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Prediction published on Nov 27, 2025 8:02 PM by Dario in France - Ligue 1 | Modified on Nov 27, 2025 8:02 PM
The 14th round of Ligue 1 continues this Saturday at 19:00 with an intriguing clash between Paris FC and AJ Auxerre at the Stade Jean-Bouin. The capital side, ambitious since its recent takeover, currently sits in 12th place and is eager to bounce back after two consecutive defeats against strong opponents — Rennes (0-1) and Lille (4-2). Despite those setbacks, Stéphane Gilli’s men have shown encouraging signs earlier in the season and will view this fixture as a perfect opportunity to return to winning ways in front of their supporters.
Paris FC’s recent run has been challenging, but context matters. Their last two losses came against top-tier sides, and before that, they had managed to draw 3-3 with Lyon and even beat Monaco 1-0 away. Overall, the team’s Ligue 1 record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match. In their last five outings, they have collected one win, one draw, and three losses, scoring 1.4 goals per game while conceding two on average.
At home, the Parisians have been more competitive, often showing greater attacking intent. The squad’s offensive leader, Ilan Kebbal, has been one of the bright spots this season, contributing five goals and four assists. His creativity and pace down the flank have been crucial for Gilli’s side. Meanwhile, striker Willem Geubbels found the net last weekend and will aim to continue his scoring form, while Jean-Philippe Krasso is eager to rediscover his touch after a goal drought since early October.
In terms of team news, Sofiane Alakouch remains sidelined, while several players — including Nhoa Sangui, Maxime Lopez, Pierre Lees-Melou, Jonathan Ikoné, and Pierre-Yves Hamel — are doubtful. The goalkeeping position remains open, with Obed Nkambadio and Kevin Trapp alternating in recent weeks. Despite these uncertainties, the overall squad depth should be enough to handle a struggling Auxerre side.
For AJ Auxerre, the season has been nothing short of a nightmare so far. The Burgundy club sits bottom of the Ligue 1 table with only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats from 13 matches. They have scored just 0.5 goals per game while conceding 1.5 on average. Their last five fixtures have produced four losses and one draw, including a goalless stalemate against Lyon last weekend — a small step forward after a long series of defeats.
Auxerre’s main issue has been their poor away form. They have collected only one point from six away matches, failing to score in their last two trips — a 3-0 loss at Strasbourg and a 2-0 defeat at Angers. The team’s last victory dates back to September 21, when they edged Toulouse 1-0. Since then, Christophe Pélissier’s men have gone eight matches without a win, struggling both offensively and defensively.
Injuries have not helped their cause. Marvin Senaya, Telli Siwe, and Lasso Coulibaly are all unavailable, while Elisha Owusu and Tidiane Devernois remain doubtful. On a positive note, goalkeeper Donovan Léon finally managed to keep a clean sheet against Lyon, which could boost confidence at the back. Up front, Lassine Sinayoko remains their top scorer with three goals, but he has not found the net since mid-October and even missed a penalty last weekend. Auxerre will need him to rediscover his scoring touch if they are to have any chance in Paris.
This encounter looks like a golden opportunity for Paris FC to get back on track. The hosts have faced a tough run of fixtures but now meet the league’s bottom side, who have been dreadful away from home. Auxerre’s inability to score on the road — just three goals in six away games — contrasts sharply with Paris FC’s attacking potential at the Stade Jean-Bouin. The home side’s offensive trio, led by Kebbal and Geubbels, should have enough firepower to break down a fragile Auxerre defense.
Historically, the head-to-head record slightly favors Auxerre, but recent momentum is clearly on Paris FC’s side. The last meeting between the two ended 2-0 in favor of the Parisians in May 2024. Given the current form and confidence levels, another home success seems the most plausible outcome. Auxerre’s defensive improvements against Lyon may not be enough to contain a motivated Paris FC side looking to climb back into the top half of the table.
The most likely outcome is a Paris FC win (1) with a 61% probability. The Draw (X) follows at 21%, while an AJ Auxerre win (2) stands at 18%.
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Paris
Auxerre
Under
Over
Under
Over
0.5
1
9
2
8
1.5
3
7
3
7
2.5
5
5
4
6
3.5
6
4
6
4
4.5
8
2
9
1