential, particularly in their semifinal clash with Barcelona, where they struck decisively on the counter using Dumfries (3 goals, 2 assists in the UCL) and Marcus Thuram (4 goals, 1 assist). Their key weapon remains Lautaro Martínez, just one goal shy of reaching double figures in the competition. Davide Frattesi's contributions shouldn't be underestimated either—he netted two crucial goals, one in the quarterfinal against Bayern Munich and one in the semifinal against Barcelona.
Both teams possess the tools to hurt each other, with similar styles based on high pressing and quick vertical transitions down the flanks. All signs point to a spectacular final with strong scoring potential and at least three total goals.
PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN (4-3-3): Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes; João Neves, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz; Barcola, Dembélé, Kvaratskhelia. Manager: Luis Enrique
INTER MILAN (3-5-2): Sommer; Pavard, Acerbi, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Çalhanoğlu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; Lautaro Martínez, Thuram. Manager: Simone Inzaghi
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Paris Saint Germain
Inter
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
0
10
0
10
1.5
1
9
0
10
2.5
4
6
4
6
3.5
8
2
6
4
4.5
9
1
7
3