On Saturday, October 25, at the Stadio Ennio Tardini, Carlos Cuesta’s Parma will host Cesc Fabregas’s Como in the second early fixture of Serie A Matchday 8. The home side currently sits just three points above the relegation zone but comes off a valuable away draw — earned while playing with ten men — against Genoa (0-0). The hero of that game was undoubtedly goalkeeper Suzuki, who saved a penalty from Cornet deep into stoppage time. That point didn’t change Parma’s position much in the standings but certainly boosted their confidence, given the way it was achieved. Now, the Gialloblu face a serious test as one of the season’s surprise teams, Como, arrives at the Tardini. Fabregas’s men are fresh off a historic 2-0 victory over Juventus, led by the brilliance of Nico Paz, who once again shined with a goal and an assist. In their second consecutive Serie A campaign, Como are on the verge of the European qualification zone and, after significant summer investments, aim for another win to strengthen their top-six ambitions. The stakes are high: Parma are fighting to stay clear of relegation, while Como are pushing for European spots.

 

Parma's Form and Key Stats

It’s not the best moment for Parma, who have collected just one point from their last two Serie A matches — a 0-1 loss against Lecce and a 0-0 draw against Genoa. After seven rounds, Cuesta’s side sits on 6 points with 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, averaging 0.43 goals scored and 1 conceded per match.

The Ducali have been notably inefficient in front of goal, finding the net just 3 times in 7 league matches. Their main strikers, Patrick Cutrone and Manuel Pellegrino, have scored only 1 and 2 goals respectively — numbers that might push coach Cuesta to consider alternatives soon.

Defensively, the Gialloblu have looked more compact lately, conceding just one goal in their last two games. However, in both matches, they also failed to score, nullifying their solid defensive efforts.

After the 0-1 home loss against Lecce on October 4, Parma are now eager to bounce back at home. Before that defeat, Cuesta’s men had performed well at the Tardini, securing 2 wins and 2 draws across Serie A and Coppa Italia fixtures.

 

Como's Form and Key Stats

Como come into this match in great shape after beating Juventus 2-0 and extending their unbeaten streak to six matches (3 wins, 3 draws). Fabregas’s men currently sit 6th in Serie A with 12 points, coming from 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with averages of 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game.

The Lariani have been consistent in attack, scoring in eight of their nine matches so far this season. Their standout performer is undoubtedly Nico Paz, who has registered 4 goals and 4 assists in his first 7 Serie A appearances. His brilliance has compensated for the lack of goals from the centre-forwards (Morata and Douvikas) and the wingers.

Defensively, Como have also been solid, conceding only 3 goals in their last five matches across all competitions. It’s worth noting that they haven’t allowed more than one goal in a single game since the start of the season — proof of a balanced, well-structured team.

Away from home, Como are unbeaten in their last two outings: a 2-1 win against Fiorentina and a 1-1 draw in Bergamo versus Atalanta. Their last away defeat dates back to Matchday 2, when they lost 1-0 at Bologna.

 

Parma vs Como Prediction by BetMines

Riding a strong unbeaten run, Como enter this match as slight favorites to take all three points on the road. According to the BetMines algorithm, the away win probability stands at 40%, while a Parma victory is estimated at 34%.

Given the uncertainty surrounding the outcome, BetMines tips betting on the Double Chance X2, expecting Como to remain unbeaten with either a win or a draw. Supporting this prediction is the most recent head-to-head clash between the two teams, on May 3, 2025, when Fabregas’s side won 1-0 at the Stadio Ennio Tardini.

From a scoring perspective, the algorithm anticipates a tactical, low-scoring affair. Seven of Parma’s last nine games and six of Como’s last eight have ended with under three total goals. For this reason, the Under 3.5 goals outcome is considered the most probable — estimated at 71% likelihood, compared to 29% for Over 3.5 goals.

 

Probable Lineups Parma vs Como

PARMA (4-2-3-1): Suzuki; Delprato, Circati, Valenti, Lovik; Keita, Sorensen; Almqvist, Bernabé, Cutrone; Pellegrino. Coach: Cuesta

COMO (4-2-3-1): Butez; Posch, Carlos, Ramon, Valle; Perrone, Da Cunha; Vojvoda, Paz, Baturina; Morata. Coach: Fabregas